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Jonas DE, Crotty K, Yun JDY, et al. Screening for Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: An Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [Internet]. Rockville (MD): Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (US); 2021 Aug. (Evidence Synthesis, No. 207.)

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Screening for Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: An Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [Internet].

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Appendix EAdditional Results and Tables

Additional Detailed Results for Interventions for Screen-Detected Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 4)

The China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS) evaluated a lifestyle intervention with 30 years of followup in China, among people with prediabetes without requiring additional risk factors for diabetes or mortality.225228 Here we present additional outcomes from that study not included in the main report. The Da Qing results indicate that an absolute decrease in diabetes incidence of about 24 percent over 6 years (43.6% vs. 67.7%) for participants participating in a lifestyle intervention vs. control225227 resulted in a 7 percent reduction in stroke at 30 years (39% vs. 46%; HR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.59 to 0.96]) and a nonsignificant trend toward reduced coronary heart disease (15% vs. 19%; HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.51 to 1.04]) and heart failure (10% vs. 12%; HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.48 to 1.04]).228 At 30 years, there was also a reduction in a composite of microvascular outcomes (19% vs. 24%; HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.45 to 0.95]) and retinopathy (14% vs. 19%; HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.38 to 0.95]).228 There was no significant difference between intervention and control groups in nephropathy (4% vs. 5%; HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.36 to 1.28]) or neuropathy (3% vs. 5%; HR, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.24 to 1.36]) at the 30-year follow up.228 The HRs presented here are adjusted for age only.

One study reported on QoL outcomes specific to the ADDITION-Netherlands cohort at 1-117 and 3-year followups (see Appendix E Table 1).95 Another study reported 5-year QoL outcomes for all three ADDITION-Europe countries (the United Kingdom [2 sites], Denmark and the Netherlands) and conducted a pooled-estimate across the four study sites (see Appendix E Table 2).243 QoL outcomes evaluated included self-reported health status assessed using the 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36), which includes both a physical and mental component score, and the EuroQol 5 dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaire, which covers five dimensions of health (mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort, and anxiety/depression) and includes a Visual Analog Scale (EQ-VAS). General well-being was assessed with the Well-Being Questionnaire (W-BQ12), which measures multiple aspects of well-being, and the Audit of Diabetes-Dependent QoL (ADDQoL) questionnaire was used to assess the impact of diabetes on QoL. Of the 2861 participants alive at followup, 2217 participants completed QoL questionnaires.

At the 5-year followup, pooled analysis across four sites (U.K. Cambridge, U.K. Leicester, Denmark, and the Netherlands) found no statistically significant difference in any QoL measure among patients with screen-detected type 2 diabetes receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (Appendix E Table 2).243 This finding of no difference between groups was mirrored in the individual results from each of the four sites with the exception of the U.K. Leicester site, which reported significant differences favoring the intensive treatment group for the SF-36 physical component score (mean difference between groups, −3.78 [95% CI, −7.30 to −0.26]), the EQ-VAS (mean difference between groups, −8.37 [95% CI, −15.15 to −1.59]), and the ADDQoL (mean difference between groups, −1.23 [95% CL, −2.25 to −0.21]) (Appendix E Table 2).243 Similarly, among patients in the ADDITION-Netherlands study, SF-36 QoL measures assessed at the 1- and 3-year followups, and EQ5D QoL measures assessed at the 3-year followup were not significantly different between those receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (Appendix E Table 1).95,117

None of the included publications reported on symptomatic chronic kidney disease, end-stage renal disease, requirement for dialysis, or need for transplantation. The addition-Europe study reported on nephropathy, defined as the presence of either microalbuminuria or macroalbuminuria, at 5 years.76 Microalbuminuria (defined as urinary-albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR] ≥ 2.5 mg/mmol for men and ≥ 3.5 mg/mmol for women), macroalbuminuria (defined as ACR ≥25 mg/mmol) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were used to assess for nephropathy. Of 2861 people still alive at 5 years, 87.1% (n=2493) had data for urinary ACR, and 94.7 percent (n=2710) had data for eGFR (Appendix E Table 3). Pooled analysis from across the four ADDITION-Europe sites (U.K. Cambridge, U.K. Leicester, Denmark, and the Netherlands) found that at 5-years followup, there was no difference in the presence of any albuminuria among patients with screen-detected type 2 diabetes receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (22.7% vs. 24.4%, respectively, OR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.72 to 1.07].76 The pooled estimate for the presence of macroalbuminuria also found no difference between groups (4.0% vs. 3.4%, OR, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.76 to 1.74]), and there was no difference in mean eGFR (4.31 ml/minute versus 6.44 ml/min, mean difference, −1.39 ml/minute [95% CI, −2.97 to 0.19) (Appendix E Table 3).76 Prespecified subgroup analysis found no significant interactions based on sex or age.

None of the included publications reported on vision changes, symptoms of retinopathy, or blindness. The addition-Europe study reported on any retinopathy as a secondary outcome at 5-years followup.76 Retinopathy was assessed using gradable digital images that were categorized as “any retinopathy compared with no retinopathy” and “severe or proliferative retinopathy compared with no, mild or moderate retinopathy using the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) semiquantitative scale. Of 2861 people still alive at 5 years, retinal photographs were retrieved for 76.5 percent (n=2190) (Appendix E Table 3). Pooled analysis from across the four ADDITION-Europe sites (U.K. Cambridge, U.K. Leicester, Denmark, and the Netherlands) found that at 5-years followup, there was no statistically significant difference in the presence of any retinopathy among patients with screen-detected type 2 diabetes receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (10.1% vs. 12.1%, respectively, OR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.64 to 1.10] (Appendix E Table 3).76 Prespecified subgroup analysis found no significant interactions based on sex or age.

