Nationally-representative serostudy of dengue in Bangladesh allows generalizable disease burden estimates

Elife. 2019 Apr 8:8:e42869. doi: 10.7554/eLife.42869.

Abstract

Serostudies are needed to answer generalizable questions on disease risk. However, recruitment is usually biased by age or location. We present a nationally-representative study for dengue from 70 communities in Bangladesh. We collected data on risk factors, trapped mosquitoes and tested serum for IgG. Out of 5866 individuals, 24% had evidence of historic infection, ranging from 3% in the north to >80% in Dhaka. Being male (aOR:1.8, [95%CI:1.5-2.0]) and recent travel (aOR:1.3, [1.1-1.8]) were linked to seropositivity. We estimate that 40 million [34.3-47.2] people have been infected nationally, with 2.4 million ([1.3-4.5]) annual infections. Had we visited only 20 communities, seropositivity estimates would have ranged from 13% to 37%, highlighting the lack of representativeness generated by small numbers of communities. Our findings have implications for both the design of serosurveys and tackling dengue in Bangladesh.

Keywords: Bangladesh; Seroprevalence; dengue; epidemiology; global health; nationally-representative; virus.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Antibodies, Viral / blood
  • Bangladesh / epidemiology
  • Cost of Illness*
  • Dengue / epidemiology*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Immunoglobulin G / blood
  • Male
  • Risk Factors
  • Seroepidemiologic Studies
  • Sex Factors
  • Travel

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral
  • Immunoglobulin G

Grants and funding

The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.