Know Your ChancesWhat This Book is AboutPart 1. What Is My Risk?Chapter 1. Understanding RiskChapter 2. Putting Risk in PerspectiveChapter 3. Risk Charts: A Way to Get PerspectivePart 2. Can I Reduce My Risk?Chapter 4. Judging the Benefit of a Health InterventionChapter 5. Not All Benefits Are Equal: Understand the OutcomePart 3. Does Risk Reduction Have Downsides?Chapter 6. Consider the DownsidesChapter 7. Do the Benefits Outweigh the Downsides?Part 4. Developing a Healthy SkepticismChapter 8. Beware of Exaggerated ImportanceChapter 9. Beware of Exaggerated CertaintyChapter 10. Who’s Behind the Numbers?Extra HelpQuick SummaryGlossaryNumber Converter and Risk ChartsCredible Sources of Health StatisticsNOTES