The ADDITION-Europe study reported on any neuropathy as a secondary outcome at 5-years followup,76 and ADDITION-Denmark reported on a variety of peripheral neuropathy measures at 6-years followup.245 Peripheral neuropathy was assessed using the self-administered Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) (which defined patients as having peripheral neuropathy if they had a score of ≥7); the Brief Pain Inventory Short form (which defined patients as having painful diabetic neuropathy if they indicated having pain in both legs and /or both arms); light touch sensory testing (which defined peripheral neuropathy as the inability to feel one or more test sites); and the Vibration Detection Threshold (VDT) (which defined peripheral neuropathy as values ≥95th percentile)76,245 Of 2861 people in the ADDITION-Europe study still alive at 5 years, peripheral neuropathy data were available for 80.8 percent (n=2312). Of 1533 people enrolled in the ADDITION-Denmark study, 6-year peripheral neuropathy data were available on 1161 (Appendix E Table 3).245

Pooled analysis from across the four ADDITION-Europe sites (U.K. Cambridge, U.K. Leicester, Denmark, and the Netherlands) (n=2312) found that at 5-years followup, there was no statistically significant difference in the presence of any neuropathy among patients with screen-detected type 2 diabetes receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (4.86% vs. 5.91%, respectively, OR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.68 to 1.34] (Appendix E Table 3).76 Similarly, across multiple measures at 6-years followup in the ADDITION-Denmark study, there was no significant difference in the prevalence of peripheral neuropathy among those receiving intensive multifactorial treatment and those receiving routine care (data shown in figure only).245

Additional Detailed Results for KQ 8

The Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication (DREAM) Trial recruited people with prediabetes across several countries, with a median of 3 years followup.253255 The DREAM results found an absolute decrease in diabetes incidence of about 14 percent over 3 years (10.6% vs. 25.0% after rosiglitazone vs. control)254 and no significant difference in all-cause mortality (1.1% vs. 1.3%) or cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, cardiac resuscitation, MI, stroke, revascularization procedure, new angina with documented ischemia or heart failure) over the same time period (2.9% vs. 2.1%).255

The STOP NIDDM trial recruited people with prediabetes and BMI between 25 and 40 across several countries, who were randomized to acarbose or placebo with mean 3.3 years of followup for diabetes and cardiovascular events (coronary heart disease, cardiovascular death, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular event, or peripheral vascular disease).235,236 The STOP NIDDM results found that an absolute decrease in diabetes incidence of about 9 percent over 3.3 years with acarbose (32.4% vs. 41.5% for acarbose vs. control)235 and 2.5 percent fewer major cardiovascular events (2.2% vs. 4.7%).236

The SCALE trial recruited people across 27 countries with prediabetes and BMI>30, or prediabetes and BMI>27 with hypertension and/or dyslipidaemia.115 Participants were randomized to liraglutide or placebo with 3.3 years of followup to diabetes and a composite of cardiovascular events (acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular, heart failure, stent thrombosis, revascularization procedure, hospitalizations for cardiac arrhythmia). The SCALE reported an absolute decrease in diabetes incidence of about 4 percent over 3 years (1.7% vs. 6.1% of participants after a liraglutide vs. control) and did not find a statistically significant reduction in cardiovascular events over the same time period.115

The Actos Now For Prevention of Diabetes Trial (ACT NOW) trial recruited people with IGT and BMI>25 (>22 in Asian Americans) and at least one other risk factor for diabetes in the United States.251,252 Participants were randomized to Pioglitazone or placebo, with 2.2 years followup to diabetes and a cardiovascular composite (atypical chest pain, cardiac arrhythmia, carotid endarterectomy, coronary artery bypass/revascularization, coronary artery disease without revascularization, new or worsening angina, new or worsening CHF, nonfatal MI, peripheral vascular disease with claudication or revascularization, TIA, malignant hypertension). The ACT NOW results found an absolute decrease in diabetes incidence of about 12 percent over 2 years (5.0% vs. 16.7% of participants after pioglitazone vs. control)251,252 and no difference in cardiovascular events over the same time period.251

The Let’s Prevent Diabetes study recruited people with screen detected prediabetes in the United Kingdom for a lifestyle intervention with 3-year followup to all outcomes.86,118 Incidence of diabetes was similar in the intervention and control groups (14.3% vs. 15.5%) as was quality of life (measured using a 15 dimensional score 0.91 vs. 0.91).86,118

Appendix E Table 1Quality of Life Outcomes at 1- and 3-Year Followups Among Individuals With Screen-Detected Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 4)

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

QoL Outcomes at 1-Year FollowupQoL Outcomes at 3-Year Followup

van den Donk, 201095

Janssen, 2009117

ADDITION-Netherlands

Netherlands

G1: N=255

G2: N=243

Short form-36 Mean (SD)

Physical functioning

G1 baseline: 77.4 (21.9)

G1 1-year: 80.1 (21.2)

G2 baseline: 78.3 (22.0)

G2 1-year:78.1 (23.2)

p=0.22

Role physical

G1 baseline: 82.8 (31.4)

G1 1-year: 80.3 (35.0)

G2 baseline: 84.9 (30.0)

G2 1-year: 81.1 (33.5)

p=0.93

Bodily pain

G1 baseline: 80.8 (22.1)

G1 1-year: 79.2 (22.7)

G2 baseline: 84.7 (20.7)

G2 1-year: 82.2 (22.4)

p=0.97

General health

G1 baseline: 59.1 (11.5)

G1 1-year: 63.3 (18.4)

G2 baseline: 59.7 (12.0)

G2 1-year: 64.4 (18.1)

p=0.63

Vitality:

G1 baseline: 49.3 (14.4)

G1 1-year: 64.8 (20.4)

G2 baseline: 52.2 (13.2)

G2 1-year: 67.1 (18.4)

p=0.81

Social functioning

G1 baseline: 87.9 (20.0)

G1 1-year: 83.0 (22.0)

G2 baseline: 89.0 (17.2)

G2 1-year: 85.7 (19.2)

p=0.37

Role emotional

G1 baseline: 88.2 (28.6)

G1 1-year: 86.2 (30.9)

G2 baseline: 85.4 (32.4)

G2 1-year: 89.9 (26.0)

p=0.25

G1: N=145-163

G1: N=160-178

Short form 36 Mean (SEM)

Physical functioning

G1 baseline: 77.6 (1.7)

G1 3 years: 77.3 (1.8)

Change: −0.3 (−3.4, 2.8)

G2 baseline: 78.4 (1.8)

G2 3 years:79.1 (1.7)

Change: 0.7 (−2.5, 3.8)

Difference: −1.2 (−6.1, 3.7)

Role physical

G1 baseline: 83.8 (2.3)

G1 3 years: 76.6 (2.7)

G1 Change: −7.3 (−12.4, −2.1)

G2 baseline: 85.4 (2.4)

G2 3 years: 83.4 (2.4)

G2 Change: −2.0 (−7.0, 3.0)

