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Addendum to Psychosis and schizophrenia in children and young people. London: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE); 2016 May. (Clinical Guideline Addendum, No. 155.1.)

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Addendum to Psychosis and schizophrenia in children and young people.

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Appendix HGRADE profiles

H.1. GRADE profiles for evidence from observational studies - direct studies i.e. age ≤18 years

Table 4GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Aripiprazole - dichotmous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineAripiprazoleRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: neurological side effects
Drug induced parkinsonism at 12 weeks 1

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Serious5None

4/51

(8%)

13/49

(27%)

RR: 0.30 (0.10 to 0.84)-VERY LOW
Dyskinesia at 12 weeks 6

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious7None

3/51

(6%)

0/49

(0%)

RR: 6.73 (0.36 to 127.02)-VERY LOW
Akathisia at 12 weeks 8

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious7None

2/51

(4%)

3/49

(6%)

RR: 0.64 (0.11 to 3.67)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early for any reason9

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious7None

1/58

(2%)

4/66

(6%)

RR: 0.28 (0.03 to 2.47)-VERY LOW
1

Drug induced parkinsonism defined as patients fulfilling 1 or more of the following criteria: mean Simpson Angus Scale (SAS) score >0.33 in patients with baseline mean SAS ≤0.33; start of anticholinergic medication; or marked increase of total SAS ratings of ≥2 in patients with baseline positive rating for EPS.

2

Serious risk of bias: described as not blinded – downgraded 1 level

3

Serious risk of indirectness: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses −28% of olanzapine arm and 26% of aripiprazole arm had schizophrenia spectrum disorders,(rest of the population were a mix of mood spectrum disorders (50% in olanzapine arm vs 41% in aripiprazole arm) and aggression spectrum disorder (22% in olanzapine arm vs 33% in aripiprazole arm) 2) Comorbidities – ADHD (44% of olanzapine arm vs 41% of aripiprazole arm), OCD (5% of olanzapine arm vs 5% of aripiprazole arm), SUD (22% of olanzapine arm vs 9% of aripiprazole arm) 3) Co-medications – psychostimulants (16% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm), antidepressants (17% of olanzapine arm vs 26% arm), mood stabiliser (43% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm) - downgraded 1 level

4

Single study analysis

5

Serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over the default appreciable benefit (0.75) - downgraded 1 level

6

Dyskinesia defined as treatment emergent dyskinesia in patients without dyskinesia in a prior rating, or as an increase of ≥2 on the abnormal involuntary movement scale in patients with dyskinesia at baseline

7

Very serious imprecision as the 95% Cis are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) – downgraded 2 levels

8

Akathisia defined as a rating of >1 on the BARNES Akathisia rating scale (BARS)

9

Reported as discontinuation due to extrapyramidal side effect

Table 5GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Aripiprazole - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineAripiprazoleMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: metabolic side effects
Weight change at 12 weeks in kg

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3No seriousNone4145MD (95%CI): 4.10 (2.77 to 5.43)VERY LOW
BMI change at 12 weeks

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3No seriousNone4145MD (95%CI): 1.34 (0.84 to 1.84)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4145MD (95%CI): 2.60 (−1.46 to 6.66)VERY LOW
Fasting total cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4145MD (95%CI): 11.83 (0.61 to 23.05)VERY LOW
Fasting LDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4145MD (95%CI): 4.16 (−5.60 to 13.92)VERY LOW
Fasting HDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious5None4145MD (95%CI): −1.56 (−5.09 to 1.97)VERY LOW
Fasting triglycerides change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohrtSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4145MD (95%CI): 26.74 (4.79 to 48.69)VERY LOW
1

Serious risk of bias 1) blinding not described

2

Serious indirectness 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses 2) cocomintant medictions permitted but numbers not reported

3

Single study analysis

4

Serious imprecision as confidence interval cross the default appreciable harm (+0.5 standard deviations)

5

Serious imprecision as confidence interval crosses the default appreciable benefit

Table 6GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Quetiapine - dichotmous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineQuetiapineRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: neurological side effects
Drug induced parkinsonism at 12 weeks 1

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

4/51

(8%)

1/50

(2%)

RR: 3.92 (0.45 to 33.88)-VERY LOW
Dyskinesia at 12 weeks 6

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

3/51

(6%)

2/50

(4%)

RR: 1.47 (0.26 to 8.43)-VERY LOW
Akathisia at 12 weeks 7

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

2/51

(4%)

0/50

(0%)

RR: 4.90 (0.24 to 99.66)-VERY LOW
Outcome: metabolic side effects
Hyperglycemia ≥100 to 125mg/dl at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Very serious5None

6/35

(17%)

2/32

(6%)

RR: 2.74 (0.60 to 12.63)-VERY LOW
Diabetes ≥126mg/dl at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Not estimable10None

0/35

(0%)

0/32

(0%)

Not Estimable10-VERY LOW
Hypercholesterolemia (≥170mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Serious11None

18/35

(51%)

12/32

(38%)

RR: 1.37 (0.79 to 2.38)-VERY LOW
Hypertriglyceridemia (≥110mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Very serious5None

12/35

(34%)

7/32

(22%)

RR: 1.57 (0.70 to 3.49)-VERY LOW
≥7% weight increase

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Serious11None

28/35

(80%)

