TABLE 39Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analysisBase caseVariableLife-yearsCost(£)Discounted cost(£)QALYsDiscounted QALYsIncremental cost (£)Incremental QALYsICER (£)
Base casePlacebo75.4955286280625.1215.13
Orlistat75.7585547309725.4715.302910.17501665
SA1Weight regain period 36 monthsWeight regain period 12 monthsPlacebo75.1635373294224.8614.99
Orlistat75.4405606321125.1415.102690.11302379
SA2BMI regain to baseline BMIBMI regain to trajectory of natural historyPlacebo74.8806090320922.7213.82
Orlistat75.1156406353022.9513.913210.09273466
SA3Treatment duration 12 monthsTreatment duration 24 monthsPlacebo75.4545342284625.0915.12
Orlistat75.7145562311525.3515.212700.09512835
SA4Starting age 45.5 yearsStarting age 20 yearsPlacebo67.86010,266413041.7420.10
Orlistat68.05610,421439641.9520.152660.05085240
SA4Starting age 45.5 yearsStarting age 60 yearsPlacebo79.5573748244115.8910.98
Orlistat79.7334082277516.0511.073340.08783798
SA5Base case uses a distribution of 74.3% women and 25.7% menAll femalePlacebo73.9606564356423.7714.47
Orlistat74.3826871386524.1114.603010.13362257
SA6Baseline BMI 34.92 kg/m2Baseline BMI 30 kg/m2Placebo79.339108552429.6217.11
Orlistat79.343143688729.6517.133630.015323,720
SA6Baseline BMI 34.92 kg/m2Baseline BMI 40 kg/m2Placebo74.2576105330023.7314.54
Orlistat74.4406368359923.8514.592990.04856155

From: Appendix 5, De novo cost-effectiveness model

Cover of What is the Clinical Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Using Drugs in Treating Obese Patients in Primary Care? A Systematic Review
What is the Clinical Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Using Drugs in Treating Obese Patients in Primary Care? A Systematic Review.
Health Technology Assessment, No. 16.5.
Ara R, Blake L, Gray L, et al.
Southampton (UK): NIHR Journals Library; 2012 Feb.
© 2012, Crown Copyright.

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