Difference: −5.3 (−12.5, 1.9)

Bodily pain

G1 baseline: 80.5 (1.7)

G1 3 years: 78.0 (1.8)

G1 Change: −2.5 (−5.7, 0.7)

G2 baseline: 84.7 (1.7)

G2 3 years: 81.1 (1.6)

G2 Change: −3.6 (−6.8, −0.4)

Difference: 1.1 (−3.4, 5.6)

General health

G1 baseline: 59.5 (0.9)

G1 3 years: 64.2 (1.5)

G1 Change: 4.7 (2.3, 7.2)

G2 baseline: 59.6 (1.0)

G2 3 years: 65.8 (1.5)

G2 Change: 6.2 (3.7, 8.7)

Difference: −1.5 (−5.0, 2.0)

Vitality:

G1 baseline: 49.2 (1.1)

G1 3 years: 65.6 (1.6)

G1 Change: 16.4 (13.0, 19.7)

G2 baseline: 51.4 (1.1)

G2 3 years: 67.7 (1.6)

G2 Change: 16.3 (13.4, 19.2)

Difference: 0.03 (−4.6, 4.7)

Social functioning

G1 baseline: 89.3 (1.4)

G1 3 years: 83.2 (1.7)

G1 Change: −6.1 (−9.4, −2.8)

G2 baseline: 90.0 (1.3)

G2 3 years: 86.2 (1.6)

G2 Change: −3.8 (−6.8, −0.9)

Difference: −2.3 (−7.0, 2.3)

Role emotional

G1 baseline:

G1 baseline: 89.3 (2.1)

G1 3 years: 84.8 (2.4)

G2 Change: −4.6 (−10.3, 1.1)

87.9 (2.4)

G2 3 years: 87.0 (2.4)

G2 Change: −0.8 (−5.6,3.9)

Difference: −3.7 (−11.2,3.7)

Mental health

G1 baseline: 68.1 (1.0)

G1 3 years: 75.9 (1.4)

Change: 7.8 (5.1;10.5)

G2 baseline: 71.1 (0.9)

G2 3 years: 79.7 (1.2)

Change: 8.6 (6.1,11.1)

Difference: −0.8 (−4.5,2.8)

EQ5D

G1 baseline: 0.81 (0.02)

G1 3 years: 0.81 (0.02)

G1 change: 0.0002 (−0.03,0.03)

G2 baseline: 0.81 (0.02)

G2 3 years: 0.81 (0.02)

G2 change: 0.001 (−0.03,0.03)

Difference:

−0.002 (−0.04,0.04)

Abbreviations: ADDITION=Anglo-Dutch-Danish Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen Detected Diabetes in Primary Care; G=Group; SD=standard deviation; SEM=Standard Error of the Mean.

Appendix E Table 2Quality of Life Outcomes at 5-Year Followup Among Individuals With Screen-Detected Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 4)

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

DenmarkU.K., CambridgeU.K. Leicester

Netherlands

5-Year Followup

Pooled Across Countries

Mean Difference (95% CI)

van den Donk, 2013243

Simmons, 201676

ADDITION-Europe

Denmark, U.K., Netherlands

At 5-year followup

SF-36 (n=1093)

PCS mean score (SD)

G1: 46.7 (10.0)

G2: 46.7 (9.6)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.32 (−1.36, 0.72)

MCS mean score (SD)

G1: 55.3 (9.1)

G2: 54.9 (8.5)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.63 (−1.70, 0.44)

EuroQol

EQ-5D (n=1158) mean score (SD)

G1: 0.85 (0.21)

G2: 0.84 (0.22)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.02 (−0.04, 0.00)

EQ-VAS (n=1153) mean score (SD)

G1: 76.9 (16.9)

G2: 76.4 (18.5)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−1.05 (−3.00, 0.90)

W-BQ12

General (n-1127)

mean score (SD)

G1: 28.5 (5.9)

G2: 28.1 (6.3)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.60 (−1.28, 0.08)

Negative (n=1147)

mean score (SD)

G1: 1.1 (2.0)

G2: 1.1 (1.8)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.10 (−0.12, 0.32)

Positive (n=1148)

mean score (SD)

G1: 9.4 (2.5)

G2: 9.2 (2.8)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.31 (−0.63, 0.01)

Energy (n=1144)

mean score (SD)

G1: 8.1 (2.7)

G2: 8.0 (2.8)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.21 (−0.52, 0.10)

ADDQoL (n=900)

G1: −0.73 (1.15)

G2: −0.69 (1.07)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.02 (−0.13, 0.17)

At 5-year followup

SF-36 (n=660)

PCS mean score (SD)

G1: 43.9 (11.6)

G2: 44.6 (11.3)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.83 (−0.96, 2.61)

MCS mean score (SD)

G1: 53.4 (9.0)

G2: 54.6 (8.4)

Mean difference (95% CI)

1.14 (−0.14, 2.41)

EuroQol

EQ-5D (n=663) mean score (SD)

G1: 0.81 (0.23)

G2: 0.83 (0.22)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.02 (−0.01, 0.05)

EQ-VAS (n=671) mean score (SD)

G1: 76.1 (18.0)

G2: 78.4 (16.4)

Mean difference (95% CI)

2.72 (−0.09, 5.52)

W-BQ12

General (n=656)

mean score (SD)

G1: 25.5 (6.5)

G2: 26.4 (5.9)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.81 (−0.10, 1.71)

Negative (665)

mean score (SD)

G1: 1.7 (2.4)

G2: 1.4 (2.1)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.28 (−0.61, 0.06)

Positive (n=667)

mean score (SD)

G1: 8.2 (2.8)

G2: 8.4 (2.7)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.35 (−0.28, 0.57)

Energy (n=667)

mean score (SD)

G1: 7.0 (2.7)

G2: 7.3 (2.6)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.35 (−0.01, 0.72)

ADDQoL (n=586)

G1: −0.84 (1.29)

G2: −0.87 (1.30)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.07 (−0.28, 0.13)

At 5-year followup

SF-36 (n=143)

PCS mean score (SD)

G1: 44.3 (11.4)

G2: 43.4 (10.5)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−3.78 (−7.30, −0.26)

MCS mean score (SD)

G1: 50.9 (10.1)

G2: 52.2 (9.8)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−1.51 (−5.33, 2.31)

EuroQol

EQ-5D (n=145) mean score (SD)