22/32

(69%)

RR: 1.16 (0.87 to 1.55)-VERY LOW
Outcome: cardiac side effects
Systolic blood pressure >90th percentile

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Very serious5None

4/35

(11%)

3/32

(9%)

RR: 1.22 (0.30 to 5.03)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early for any reason12,13, 14

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3N/A4Very serious5None

1/58

(2%)

0/66

(0%)

RR: 3.41 (0.14 to 82.04)-VERY LOW

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious15Serious16N/A4Very serious5None

8/18

(44%)

4/16

(25%)

RR: 1.78 (0.66 to 4.80)-VERY LOW

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A4Very Serious5None

9/44

(21%)

15/47

(32%)

RR: 0.64 (0.31 to 1.31)-VERY LOW
1

Drug induced parkinsonism defined as patients fulfilling 1 or more of the following criteria: mean Simpson Angus Scale (SAS) score >0.33 in patients with baseline mean SAS >0.33; start of anticholinergic medication; or marked increase of total SAS ratings of ≥2 in patients with baseline positive rating for EPS.

2

Serious risk of bias: described as not blinded – downgraded 1 level

3

Serious risk of bias: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses −28% of olanzapine arm and 26% of aripiprazole arm had schizophrenia spectrum disorders,(rest of the population were a mix of mood spectrum disorders (50% in olanzapine arm vs 41% in aripiprazole arm) and aggression spectrum disorder (22% in olanzapine arm vs 33% in aripiprazole arm) 2) Comorbidities – ADHD (44% of olanzapine arm vs 41% of aripiprazole arm), OCD (5% of olanzapine arm vs 5% of aripiprazole arm), SUD (22% of olanzapine arm vs 9% of aripiprazole arm) 3) Co-medications – psychostimulants (16% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm), antidepressants (17% of olanzapine arm vs 26% arm), mood stabiliser (43% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm) - downgraded 1 level

4

Single study analysis

5

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) - downgraded 2 levels

6

Dyskinesia defined as treatment emergent dyskinesia in patients without dyskinesia in a prior rating, or as an increase of ≥2 on the abnormal involuntary movement scale in patients with dyskinesia at baseline

7

Akathisia defined as a rating of >1 on the BARNES Akathisia rating scale (BARS)

8

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups not described in detail, blinding not described.

9

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses – schizophrenia spectrum (35% vs 31%), mood spectrum disorders (40% vs 22%), behavioural disorders (12% vs 27%), other diagnoses (14% vs 19%) 2) comedications – antidepressants (32% vs 9%), benzodiazapines (41% vs 25%), mood stabilisers (16% vs 12%) 3) substance use – tobacco (37% vs 36%), alcohol (28% vs 29%), cannabis (30% vs 32%)

10

Not estimable as number of events is 0

11

Serious imprecision as 95%CIs wide and cross the default appreciable harm (+1.25)

12

Carbon 2015: Reported as discontinuation due to extrapyramidal side effect

13

Noguera 2013: Reasons included adverse reaction (n=2 vs 1); insufficient response (n=5 vs 1); lost to follow up (n=1 vs 1); not available (n=0 vs 1)

14

Arango 2014: Reasons included lost to follow up (n=2 vs 7), symptom remission (n=5 vs 2), change of treatment (n=1 vs 4), intolerance (n=1 vs 0), nonadherence (n=0vs1), drug withdrawal (n=0 vs 1)

15

Serious risk of bias – blinding not described, subjects allowed to change treatment during the course of the study, unclear whether doses stated are medians or means as text says medians but table states means.

16

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses at baseline (schizophrenia n=8); schizoaffective disorder (n=5), schizophreniform disorder (n=30), psychotic disorder not otherwise specified (n=42); major depressive disorder with psychotic symptoms (n=12) and bipolar disorder (n=13)

Table 7GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Quetiapine - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineQuetiapineMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: metabolic side effects
Weight change in kg at 12 weeks

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4536MD (95%CI): 2.48 (0.90 to 4.06)VERY LOW
Weight gain in kg at 6 months

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious4Serious5N/A3Serious4None1415MD (95%CI): 5.70 (1.46 to 9.94)VERY LOW
BMI change at 12 weeks

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4536MD (95%CI): 0.89 (0.33 to 1.45)VERY LOW
BMI change at 6 months (units not reported)

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious5Serious6N/A3Serious4None1415MD (95%CI): 2.50 (0.32 to 4.68)VERY LOW
BMI change at 6 months in kg/m2

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious7Serious8N/A3Serious4None1620MD (95%CI): 1.80 (0.49 to 3.11)VERY LOW
BMI change at 3 months in kg/m2

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 1.15 (0.22 to 2.08)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3No seriousNone4536MD (95%CI): 0.50 (−3.47 to 4.47)VERY LOW
Glucose change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 7.83 (0.40 to 15.26)VERY LOW
Fasting total cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4536MD (95%CI): 6.53 (−5.35 to 18.41)VERY LOW
Total cholesterol change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 2.41 (−11.01 to 15.83)VERY LOW
Fasting LDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious4None4536MD (95%CI): 7.66 (−2.50 to 17.82)VERY LOW
Fasting HDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3NoneNone4536MD (95%CI): 0.20 (−4.05 to 4.45)VERY LOW
Fasting triglycerides change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious11None4536MD (95%CI): −12.62 (−42.13 to 16.89)VERY LOW
Triglycerides change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 20.85 (3.89 to 37.81)VERY LOW
Outcome: neurological side effects
Change as measured on UKU

