Identification of the prognostic value of Th1/Th2 ratio and a novel prognostic signature in basal-like breast cancer

Background: Breast cancer is a heterogeneous group of diseases. The polarization of CD4+ T helper (Th) lymphocytes (mainly Th1 and Th2) may differ in breast cancers with different outcomes, but this has not been fully validated.

Methods: This study is a bioinformatic analysis, in which differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified in patients with low and high Th1/Th2 ratios. And then, DEG functions, hub genes and independent predictors were determined.

Results: Low Th1/Th2 ratio was associated with poor outcome in Luminal A and basal-like breast cancer (p < 0.05). GSEA and KEGG analysis of DEGs obtained from comparing low and high Th1/Th2 ratios illuminated downregulation of immune-related gene sets and pathways affecting Th1/Th2 balance toward Th2 polarization (p < 0.05). Survival and Cox analyses of all the DEGs confirmed CCL1 and MYH6 were independent protective factors and IFNK and SOAT2 were independent risk factors for basal-like breast cancer (95%CI: 1.06-2.5, p = 0.026). Then a four-gene signature was constructed and achieved a promising prognostic value (C-index = 0.82; AUC = 0.826).

Conclusions: Low Th1/Th2 ratio predicts poor outcome in Luminal A and Basal-like breast cancer, and downregulation of immune-related gene sets and pathways contribute to Th1/Th2 balance toward Th2 polarization. CCL1, MYH6, IFNK, and SOAT2 have an independent prognostic value of survival outcome and might be novel markers in basal-like breast cancer.