G1: 0.75 (0.31)

G2: 0.79 (0.23)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.02 (−0.09, 0.06)

EQ-VAS (n=148) mean score (SD)

G1: 78.3 (16.3)

G2: 74.8 (18.4)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−8.37 (−15.15, −1.59)

W-BQ12

General (n=136)

mean score (SD)

G1: 25.3 (6.7)

G2: 25.0 (6.3)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−2.21 (−4.64, 0.22)

Negative (n=145)

mean score (SD)

G1: 1.9 (2.5)

G2: 2.1 (2.5)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.78 (−0.33, 1.89)

Positive (n=144)

mean score (SD)

G1: 8.2 (2.6)

G2: 8.0 (2.9)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.99 (−2.06, 0.09)

Energy (n=140)

mean score (SD)

G1: 7.1 (2.7)

G2: 7.1 (2.3)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.48 (−1.37, 0.41)

ADDQoL (n=126)

G1: −1.20 (1.78)

G2: −2.39 (2.52)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−1.23 (−2.25, −0.21)

At 5-year followup

SF-36 (n=321)

PCS mean score (SD)

G1: 46.8 (10.4)

G2: 47.0 (10.5)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.42 (−1.63, 2.46)

MCS mean score (SD)

G1: 54.3 (8.2)

G2: 53.7 (7.4)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.64 (−2.53, 1.26)

EuroQol

EQ-5D (n=320) mean score (SD)

G1: 0.86 (0.18)

G2: 0.82 (0.26)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.03 (−0.07, 0.01)

EQ-VAS (n=319) mean score (SD)

G1: 76.5 (13.7)

G2: 75.3 (15.6)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−1.87 (−4.92, 1.18)

W-BQ12

General (n=312)

mean score (SD)

G1: 27.6 (6.3)

G2: 27.4 (5.7)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.45 (−1.82, 1.18)

Negative (n=318)

mean score (SD)

G1: 1.1 (1.9)

G2: 1.1 (1.8)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.06 (−0.37, 0.48)

Positive (n=321)

mean score (SD)

G1: 8.0 (3.1)

G2: 8.1 (2.6)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.13 (−0.80, 0.54)

Energy (n=316)

mean score (SD)

G1: 8.5 (2.6)

G2: 8.5 (2.3)

Mean difference (95% CI)

−0.08 (−0.61, 0.45)

ADDQoL (n=304)

G1: −0.55 (0.86)

G2: −0.55 (0.92)

Mean difference (95% CI)

0.02 (−0.18, 0.22)

At 5-year followup

SF-36 PCS

Pooled estimate

−0.21 (−1.48, 1.05)

I2=44%

SF-36 MCS

Pooled estimate

−0.01 (−1.21, 0.99)

I2=50%

EQ-5D

Pooled estimate

−0.01 (−0.03, 0.02)

I2=49%

EQ-VAS

Pooled estimate

−1.17 (−4.20, 1.87)

I2=73%

W-BQ-general

Pooled estimate

−0.32 (−1.31, 0.66)

I2=66%

W-BQ-negative

Pooled estimate

0.01 (−0.25, 0.27)

I2=45%

W-BQ-positive

Pooled estimate

−0.19 (−0.53, 0.15)

I2=41%

W-BQ-energy

Pooled estimate

−0.04 (−0.38, 0.31)

I2=54%

ADDQoL

Pooled estimate

−0.04 (−0.20, 0.13)

I2=50%

Abbreviations: ADDITION=Anglo-Dutch-Danish Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen Detected Diabetes in Primary Care; ADDQoL=Anglo-Dutch-Danish Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen Detected Diabetes in Primary Care quality of life; CI=confidence interval; EQ-5D=EuroQol 5 Dimensions; EQ-VAS=EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale; G=Group; MCS=mental component scale; PCS=physical component scale; SD=standard deviation; SF-36=36-item Short Form Health Survey; U.K.=United Kingdom; W-BQ=12-Item short form of the Well-Being Questionnaire.

Appendix E Table 3Results of Outcomes for Chronic Kidney Disease, Retinopathy, and Neuropathy Among Individuals With Screen-Detected Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 4)

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

Chronic Kidney Disease

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Visual Impairment

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Neuropathy

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Simmons, 201676

ADDITION-Europe

Denmark, U.K., the Netherlands

At 5-year followup

Any albuminuria (yes/no)

# patients (%)

G1: 316/1392 (22.7)

G2: 269/1101 (24.4)

OR, (95% CI)

0.88 (0.72, 1.07)

Macroalbuminuria

# patients (%)

G1: 56/1392 (4.0)

G2: 37/1101 (3.4)

OR, (95% CI)

1.15 (0.76,1.74)

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) (n=2710)

Mean (SD)

G1: 4.31 (0.49) ml/min

G2: 6.44 (0.9) ml/min

Mean difference (95% CI)

−1.39 (−2.97, 0.19) ml/min

No interaction based on age or sex

At 5-year followup

Any retinopathy (yes/no)

# patients (%)

G1: 125/1232 (10.1)

G2: 116/958 (12.1)

OR, (95% CI)

0.84 (0.64, 1.10)

No interaction based on age or sex

At 5-year followup

Any neuropathy (yes/no)

G1: 63/1296 (4.86)

G2: 60/1016 (5.91)

OR, (95% CI)

0.95 (0.68, 1.34)

Charles, 2011245

ADDITION-Denmark

Denmark

NRNR

At 6-years followup (n=1161)

Light touch sensation, 1/8

Prevalence (SD)

G1 (n=387): 17.8% (14.1, 22.0)

G2 (n=231): 20.3% (15.3, 26.1)

Vibration detection threshold, >95th percentile

Prevalence (SD)

G1 (n=235): 22.6% (17.2, 28.1)

G2 (n=136): 25.7% (18.3, 33.2)

Light touch + VDT

Prevalence (SD)

G1 (n=229): 30.1% (24.1, 36.1)

G2 (n=135) 34.8% (26.7, 43.0)

MNSI Questionnaire, cut ≥7

Prevalence (SD)

G1 (n=656): 8.7% (6.5, 10.9)

G2 (n=430): 9.3% (6.5, 12.1)

Pain

Prevalence (SD)

G1 (n=581): 4.6% (2.9, 6.4)

G2 (n=400): 4.5% (2.5, 6.5)

For all outcomes: OR point estimate favored G1 but was nonsignificant (data was presented visually, data NR)

Abbreviations: ADDITION=Anglo-Dutch-Danish Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen Detected Diabetes in Primary Care; CI=confidence interval; eGFR=Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate; MNSI=Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument; NR=not reported; OR=odds ratio; SD=standard deviation; VDT=Vibration Detection Threshold.