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious4Serious5N/A3Serious11None1415MD (95%CI): −0.2 (−0.79 to 0.39)VERY LOW

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious13Serious14N/A3Serious11None1620MD (95%CI): −0.2 (−0.7 to 0.3)VERY LOW
Outcome: cardiac side effects
Diastolic blood pressure change at 3 months in mmHg

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 1.06 (−4.72 to 6.84)VERY LOW
Systolic blood pressure change at 3 months in mmHg

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious9Serious10N/A3Serious4None3532MD (95%CI): 4.07 (−4.31 to 12.45)VERY LOW
1

Serious risk of bias as blinding not described

2

Serious indirectness as 1) heterogenous sample of diagnoses 2) comedications permitted but numbers not reported

3

Single study analysis

4

Serious imprecision as confidence interval crosses the default appreciable harm (+0.5 standard deviations)

5

Allocation to treatment groups not described in detail – 51% were already receiving treatment, unclear whether these subjects carried on with same treatment or not. Study also not blinded.

6

Serious indirectness: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses (schizophrenia type disorder – 39%; psychotic disorder NOS 38%; depressive disorder 12%; bipolar/manic episode with psychotic symptoms 11%) – breakdown by study arms not reported

7

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups not described in detail, blinding not described.

8

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses – schizophrenia spectrum (35% vs 31%), mood spectrum disorders (40% vs 22%), behavioural disorders (12% vs 27%), other diagnoses (14% vs 19%) 2) comedications – antidepressants (32% vs 9%), benzodiazapines (41% vs 25%), mood stabilisers (16% vs 12%) 3) substance use – tobacco (37% vs 36%), alcohol (28% vs 29%), cannabis (30% vs 32%)

9

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups and blinding not described. Percentages and numbers reported in study do not match in all cases as denominators are not clearly reported – these have therefore been re-calculated by analyst based on N reported in figure 1 of study at different time points.

10

Serious indirectness as heterogeneous sample of diagnoses, comedications permitted and substance use.

11

Serious imprecision as 95%CI crosses the default appreciable benefit (−0.5)

12

Serious risk of bias as blinding not described, subjects allowed to change treatment during the course of the study, unclear whether doses stated are medians or means as text says medians but table states means.

13

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses at baseline (schizophrenia n=8); schizoaffective disorder (n=5), schizophreniform disorder (n=30), psychotic disorder not otherwise specified (n=42); major depressive disorder with psychotic symptoms (n=12) and bipolar disorder (n=13)

Table 8GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Risperidone - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineRisperidoneMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: metabolic side effects
Weight gain in kg at 12 weeks

1

(Crocq 2007)

Prospective cohortSerious1No seriousN/A2Serious7None1626MD (95%CI): 2 (0.76 to 3.24)VERY LOW
Weight change in kg at 12 weeks

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2No seriousNone45135MD (95%CI): 3.20 (1.96 to 4.44)VERY LOW
Weight gain in kg at 6 months

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious5Serious6N/A2Serious7None1431MD (95%CI): 5.60 (1.99 to 9.21)VERY LOW
BMI change in kg/m2at 12 weeks

1

(Crocq 2007)

Prospective cohortSerious1No seriousN/A2Serious7None1626MD (95%CI): 0.70 (0.22 to 1.18)VERY LOW
BMI change at 12 weeks

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2No seriousNone45135MD (95%CI): 1.09 (0.65 to 1.53)VERY LOW
BMI change at 6 months (units not reported)

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious5Serious6N/A2Serious7None1431MD (95%CI): 2.00 (0.42 to 3.58)VERY LOW
BMI change at 6 months in kg/m2

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A2No seriousNone1636MD (95%CI): 2.5 (1.3 to 3.7)VERY LOW
BMI change at 3 months in kg/m2

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2Serious7None35118MD (95%CI): 1.16 (0.45 to 1.87)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2No seriousNone35118MD (95%CI): −1.46 (−7.17 to 4.25)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2Very serious12None45135MD (95%CI): 2.00 (−1.09 to 5.09)VERY LOW
Fasting total cholesterol change at 12 weeks I mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2Very serious12None45135MD (95%CI): 12.12 (2.36 to 21.88)VERY LOW
Fasting total cholesterol change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2Very serious12None35118MD (95%CI): 3.74 (−6.58 to 14.06)VERY LOW
Fasting LDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2Serious7None45135MD (95%CI): 11.33 (2.80 to 19.86)VERY LOW
Fasting HDL cholesterol change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2Serious13None45135MD (95%CI): −1.60 (−4.52 to 1.32)VERY LOW
Fasting triglycerides change at 12 weeks in mg/dl

1

(Correll 2009)

Prospectice cohortSerious3Serious4N/A2Serious7None45135MD (95%CI): 14.60 (−2.27 to 31.47)VERY LOW
Fasting triglycerides change at 3 months in mg/dl

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2Serious7None35118MD (95%CI): 15.99 (0.11 to 31.87)VERY LOW
Outcome: neurological side effects
Change as measured on UKU (side effect rating scale)

