Table 1Randomized, Controlled Trials of Prostate Cancer Screening With Mortality Outcomes

TrialStudy PopulationStudy Population DescriptionInterventionMedian/ Maximum Length of Followup (Years)ResultsLimitationsQuality RatingComments
Quebec
Labrie et al
2004 (17)
Men registered on the Quebec City area electoral rolls in 198846,486 men aged 45–80 years

31,133 men invited for screening; 23.6% received screening

15,353 controls not invited; 7.3% received screening
DRE + PSA at first visit

PSA alone at subsequent screens

PSA cut-off point >3.0 ng/mL; if PSA previously >3.0 ng/mL, a PSA increase of 20% over previous year value or over predicted PSA (prPSA)

Positive screening test led to TRUS-guided biopsy
7.9/11No difference in prostate-cancer specific mortality when data are analyzed via intention-to-screen: RR, 1.01 (95% CI, 0.82–1.40)No information to assess adequacy of randomization

Unclear if outcome assessment was blinded

No baseline sociodemographic comparison of the two groups

Inadequate reporting of attrition

Authors did not primarily use intention- to-screen analysis
PoorTrial included in the 2008 evidence review and previously considered by the USPSTF
Nörrkoping
Sandblom et al
2004 (18)
2011 (13)
Male residents of Nörrkoping, Sweden identified in the Swedish National Population Register in 19879,026 men aged 50–69 years

1,494 men (every 6th man) invited for screening; 70%–78% received screening, depending on year

7,532 controls received usual care; unknown how many received screening
DRE only in 1987 and 1990

DRE + PSA in 1993 and 1996

PSA cut-off point >4.0 ng/mL

Positive screening test led to biopsy; confirmed prostate cancer treated according to regional standardized management program
6.3/20No difference in prostate-cancer specific mortality (RR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.78–1.73]) or overall survival (log rank test, p=0.14) between invited and non-invited groupsInadequate randomization and allocation concealment procedures (predictable group assignment)

No baseline sociodemographic comparison of the two groups

Contamination rate in control group not assessed

Inadequate reporting of attrition
PoorTrial included in the 2008 evidence review and previously considered by the USPSTF; extended followup now available

Trial (and sample size/power calculation) originally designed to assess acceptance and feasibility of prostate cancer screening program, not prostate cancer mortality
Stockholm
Kjellman et al
2009 (12)
Men living in the catchment area of Stockholm South Hospital in Sweden in 198826,602/27,204* men aged 55–70 years

2,400* men invited for screening, 74% received screening

24,202/24,804* controls from source population received usual care; contamination not reported
Single screening with DRE, TRUS, and PSA

Abnormal DRE or TRUS led to biopsy

PSA cut-off point >7.0 ng/mL led to repeat TRUS

PSA cut-off point >10.0 ng/mL led to biopsy

Treatment was “the standard care at the clinic at that time”
12.9/15.7No difference in prostate cancer mortality: IRR, 1.10 (95% CI, 0.83–1.46)

No difference in death from other causes: IRR, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.92–1.05)
Methods of randomization and allocation concealment unclear

Unclear if outcome assessment was blinded

No baseline sociodemographic comparison of the two groups

Contamination rates in control group not assessed

Inadequate reporting of attrition

Limited applicability to current U.S. practice (high PSA threshold)
PoorReport has internal discrepancies about the total number of participants because the file containing the registration numbers of the original cohort could not be retrieved
PLCO
Andriole et al 2009 (6)
Men enrolled at 10 study centers in the United States from 1993–200176,693 men aged 55–74 years

38,343 men assigned to screening; overall compliance with screening was 85% for PSA and 86% for DRE

38,350 men assigned to usual care; 52% had at least one PSA during trial
Annual PSA for 6 years

Annual DRE for 4 years

PSA cut-off point >4.0 ng/mL

Positive PSA or DRE referred to patient’s primary care physician for management
11.5/14.8No difference in prostate cancer- specific mortality at 7 or 10 years: rate ratios, 1.13 (95% CI, 0.75–1.70) and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.83–1.50), respectively

No difference in overall mortality (excluding prostate, lung, or colorectal cancer) at 7 or 10 years: rate ratios, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.92–1.03) and 0.97 (95% CI, 0.93–1.01), respectively
High rate of contamination in control arm (up to 52% by 6 years)

Approximately 44% of men in each arm had undergone one or more PSA tests prior to trial entry
Fair
ERSPC
Schroder et al
2009 (7)
Men in 7 European countries enrolled from 1991–2003182,160 men aged 50–74 years; 162,387 men in prespecified “core” subgroup of 55–69 years

82,816 men assigned to screening; 82% had at least one PSA test during trial

99,184 men assigned to the control group; based on single site, screening in controls estimated at ~20%
Variable by center; see Appendix 2 for details

Most centers performed PSA every 4 years; some also utilized DRE or TRUS

PSA cut-off points ranged from 2.5 to 10.0 ng/mL; 3.0 ng/mL most often utilized, some ancillary testing with lower PSA values

Positive screen led to biopsy; treatments according to local policies and guidelines
9/14.5No difference in prostate cancer- specific mortality in all enrolled men: RR, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.73–1.00)

Reduced prostate cancer-specific mortality in “core” subgroup: ARR, 0.071%; RR, 0.80 (95% CI, 0.65–0.98); NNS=1,410;NNT=48
Inconsistencies in screening intervals and PSA cut-off points among study centers

Method of allocation concealment not described

Differences in exclusion of men by age between centers

Exclusion of data from 2 study centers (Portugal and France, which would bring the number of participating countries to 9)

Inadequate reporting of attrition
Fair
Substudy of ERSPC: Göteborg
Hugosson et al
2010 (16)
Men born between 1930 and 1944 identified from the population register of Göteborg, Sweden in December 199419,904 men aged 50–64 years

9,952 invited to screening; 76% had at least one PSA

9,952 controls not invited to screening; contamination rate estimated at 3%
PSA every 2 years for 7 rounds

PSA cut-off point ranged from 2.5 to 3.0 ng/mL, depending on year

Positive screen led to DRE, TRUS, and biopsy

Treatment was at the discretion of the participant’s personal physician
14/14Reduced prostate cancer-specific mortality: ARR, 0.40% (95% CI, 0.17–0.64); RR, 0.56 (95% CI, 0.39–0.82); NNS=293 (95% CI, 177–799); NNT=1260% of participants (men born between 1930 and 1939) previously included in overall ERSPC results

No baseline demographic comparison of the two groups

Inadequate reporting of attrition

Contamination rate in controls not formally assessed; unclear how 3% estimate was obtained
FairThis publication represents single center results reported separately from the overarching ERSPC trial
*

Report has internal discrepancies about this number, because the file containing the registration numbers of the original cohort could not be retrieved.

Abbreviations: DRE=digital rectal examination; PSA=prostate-specific antigen; TRUS=transrectal ultrasonography; RR=relative risk; CI=confidence interval ; ARR=absolute risk reduction; NNS=number needed to screen; NNT=number needed to treat; IRR=incidence rate ratio.

From: 3, Results

Cover of Prostate-Specific Antigen-Based Screening for Prostate Cancer
Prostate-Specific Antigen-Based Screening for Prostate Cancer: An Evidence Update for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [Internet].
Evidence Syntheses, No. 90.
Lin K, Croswell JM, Koenig H, et al.

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