Appendix E Table 4Characteristics of Studies that Evaluated Interventions for People With Prediabetes (KQs 4, 6, 7, 9)

Author, Year

Trial Name

Design; SettingParticipants

Groups

(No. Participants)

Followup, yAge, Mean (SD or IQR), yNo. (%) FNo. (%) Non-whiteHbA1C Mean (%)(SD)FPG, Mean (SD) mg/dLBMI, Mean, kg/m2

Mean BP Systolic (mm Hg) (SD)

Mean BP Diastolic (mm Hg) (SD)

No. (%) Smokers

Quality
Studies Evaluating Lifestyle Interventions (including those that also evaluated medications)

Ackermann, 2015139

Reaching Out to Prevent Increases in Diabetes (RAPID)

RCT; 9 urban primary care clinics in Indianapolis, IndianaLow-income adults with IFG, IGT, or elevated HbA1c, BMI ≥24 kg/m2, and no diagnosis of DM

G1: Group-based YMCA DPP (YDPP) intervention (n=257)

G2: Usual care plus brief counseling & information on community resources (n=252)

1

G1: 50.8 (12.2)

G2: 51.2 (12.0)

G1: 187 (72.8)

G2: 173 (68.7)

G1: 166 (65)

G2: 165 (65)

G1 6.1 (0.3)

G2 6.0 (0.3)

NR

G1: 37.1 (8.7)

G2: 36.5 (8.3)

Overall: 132.2 (14.6)

NR

NR

G1: 133.5 (15.2)

G2: 130.9 (13.8)

NR

Good
Aekplakorn, 2019268RCT; primary care units in 8 provinces. Thailand30-65 years of age without a history of diabetes but with impaired glucose tolerance testing

G1: lifestyle program with 17 sessions (34 PCUs, 1,030 total)

G2: Usual care with one-time education program (34 PCUs, 873 total)

2

G1: 50.9 (6.3)

G2: 50.8 (6.5)

G1: 809 (78.5%)

G2: 708 (81.1%)

NRNR

G1: 97.1 (12.5)

G2: 97.9 (12.3)

G1: 26.7

G2: 27.3

NRFair

Bhopal, 201436

Welsh, 2016220

The Prevention of Diabetes and Obesity in South Asians (PODOSA) study

RCT; 2 National Health Service regions in ScotlandIndian or Pakistani adults aged 35+ y with IGT or IFG, no diagnosis of DM (other than gestational DM), and waist 90+ cm (men) or 80+ cm (women)

G1: Lifestyle intervention with family support and visits to dietician (n=85)

G2: Standardized advice with family support (n=86)

3

G1: 52.8 (10.2)

G2: 52.2 (10.3)

G1: 46 (44)

G2: 47 (45)

G1: 85 (100)

G2: 86 (100)

NR

G1: 104.4 (10.8)

G2: 104.4 (10.8)

G1: 30.6(5.0)

G2: 30.5 (4.6)

G1: 136.9 (21.8) G2: 137.0 (19.7)

G1: 82.7 (12.5)

G2: 83.5 (10.7)

Current tobacco use

G1:6 (7)

G2: 5 (6)

Fair

Block, 2015205

Alive-PD

RCT; Ambulatory care health care delivery system in CA, U.S.Adults aged 30-69 y with IFG or HbA1c in prediabetes range, and BMI of 27+ kg/m2 (non-Asians) or 25+ kg/m2 (Asians)

G1: Alive-PD behavioral intervention for diabetes prevention delivered via the Web, Internet, mobile phone, and automated phone calls (n=163)

G2: Usual care (n=176)

0.5

G1: 54.9 (9.1)

G2: 55.0 (8.8)

G1: 54 (30.7)

G2: 52 (31.9)

G1: 56 (31.8)

G2:54 (33.1)

Overall 5.6 (0.3)

G1: 5.6 (0.3)

G2: 5.6 (0.3)

Overall 109.9 (8.4)

G1: 110.1 (8.6)

G2: 109.6 (8.3)

G1: 31.2 (4.3)

G2: 31.1 (4.5)

G1: 130.4 (14.5)

G2: 130.5 (15.0)

G1: 82.6 (8.7)

G2: 82.0 (8.1)

NR

Fair

Davies, 201686

Gray, 2016118

Let’s Prevent Diabetes

Cluster RCT; 44 general practices in Leicestershire, U.K.Adults aged 40-75 (White European) or 25-75 (South Asian) y with screen-detected prediabetes (IFG and/or IGT)

G1: Let’s Prevent Diabetes lifestyle intervention (n=447)

G2: Usual care (all received booklet with DM information) (n=433)

3

G1: 63.9 (7.6)

G2: 63.9 (7.9)

G1:36.9 (NR)

G2:35.8 (NR)

G1: 70 (16.2)

G2: 70 (15.7)

G1: 6.1 (0.4)

G2: 6.1 (0.4)

G1: 102.6 (12.6)

G2: 100.8 (12.6)

G1:32.0 (5.2)

G2:33.1 (5.8)

G1: 147.9 (20.7)

G2:147.7 (17.7)

G1:86.6 (11.0)

G2:86. 2(10.6)

G1:38 (8.5)

G2:22 (5.1)

Fair

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 200280

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2005119

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201297

DPP

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2012237 Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2009146

RCT (DPP) and open-label extension (DPPOS); 27 clinical centers throughout the U.S.