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious5Serious6N/A2Serious13None1431MD (95%CI): −1.00 (−1.91 to −0.09)VERY LOW

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious8Serious9N/A2Serious13None1636MD (95%CI): −0.9 (−1.69 to −0.11)VERY LOW
Outcome: cardiac side effects
Diastolic blood pressure change at 3 months in mmHg

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2Serious13None35118MD (95%CI): −5.7 (−10.07 to −1.33)VERY LOW
Systolic blood pressure change at 3 months in mmHg

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious10Serious11N/A2Serious13None35118MD (95%CI): −2.09 (−8.42 to 4.24)VERY LOW
1

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups not described, open label, inclusion and exclusion criteria not reported, concomitant medications used not reported.

2

Single study analysis

3

Serious risk of bias as blinding not described

4

Serious indirectness as 1) heterogenous sample of diagnoses 2) comedications permitted but numbers not reported

5

Allocation to treatment groups not described in detail – 51% were already receiving treatment, unclear whether these subjects carried on with same treatment or not. Study also not blinded.

6

Serious indirectness: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses (schizophrenia type disorder – 39%; psychotic disorder NOS 38%; depressive disorder 12%; bipolar/manic episode with psychotic symptoms 11%) – breakdown by study arms not reported

7

Serious imprecision as 95%CIs wide and crosses the default appreciable harm (+0.5 standard deviations)

8

Serious risk of bias – blinding not described, subjects allowed to change treatment during the course of the study, unclear whether doses stated are medians or means as text says medians but table states means.

9

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses at baseline (schizophrenia n=8); schizoaffective disorder (n=5), schizophreniform disorder (n=30), psychotic disorder not otherwise specified (n=42); major depressive disorder with psychotic symptoms (n=12) and bipolar disorder (n=13)

10

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups not described in detail, blinding not described.

11

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses – schizophrenia spectrum (35% vs 31%), mood spectrum disorders (40% vs 22%), behavioural disorders (12% vs 27%), other diagnoses (14% vs 19%) 2) comedications – antidepressants (32% vs 9%), benzodiazapines (41% vs 25%), mood stabilisers (16% vs 12%) 3) substance use – tobacco (37% vs 36%), alcohol (28% vs 29%), cannabis (30% vs 32%)

12

Very serious imprecision as 95%CIs wide and crosses both the default appreciable benefit and harm (−0.5 and +0.5 standard deviations)

13

Serious imprecision as 95% CIs wide and crosses the defaultappreciable benefit (−0.5)

Table 9GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Risperidone - dichotmous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineRisperidoneRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: neurological side effects
Drug induced parkinsonism at 12 weeks 1

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

4/51

(8%)

7/101

(7%)

RR: 1.13 (0.35 to 3.69)-VERY LOW
Dyskinesia at 12 weeks 6

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

3/51

(6%)

1/101

(1%)

RR: 5.94 (0.63 to 55.7)-VERY LOW
Akathisia at 12 weeks 7

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

2/51

(4%)

2/101

(2%)

RR: 1.98 (0.29 to 13.66)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early for any reason8, 9, 10,11

1

(Carbon 2015)

Prospective cohortSerious2Serious3NA4Very serious5None

1/58

(2%)

6/137

(4%)

RR: 0.39 (0.05 to 3.20)-VERY LOW

1

(Castrofornilles 2008)

Prospective cohortSerious12Serious13N/A4Very serious5None

1/14

(3%)

5/31

(16%)

RR: 0.44 (0.06 to 3.45)-VERY LOW

1

(Noguera 2013)

Prospective cohortSerious14Serious15N/A4Very serious5None

8/18

(44%)

22/51

(43%)

RR: 1.03 (0.56 to 1.89)-VERY LOW

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Very serious5None

9/44

(20%)

39/157

(25%)

RR: 0.82 (0.43 to 1.57)-VERY LOW
Outcome: metabolic side effects
Hyperglycemia (≥100 to 125mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Serious18None

6/35

(17%)

10/118

(8%)

RR: 2.02 (0.79 to 5.17)-VERY LOW
Diabetes (≥126mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Very serious5None

0/35

(0%)

2/118

(2%)

RR: 0.66 (0.03 to 13.46)-VERY LOW
Hypocholesteraemia (≥170mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Serious18None

18/35

(51%)

45/118

(38%)

RR: 1.35 (0.91 to 2.00)-VERY LOW
Hypertriglyceridemia (≥110mg/dl) at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Serious18None

12/35

(34%)

18/118

(15%)

RR: 2.25 (1.20 to 4.20)-VERY LOW
≥7% weight increase in kg at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Serious18None

28/35

(80%)

74/118

(63%)

RR: 1.28 (1.03 to 1.58)-VERY LOW
Outcome: cardiac side effects
Systolic blood pressure >90th percentile at 3 months

1

(Arango 2014)

Prospective cohortSerious16Serious17N/A4Very serious5None

4/35

(11%)

28/118

(24%)

RR: 0.48 (0.18 to 1.28)-VERY LOW
1

Drug induced parkinsonism defined as patients fulfilling 1 or more of the following criteria: mean Simpson Angus Scale (SAS) score >0.33 in patients with baseline mean SAS ≤0.33; start of anticholinergic medication; or marked increase of total SAS ratings of ≥2 in patients with baseline positive rating for EPS.

2

Serious risk of bias: described as not blinded – downgraded 1 level

3

Serious risk of bias: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses −28% of olanzapine arm and 26% of aripiprazole arm had schizophrenia spectrum disorders,(rest of the population were a mix of mood spectrum disorders (50% in olanzapine arm vs 41% in aripiprazole arm) and aggression spectrum disorder (22% in olanzapine arm vs 33% in aripiprazole arm) 2) Comorbidities – ADHD (44% of olanzapine arm vs 41% of aripiprazole arm), OCD (5% of olanzapine arm vs 5% of aripiprazole arm), SUD (22% of olanzapine arm vs 9% of aripiprazole arm) 3) Co-medications – psychostimulants (16% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm), antidepressants (17% of olanzapine arm vs 26% arm), mood stabiliser (43% of olanzapine arm vs 21% of aripiprazole arm) - downgraded 1 level

4

Single study analysis

5

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) - downgraded 2 levels

6

Dyskinesia defined as treatment emergent dyskinesia in patients without dyskinesia in a prior rating, or as an increase of ≥2 on the abnormal involuntary movement scale in patients with dyskinesia at baseline

7

Akathisia defined as a rating of >1 on the BARNES Akathisia rating scale (BARS)

8

Carbon 2015 - reported as discontinuation due to extrapyramidal side effect

9

Castrofornilles 2008 – discontinued due to side effects, details not reported

10

Noguera 2013 – reasons included adverse reaction (n=2 vs 5); insufficient response (n=5 vs 11), lost to follow up (n=1 vs 4); other (n=0 vs 1); not available (n=0 vs 1).

11

Arango 2014 – reasons included lost to follow up (n=2 vs 17), symptom remission (n=5 vs 2), change of treatment (n=1 vs 8), intolerance (n=1 vs 0), drug withdrawal (n=0 vs 4), nonadherence (n=0 vs 2), lack of efficacy (n=0 vs 1), other reasons (n=0 vs 5). Dropouts 3 to 6 months were similar reasons (not due to adverse effects).

12

Allocation to treatment groups not described in detail – 51% were already receiving treatment, unclear whether these subjects carried on with same treatment or not. Study also not blinded.

13

Serious indirectness: 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses (schizophrenia type disorder – 39%; psychotic disorder NOS 38%; depressive disorder 12%; bipolar/manic episode with psychotic symptoms 11%) – breakdown by study arms not reported

14

Serious risk of bias – blinding not described, subjects allowed to change treatment during the course of the study, unclear whether doses stated are medians or means as text says medians but table states means.

15

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses at baseline (schizophrenia n=8); schizoaffective disorder (n=5), schizophreniform disorder (n=30), psychotic disorder not otherwise specified (n=42); major depressive disorder with psychotic symptoms (n=12) and bipolar disorder (n=13)

16

Serious risk of bias as allocation to treatment groups not described in detail, blinding not described.

17

Serious indirectness 1) Heterogeneous sample of diagnoses – schizophrenia spectrum (35% vs 31%), mood spectrum disorders (40% vs 22%), behavioural disorders (12% vs 27%), other diagnoses (14% vs 19%) 2) comedications – antidepressants (32% vs 9%), benzodiazapines (41% vs 25%), mood stabilisers (16% vs 12%) 3) substance use – tobacco (37% vs 36%), alcohol (28% vs 29%), cannabis (30% vs 32%)

18

Serious imprecision as 95% CIs wide and cross the default appreciable harm (1.25)

H.2. GRADE profiles for evidence from RCT studies - direct studies i.e. age ≤18 years

Table 10GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Risperidone - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineRisperidoneMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: Metabolic side effects
Weight in kg at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95%CI): 7.7 (−8.9 to 24.3)VERY LOW
Weight gain in kg at week 12

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Serious9NoneN=12N=13MD (95%CI): 1.33 (−1.30 to 3.96)VERY LOW
Weight change in kg at week 8

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Serious9NoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): 2.50 (0.79 to 4.21)LOW
BMI in kg/m2 at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious9NoneN=16N=19MD (95%CI): 1.4 (−2.87 to 5.67)VERY LOW
BMI change in kg/m2 at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Serious9NoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): 0.90 (0.29 to 1.51)VERY LOW
Random glucose in mg/dl at week8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Serious9NoneN=16N=19MD (95% CI): 18.2 (6.84 to 29.56)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose change in mg/dl