Following double-blind phase, all participants were invited to participate in an open-labeled extension (DPPOS)

Adults aged 25+ y with IFG and IGT, no diagnosis of DM, and BMI 24+ kg/m2 (non-Asians) or 22+ kg/m2 (Asians)

G1: Intensive lifestyle intervention*

(n =1079; 910 enrolled in DPPOS)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus metformin at a dose of 850 mg twice daily

(n=1073; 924 enrolled in DPPOS)

G3: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily

(n =1082; 932 enrolled in DPPOS)

DPP: 2.8

DPPOS: 10-15

G1: 50.6 (11.3)

G2: 50.9 (10.3)

G3: 50.3 (10.4)

G1: 734 (68.0)

G2: 710 (66.2)

G3: 747 (69.0)

G1: 499 (46.2)

G2:471 (43.9)

G3: 496 (45.8)

G1: 5.91 (0.51)

G2:5.91 (0.50)

G3: 5.91 (0.50)

G1: 106.3 (8.1)

G2: 106.5 (8.5)

G3: 106.7 (8.4)

G1:33.9 (6.8)

G2:33.9 (6.6)

G3:34.2 (6.7)

NR

DPP: Good

DPPOS: Fair

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201579

Apolzan, 2019238

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201981

DPPOS

Hellgren, 2014143RCT; SwedenAdults aged 35–75 y with IGT and a FINDRISC questionnaire risk score >11.

G1: Intensive intervention (focused only on physical activity) (n=19)

G2: Basic intervention (n=18)

G3: Usual care, with written and verbal information on IGT (n=15)

1

G1: 66 (9)

G2: 63 (10)

G3: 68 (5)

24 (53.3)NR

G1: 5.8 (NR)

G2: 5.8 (NR)

G3: 6.0 (NR)

G1: 106.2 (9.0)

G2: 108.0 (10.8)

G3: 106.2 (10.8)

G1: 30 (4)

G2: 29 (4)

G3: 30 (6)

G1: 148 (19)

G2: 82 (10)

G3: NR

G1: 144 (21)

G2: 153 (17)

G3: 145 (18)

G1: 83 (9)

G2: 83 (12)

G3: 78 (7)

Fair
Hu, 2017215RCT; Rural areas in Hunan Province, ChinaAdults aged 60 y with prediabetes

G1: Synthetic intervention (n=214)

G2: Standard health advice (n=220)

1

G1: 69.2 (6.8)

G2: 69.5 (6.3)

G1: 121 (56.5)

G2: 133 (60.5)

NR

G1:5.7 (0.9)

G2: 5.8 (1.1)

G1: 111.0 (10.9)

G2: 109.8 (8.8)

G1: 23.5 (3.2)

G2: 23.9 (3.7)

NRFair

Katula, 2013144

Pedley, 2018257

Healthy Living Partnership (HELP PD)

RCT; community-based sites in North Carolina, U.S.Volunteers with IFG and BMI 25-39 kg/m2 (eligibility criteria targeted representative sample in the community)

G1: Lifestyle weight loss intervention adapted from DDPLI with exercise and reduction in caloric intake (n=151)

G2: Enhanced usual care with nutrition counseling (n=150)

2G1: 57.3 (10.1) G2: 58.5 (9)

G1: 87 (57.6)

G2: 86 (57.3)

G1: 40 (26.5)

G2: 39 (26.0)

NR

G1: 105.4 (12.5)

G2: 105.7 (10.0)

G1: 32.8 (3.9)

G2: 32.6 (4.1)

NRFair
Kosaka, 2005224RCT; Hospital medical center in JapanMales with IGT and no previous history of diabetes

G1: Lifestyle intervention (n=356)

G2: Usual care (n=102)

4NR0 (0)NRNRNR

G1: 24.0 (2.3)

G2: 23.8 (2.1)

G1: 123 (18)

G2: 124 (17)

G1: 78 (13)

G2: 79 (11)

NR

Fair
Kulkarni, 2018272RCT; outpatient medicine or endocrine clinic in one hospital system, India18 years or older, screened positive prediabetes, free of CVD

G1: intensive lifestyle – standard lifestyle with use of a healthcare facilitator with weekly reminders and monthly phone calls (35)

G2: intensive lifestyle and metformin – 500 BID (35)

G3: advice on standard lifestyle modifications (standard care) (33)

6 months

G1: 45.3 (10.9)

G2: 49.4 (9.2)

G3: 49 (9.8)

G1: 25 (71.4%)

G2: 21 (60%)

G3: 23 (69.7%)

NR

G1: 6.13

G2: 6.1

G3: 6.05

G1: 109.4

G2: 108.9

G3: 109.3

G1: 29.3

G2: 28.1

G3: 28.5

G1: 123 (13)

G2: 124 (10)

G3: 124 (10)

NR

NR

Fair

Kulzer, 2009112

Prevention of Diabetes Self-Management Program (PREDIAS)

RCT: GermanyAdults aged 20-70 y with IGT or IFG, or Diabetes Risk Score >10, or advisement of PCP, and BMI ≥26 kg/m2

G1: PREDIAS group lifestyle intervention based on the Diabetes Prevention Program (n=91)

G2: Control (received the PREDIAS written information and patient materials (n=91)

156.3 (10.1)78 (43)NR

G1: 5.7 (0.5)

G2: 5.7 (0.6)

G1: 105.7 (12.4 G2: 105.5 (12.4)

G1: 31 (4.7)

G2: 32 (5.7)

G1: 141.8 (18.6)

G2: 139.1 (15.9)

G1: 88.5 (10.5)

G2: 87.3 (9.7)

NR

Fair
Lindahl, 2009137RCT; SwedenAdults recruited from community intervention program on CVD and diabetes, with IGT and BMI >27 kg/m2

G1: Intensive lifestyle with one-month residential stay (n=151 randomized, but only n=100 directly invited; 50 assigned as substitutes)

G2: Usual care (n=150 randomized, but only n=100 directly invited; 50 assigned as substitutes)

5

G1: 52.2 (9)

G2: 53.5 (8.4)

G1: 58 (69.9)

G2: 52 (61.2)

NRNR

G1: 105.1 (23.8)

G2: 111.4 (22.7)

G1: 31.2 (3.1)

G2: 30.2 (3.4)

G1: 140.7 (19.3)

G2: 141.3 (18.8)

G1: 84.2 (10.0)

G2: 85.7 (9.8)

Daily smoker

G1: 6 (7.2)

G2: 7 (8.2)

Ex-smoker

G1: 29 (34.9)

G2: 22 (25.9)

Fair

Morey, 2012120

The Enhancing Fitness in Older Overweight Veterans with Impaired Glucose Tolerance (Enhanced Fitness) Trial

Controlled clinical trial; VA Medical Center, Durham, NC, U.S.Adults aged 60+ y with IFG, no diagnosis of DM, and BMI 25- 45 kg/m2

G1: Counseling intervention focused on physical activity (n=180)

G2: Usual care control (n=122)

1

G1: 67.1 (6.3)

G2: 67.7 (6.2)

G1: 7 (3.9)

G2: 3 (2.5)

G1: 51 (28.3)

G2: 39 (32.0)

G1: 5.9 (0.4)

G2: 5.9 (0.4)

G1: 110.5 (6.95)

G2: 110.6 (7.10)

G1: 31.35 (3.75)

G2: 30.97 (3.45)

NR

NR

NR

Fair
Moungngern, 2018270RCT; outpatient department, Thailand18 years of age or older, 11-20% increased risk of developing T2DM in next 12 years, A1c 5.7-6.4 or FPG 100-125 or HDL <35 or triglycerides >250 of history of GDM or delivery of infant >4 kg

G1: lifestyle program (nurse-managed health promotion program), group activities at 1, 2, 8 weeks (n=61)

G2: routine self care (n=64)

6 months

G1: 55.9 (9.3)

G2: 53.6 (9.8)

G1: 47 (77%)

G2: 46 (71.9%)

NR

G1: 6

G2: 6

G1: 98

G2: 99

G1: 27.8

G2: 27.9

NRFair

O’Brien, 2017142

The Promotora Effectiveness Versus Metformin Trial (PREVENT-DM)

RCT; Health center in Philadelphia, PA, U.S.Latinas aged ≥20 y with impaired fasting glucose and/or elevated HbA1c

G1: Intensive group-based adaptation of the DPP lifestyle intervention delivered by promotoras (community healthcare workers (n=33)

G2: Metformin 850 mg twice daily (n=29)

G3: Standard care plus written educational materials on diabetes prevention (n=30)

1

G1: 45.5 (12.3)

G2: 45.8 (11.7)

G3: 44.0 (13.6)

92 (100)92 (100)

G1: 5.9 (0.2)

G2: 6.0 (0.2)

G3: 5.9 (0.3)

G1: 97.5 (7.5)

G2: 94.6 (10.1)

G3: 96.0 (10.7)

G1: 34.4 (7.9)

G2: 33.2 (5.5)

G3: 32.2 (5.7)

G1: 118.4 (13.9)

G2: 122.2 (19.8)

G3: 118.3 (17.6)

G1: 74.5 (9.8)

G2: 75.9 (10.2)

G3: 73.3 (9.0)

NR

Fair
Oldroyd, 2001212RCT; Hospital clinical research facility Newcastle upon Tyne, U.K.Adults aged 24–75 y with IGT

G1: Behavioral intervention (n=39)

G2: Control (n=39)

0.5

G1: 58.2 (NR)

G2: 57.5 (NR)

G1: 19 (54)

G2: 10 (32)

NR

G1: 5.8 (0.7)

G2: 5.9 (0.5)

G1: 108.0 (16.2)

G2: 111.6 (16.2)

G1: 30.4 (5.6)

G2: 29.9 (4.9)

G1: 137.2 (19.9)

G2: 132.8 (16.4)

G1: 77.0 (12.6)

G2: 75.5 (9.8)

NR

Fair

Pan, 1997225

Li, 2008226

Li, 2014227

Gong, 2019228

China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS)

Cluster RCT; Health care clinics in Da Qing, ChinaAdults aged >25 y with IGT

G1: Combined 6-year lifestyle (diet, exercise, or diet + exercise) intervention: (n=438)

G2: Control (n=138)

30-year followup

G1: 44.7 (SE 0.4)

G2: 46.6 (SE 0.8)

G1: 205 (47)

G2:59 (43)

NRNR

G1: 100.8 (SE 14.4)

G2: 99.4 (SE 14.4)

G1: 25.6 (4.0)

G2: 26.2 (3.8)

G1: 131.9 (24.3)

G2: 133.4 (26.0)

G1: 87.0 (14.1)

G2: 87.8 (15.4)

G1: 169 (39)

G2: 69 (50)

Fair
Penn, 2009264RCT; Hospital clinical research facility Newcastle upon Tyne, U.K.Adults ages 40+ y with IGT, no previous diagnosis of DM, and BMI >25 kg/m2

G1: Individual behavioral intervention (n=51)

G2: Usual care and standard health promotion advice (n=51)

Mean 3.1

G1: 56.8 (40-72)

G2: 57.4 (38-74)

G1: 30 (58.8)

G2: 31 (60.8)

NRNR

G1: 102.6 (10.8)

G2: 104.4 (9.0)

G1: 34.1 (5.5)

G2: 33.5 (4.6)

NRFair
Ramachandran, 2006234 Indian Diabetes Prevention ProgrammeRCT; IndiaAdults aged 35-55 y with IGT and no previous diagnosis of DM

G1: Lifestyle Intervention (n=133)

G2: Metformin (n=133)

G3: Lifestyle Intervention + Metformin (n=129)

G4: Standard health care advice (n=136)

3

G1: 46.1 (5.7)

G2: 45.9 (5.9)

G3: 46.3 (5.7)

G4: 45.2 (5.7)

G1: 29 (21.8)

G2:26 (19.5)

G3: 24 (18.6)

G4: 32 (23.5)

NR

G1: 6.1 (0.5)

G2: 6.2 (0.6)

G3: 6.2 (0.6)

G4: 6.2 (0.5)

G1: 97.2 (12.6)

G2: 97.2 (14.4)

G3: 97.2 (14.4)

G4: 99.0 (14.4)

G1: 25.7 (3.3)

G2: 25.6 (3.7)

G3: 25.6 (3.3)

G4: 26.3 (3.7)

G1:121.5 (14.4) G2: 120.7 (15.9) G3: 122.4 (14.3) G4: 124.1 (16.0)

G1: 74.4 (8.1) G2: 74.4 (9.2) G3: 74.9 (8.1) G4: 76.2 (8.6)

G1: 29 (21.8)

G2: 23 (17.3)

G3: 27 (20.9)

G4: 36 (26.5)

Fair

Saito, 201187

ZPLS

RCT; 38 hospitals and clinics in JapanJapanese adults aged 30-60 y with IFG, no DM diagnosis, and BMI ≥24 kg/m2

G1: Frequent intervention (received individual instructions and followup support for lifestyle modification 9 times over 36 months) (n=311)

G2: Control group (received individual instructions and followup support for lifestyle modification 4 times over 12 months). (n=330)

3

G1: 50 (44-54)

G2: 48 (41-54)