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=12N=22MD (95%CI): −0.60 (−9.99 to 8.79)VERY LOW
Fasting total cholesterol change in mg/dl at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3No seriousNoneN=12N=22MD (95%CI): 30.1 (12.57 to 47.63)LOW
Fasting HDL cholesterol change in mg/dl at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=12N=21MD (95%CI): 5.1 (−1.08 to 11.28)VERY LOW
Random HDL in mg/dl at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95% CI): −5.2 (−14.68 to 4.28)VERY LOW
Random LDL in mg/dl at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95% CI): −12.6 (−30.66 to 5.46)VERY LOW
Fasting LDL cholesterol change in mg/dl at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3No seriousNoneN=12N=20MD (95%CI): 24.3 (9.93 to 38.67)LOW
Random triglycerides in mg/dl at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95% CI): 28 (−15.74 to 71.74)VERY LOW
Fasting triglycerides change in mg/dl at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=12N=21MD (95%CI): 14.5 (−25.1 to 54.1)VERY LOW
Outcome: Neurological side effects
Simpson-angus EPS score at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95%CI): −0.20 (−1.74 to 1.34)VERY LOW
Simpson-angus rating scale change at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): −0.20 (−1.19 to 0.79)VERY LOW
Barnes Rating Scale change for Drug induced Akathisia at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): −0.20 (−1.21 to 0.81)VERY LOW
AIMS change at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3Very serious4NoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): 0.00 (−0.94 to 0.94)VERY LOW
Outcome: Hormonal side effects
Prolactin in ng/Ml at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95%CI): −7.2 (−18.12 to 3.72)VERY LOW
Prolactin change in ug/l at 8 weeks

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3No seriousNoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): −21 (−30.39 to −11.61)LOW
Outcome: Cardiac side effects
QTc interval in msecs at week 8 (endpoint)

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious1Serious2N/A3Very serious4NoneN=16N=19MD (95%CI): 0.00 (−15.92 to 15.92)VERY LOW
QTc change in msecs at week 8

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious7Serious8N/A3No seriousNoneN=35N=41MD (95%CI): 10.7 (0.09 to 21.31)LOW
1

Serious risk of bias, allocation concealment not described, co-morbidities not reported – downgraded 1 level

2

Serious indirectness 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses (schizophrenia spectrum 31% in the olanzapine arm vs 68% in the risperidone arm; affective disorders 69% in the olanzapine arm vs 32% in the risperidone arm) 2) Concomitant medications (benztropine, amantadine, propranolol, lorazepam, initial antidepressant, mood stabiliser) – 88% of olanzapine arm vs 89% of risperidone arm

3

Single study analysis

4

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (−0.5 and +0.5 standard deviations) - downgraded 2 levels

5

Serious risk of bias – randomisation method and allocation concealment not described, open label study. Inclusion criteria not reported, small sample size.

6

Serious indirectness – use of concomitant medications (100% vs 69%), comorbidities (33% vs 54%)

7

Serious risk of bias as randomisation and allocation concealment not described. 285 subjects not enrolled – reasons not provided.

8

Serious indirectness – use of concomitant medication with anticholinergic agents, propranolol, benzodiazepines, mood stabilisers, antidepressants were guided by algorithms.

9

Serious imprecision as 95% CIs wide and cross over the default appreciable harm (+0.5 standard deviations) – downgraded 1 level

Table 11GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Risperidone - dichotomous outcomes

No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineRisperidoneRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: Neurological outcomes
Akathisia at week 8 (endpoint) 1

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious2Serious3N/A3Very serious4None

2/16

(14%)

0/19

(0%)

RR: 5.88 (0.30 to 114.28)-VERY LOW
Extrapyramidal side effects as assessed by the Simpson Angus Scale and Barnes Akathisia Rating Scale:
Gait

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

3/12

(25%)

5/13

(39%)

RR: 0.65 (0.20 to 2.15)-VERY LOW
Arm dropping

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

0/12

(0%)

4/13

(31%)

RR: 0.12 (0.01 to 2.01)-VERY LOW
Shoulder shaking

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

0/12

(0%)

3/13

(23%)

RR: 0.15 (0.01 to 2.70)-VERY LOW
Elbow rigidity

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

1/12

(8%)

4/13

(31%)

RR: 0.27 (0.04 to 2.10)-VERY LOW
Wrist rigidity

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

0/12

(0%)

4/13

(31%)

RR: 0.12 (0.01 to 2.01)-VERY LOW
Leg pendulousness

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

1/12

(8%)

2/13

(17%)

RR: 0.54 (0.06 to 5.24)-VERY LOW
Head dropping

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

1/12

(8%)

2/13

(17%)

RR: 0.54 (0.06 to 5.24)-VERY LOW
Glabellar tap

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Serious7None

4/12

(33%)

9/13

(69%)

RR: 0.48 (0.20 to 1.16)-VERY LOW
Tremor

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

6/12

(50%)

9/13

(69%)

RR: 0.72 (0.37 to 1.41)-VERY LOW
Salivation

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

4/12

(33%)

5/13

(39%)

RR: 0.87 (0.30 to 2.49)-VERY LOW
Akathisia objective

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

2/12

(17%)

1/13

(8%)

RR: 2.17 (0.22 to 20.94)-VERY LOW
Akathisia subjective

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

2/12

(17%)

2/13

(17%)

RR: 1.08 (0.18 to 6.53)-VERY LOW
Distress related to restlessness

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

2/12

(17%)

0/13

(0%)

RR: 5.38 (0.28 to 101.96)-VERY LOW
Global clinical assessment of akathisia

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

2/12

(17%)

1/13

(8%)

RR: 2.17 (0.22 to 20.94)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early for any reason8,9

1

(Sikich 2004)

RCTSerious2Serious3N/A3No seriousNone

2/16

(13%)

9/19

(47%)

RR: 0.26 (0.07 to 1.05)-LOW

1

(Mozes 2006)

RCTSerious5Serious6N/A3Very serious4None

1/12

(8%)

4/13

(31%)

RR: 0.27 (0.04 to 2.10)-VERY LOW

1

(Sikich 2008)

RCTSerious10Serious11N/A3Serious12None

18/35

(51%)

13/42

(32%)

RR: 1.62 (0.93 to 2.82)-VERY LOW
1

Unclear how akathisia was assessed

2

Serious risk of bias, allocation concealment not described, co-morbidities not reported – downgraded 1 level

3

Serious indirectness 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnoses (schizophrenia spectrum 31% in the olanzapine arm vs 68% in the risperidone arm; affective disorders 69% in the olanzapine arm vs 32% in the risperidone arm) 2) Concomitant medications (benztropine, amantadine, propranolol, lorazepam, initial antidepressant, mood stabiliser) – 88% of olanzapine arm vs 89% of risperidone arm

4

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) - downgraded 2 levels

5

Serious risk of bias – randomisation method and allocation concealment not described, open label study. Inclusion criteria not reported, small sample size.

6

Serious indirectness – use of concomitant medications (100% vs 69%), comorbidities (33% vs 54%)

7

Serious imprecision as 95% CIs wide and crosses over the default appreciable benefit (0.75)

8

Sikich 2004 - reasons for dropout: insufficient response (n=2 vs 2); EPS (n=0 vs 1); weight gain (n=0 vs 3); other side effects (n=0 vs 1); noncompliance (n=0 vs 2); moved to remote site (n=0 vs 1)

9

Mozes 2006 – reasons for dropout: contact lost (1 vs 0); lack of improvement (0 vs 3); severe hyperprolactinemia (0 vs 1)

10

Sikich 2008: Serious risk of bias as randomisation and allocation concealment not described. 285 subjects not enrolled – reasons not provided.

11

Sikich 2008: Serious indirectness – use of concomitant medication with anticholinergic agents, propranolol, benzodiazepines, mood stabilisers, antidepressants were guided by algorithms.

12

Serious imprecision as 95% CIs wide and crosses over the default appreciable benefit (1.25)

13

Table 12GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Clozapine - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineClozapineMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: Metabolic side effects
Weight gain in kg i.e. change at 8 weeks

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2Very serious3None1312MD (95%CI): −0.2 (−4.23 to 3.83)VERY LOW
BMI change in kg/m2at 8 weeks

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2Very serious3None1312MD (95%CI): −0.2 (−1.86 to 1.46)VERY LOW
BMI at 12 weeks, endpoint

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Very serious3None2117MD (95%CI): 0.50 (−2.35 to 3.35)VERY LOW
Fasting glucose in mg/dl at 12 weeks

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Serious6None2117MD (95%CI): −10.1 (−18.74 to −1.46)LOW
Fasting triglycerides at 12 weeks (units not reported)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Serious6None2117MD (95%CI): −20.2 (−66.59 to 26.19)VERY LOW
Fasting cholesterol at 12 weeks (units not reported)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Serious7None2117MD (95%CI): 10.4 (−10.79 to 31.59)VERY LOW
BMI at 12 weeks (units not reported)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Very serious3None2117MD (95%CI): 0.50 (−2.35 to 3.35)VERY LOW
1

Serious indirectness, comorbid ADHD, ODD, CD (23% vs 33%), comorbid anxiety disorders (8% vs 50%), concomitant medications including valproate sodium, clomipramine hydrochloride, guanfacine hydrochloride, lorazepam, diphenhydramine hydrochloride (92% vs 58%)

2

Single study analysis

3

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (−0.5 and +0.5 standard deviations) - downgraded 2 levels

4

Serious risk of bias as allocation concealment is not described

5

Serious indirectness as concomitant medications received (lithium, depakoate, mood stabilisers, antidepressants, stimulants, naltrexone – numbers by arm not reported)

6

Serious imprecision as confidence interval crosses the default appreciable benefit (−0.5)

7

Serious imprecision as confidence interval crosses the default appreciable harm (+0.5 standard deviations)

Table 13GRADE table for Olanzapine versus Clozapine - dichotomous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineClozapineRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: cardiac side effects
Hypertension at 8 weeks

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2No seriousNone

1/11

(9%)

7/11

(64%)

RR: 0.14 (0.02 to 0.98)-Moderate
Tachycardia >100bpm supine at 8 weeks

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2No seriousNone

2/12

(17%)

7/10

(70%)

RR: 0.24 (0.06 to 0.90)-Moderate
Tachycardia >120bmp supine at 8 weeks

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2Serious3None

0/12

(0%)

1/10

(10%)

RR: 0.28 (0.01 to 6.25)-Low
Outcome: metabolic side effects
At healthy weight (BMI percentile≥5 to <85)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Very serious6None

4/21

(19%)

1/17

(6%)

RR: 3.24 (0.40 to 26.34)-VERY LOW
Overweight (BMI percentiles ≥85 to <95)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Serious7None

5/21

(24%)

9/17

(53%)

RR: 0.45 (0.19 to 1.09)-VERY LOW
Obese (BMI percentiles ≥95 percentile)

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Very serious6None

12/21

(57%)

9/17

(43%)

RR: 1.08 (0.60 to 1.93)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early8,9

1

(Shaw 2006)

RCTNo seriousSerious1N/A2Serious3None

8/10

(80%)

1/10

(10%)

RR: 8 (1.21 to 52.69)-LOW

1

(Kumra 2008)

RCTSerious4Serious5N/A2Very serious6None

7/21

(33%)

4/18

(22%)

RR: 1.50 (0.52 to 4.31)-VERY LOW
1

Serious indirectness, comorbid ADHD, ODD, CD (23% vs 33%), comorbid anxiety disorders (8% vs 50%), concomitant medications including valproate sodium, clomipramine hydrochloride, guanfacine hydrochloride, lorazepam, diphenhydramine hydrochloride (92% vs 58%)

2

Single study analysis

3

Serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses the default appreciable harm (1.25) – downgraded 1 level

4

Serious risk of bias as allocation concealment is not described

5

Serious indirectness as concomitant medications received (lithium, depakoate, mood stabilisers, antidepressants, stimulants, naltrexone – numbers by arm not reported)

6

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) - downgraded 2 levels

7

Serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses the default appreciable benefit (0.75) – downgraded 1 level

8

Shaw 2006: 8/10 subjects in the olanzapine arm for who follow up data were obtained at 2 years dropped out and changed to clozapine due to treatment resistance. 1/10 subjects in the clozapine arm discontinued due to extreme weight gain.

9

Kumra 2008: reasons for dropout included nonresponse (6 vs 0), treatment emergent neutropenia (1 vs0), excessive weight gain (0 vs 2); treatment non-response (0 vs 1); withdrawal of consent (0 vs 1)

Table 14GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Quetiapine - dichotomous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineQuetiapineRelative (95% CI)Absolute
Outcome: Metabolic side effects1
Weight gain at end point at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Serious5None

15/26

(58%)

8/24

(33%)

RR: 1.73 (0.90 to 3.33)-VERY LOW
Outcome: Neurological side effects1
Concentration difficulties at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Very serious6None

9/26

(35%)

6/24

(25%)

RR: 1.38 (0.58 to 3.31)-VERY LOW
Hypokinesia/akinesia at 6 months
1 (Arango 2009)RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Very serious6None

4/26

(15%)

2/24

(8%)

RR: 1.85 (0.37 to 9.18)-VERY LOW
Tremor at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Serious5None

4/26

(15%)

4/24

(17%)

RR: 0.92 (0.26 to 3.29)-VERY LOW
Akathisia at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Very serious6None

3/26

(12%)

0/24

(0%)

RR: 6.48 (0.35 to 119.32)-VERY LOW
Outcome: Hormonal side effects
Increased tendency to sweat at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Very serious6None

5/26

(19%)

1/24

(4%)

RR: 4.62 (0.58 to 36.73)-VERY LOW
Outcome: Cardiac side effects
Palpitations/tachycardia at 6 months

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2Serious3N/A4Very serious6None

1/26

(4%)

1/24

(4%)

RR: 0.92 (0.06 to 13.95)-VERY LOW
Outcome: leaving the study early for any reason7

1

(Arango 2009)

RCTVery serious2SeriousN/A4Very serious6None

10/26

(38.5%)

8/24

(33%)

RR: 1.15 (0.55 to 2.43)-VERY LOW
1

As measured with the UKU scale

2

Very serious risk of bias 1) allocation concealment not described 2) open label (neither participants/researchers blinded to treatment) 3) poor reporting of data: percentages and denominator for number of events reported in study do not match up, therefore number randomised has been used as the denominator

3

Serious indirectness 1) heterogeneous sample of diagnosis – schizophrenia (35% vs 33%); bipolar disorder (19% vs 33%); psychosis NOS (33% vs 25%), schizoaffective disorder (25% vs 25%), schizophreniform disorder (17% vs 25%); major depressive disorder (25% vs 25%) 2) Concomitant medications including anticholinergics, beta-blockers, benzodiazepines, antidepressants, antiepileptics, lithium, analgesics, iron compounds, cough medications, all patients were also prescribed risperidone flexible dose 3–5 days prior to randomisation.

4

Single study analysis

5

Serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses the default appreciable harm (1.25) – downgraded 1 level

6

Very serious imprecision as the 95% CIs are wide and crosses over both the default appreciable benefit and harm (0.75 and 1.25) - downgraded 2 levels

7

Reasons for drop out included loss to follow up (n=4 vs 3); symptom remission (n=1 vs 0); poor response (n=2 vs 0); poor compliance (n=0 vs 1);change to treatment (n=2 vs 0); adverse events (n=0 vs 0)

H.3. GRADE profiles for evidence from observational studies - indirect evidence i.e. mean age <25 years

Table 15GRADE profile for Olanzapine versus Risperidone - continuous outcomes

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffect estimateQuality
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasIndirectnessInconsistencyImprecisionOther considerationsOlanzapineRisperidoneMean difference (95%CI)
Outcome: Quality of life1

1

(Montes 2003)

Prospective cohortSerious1Serious2N/A3No seriousNone11431MD (95%CI): −0.01 (−0.13 to 0.11)VERY LOW
1

Serious risk of bias as concomitant medications permitted

2

Serious indirectness as study includes subjects up to 40 years of age, mean age of 24 vs 22.6 years in intervention and comparator arm respectively

3

Single study analysis

Copyright © National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2016.
Bookshelf ID: NBK550755