Median and IQR

G1: 87 (28)

G2: 96 (29)

NR

G1: 5.4 (0.4)

G2: 5.4 (0.4)

G1: 108 (8)

G2: 107 (8)

G1: 26.9 (2.6)

G2: 27.1 (2.6)

G1: 130 (16)

G2: 131 (16)

G1: 81 (11)

G2: 81 (12)

G1: 78 (25)

G2: 92 (28)

Fair
Sakane, 2011266RCT; 32 community health care institutions and company clinics across JapanAdults aged 30-60 with IGT who had not yet begun lifestyle modifications on their own

G1: Repeated sessions of group and individual lifestyle modification intervention (n=152)

G2: one group session at baseline on healthy lifestyle and prevention of DM (n=152)

3

G1: 51 (7)

G2: 51 (6)

NRNRNR

G1: 106.2 (9.0)

G2: 109.8 (9.0)

G1: 24.8 (3.6)

G2: 24.5 (3.2)

NRFair

Sakane, 2015140

The Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1)

Cluster RCT; 17 community and company healthcare divisions across JapanAdults aged 25-60 y with IFG but no diagnosis of diabetes

G1: 1-year telephone-delivered lifestyle support intervention (n=1,240)

G2: Control (n=1,367)

Median 4.2

G1: 48.9 (7.8)

G2: 48.9 (7.5)

G1: 217 (17.5)

G2: 217 (15.9)

NRNRMedian: 106.2

G1: 24.4 (3.2)

G2: 24.3 (3.1)

NR

NR

NR

Fair

Tuomilehto, 2001232

Uusitupa, 2009233

Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study (FDPS)

RCT; FinlandAdults aged 40-65 y with IGT, no diagnosis of diabetes, and BMI > 25 kg/m2

Original Study:

G1: physical activity, weight reduction and dietary counseling intervention (n=265)

G2: General diet & exercise (n=257)

10-y followup study:

G1: same as above (n=257)

G2: Same as above (n=248)

Original study: mean 3.2

10-y followup study: mean 10.6 y

Original study

G1: 55 (7)

G2: 55 (7)

10-y followup study

G1: 55.4 (7.3)

G2: 55.0 (6.9)

Original study

G1: 174 (65.7)

G2: 176 (68.5)

10-year followup study

G1: 169 (65.8)

G2: 170 (68.5)

NRNR

Original study

G1: 109 (14)

G2: 110 (13)

10-year followup study

G1: 109.8 (14.4)

G2: 111.6 (12.6)

Original study

G1: 31.3 (4.6)

G2: 31.0 (4.5)

10-y followup study

G1: 31.4 (4.6)

G2: 31.2 (4.5)

Original study

G1: 140 (18)

G2: 136 (17)

G1: 86 (9)

G2: 86 (10)

NR

10-y followup study:

G1: 139.6 (17.7)

G2: 136.2 (17.4)

G1: 85.7 (9.4)

G2: 85.6 (10.0)

G1: 18 (7.0) G2: 18 (7.3)

Fair
Van Name, 2016141RCT; Community Health Center in New Haven, CT, U.S.Women aged 18 and 65 y with at least one DM risk factor and prediabetes

G1: Intensive Lifestyle Intervention (modified DPP) (n=65)

G2: Usual care (n=65)

1

G1: 43.8 (10.8)

G2: 43.0 (9.7)

122 (100)127 (98)

G1: 5.8 (0.36)

G2: 6.0 (0.33)

G1: 102.6 (9.5)

G2: 101.5 (11.1)

G1: 35.4 (8.5)

G2: 35.2 (7.3)

G1: 119.1 (19.0)

G2: 123.0 (16.7)

G1: 77.3 (11.3)

G2: 79.8 (11.0)

NR

Fair

Wong, 2013273

Wong, 2018274

RCT; Community Health Project Hong KongChinese professional drivers who were identified as pre-diabetics within last 3 months, had a mobile phone, no h/o DM

G1: Short message service (SMS) intervention (54)

G0: Control (usual care) (50)

5

G1: 54.1 (6.1)

G2: 55.2 (6.5)

G1: 5 (9.3%)

G2: 2 (4%)

NRNR

G1: 105.5 (7.6)

G2: 106.2 (8.8)

G1: 25.55 (2.94)

G2: 26.25 (2.95)

G1: 136.54 (15.88)

G2: 133.9 (16.45)

G1: 80.32 (10.67)

G2: 80.86 (11.04)

G1: 9 (17%)

G2: 4 (8%)

Fair

Yates, 2009138

The Prediabetes Risk Education and Physical Activity Recommendation and Encouragement (PREPARE)

RCT; Leicester, U.K.Individuals with BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (or ≥23 kg/m2 if South Asian) and IGT, detected in ongoing population-based diabetes screening programs

G3: Physical activity intervention without pedometer use (n=29)

G2: Physical activity intervention with pedometer use (n=29)

G1: Control (usual care) (n=29)

1

G1: 66 (8)

G2: 64 (7)

G3: 65 (10)

G1: 9 (31)

G2: 9 (31)

G3: 12 (41)

G1: 4 (14)

G2: 9 (31)

G3: 9 (31)

NR

G1: 100.8 (9.0)

G2: 100.8 (10.8)

G3: 102.6 (9.0)

G1: 28.7 (4.8)

G2: 29.5 (4.9)

G3: 29.8 (4.4)

G1: 139 (15)

G2: 144 (17)

G3: 141 (15)

G1: 79 (10)

G2: 82 (8)

G3: 81 (10)

G1: 1 (3)

G2: 2 (7)

G3: 5 (17)

Fair
Studies Evaluating Pharmacological Interventions (not including those that also evaluated lifestyle interventions from above)

Chiasson, 2002235

Chiasson, 2003236

STOP-NIDDM

RCT; Hospitals in 9 countriesIndividuals aged 40-70 y with IGT, and BMI 25- 40 kg/m2

G1: Acarbose 100 mg 3x a day (n=714)

G2: Placebo (n=715)

Mean 3.3 (1.2)

G1: 54.3 (7.9)

G2: 54.6 (7.9)

G1: 353 (52)

G2: 342 (50)

G1: 18 (3)

G2: 16 (2)

NR

G1: 112.2 (8.9)

G2: 112.5 (9.6)

G1: 31.0 (4.3)

G2: 30.9 (4.2)

G1: 131.4 (16.3)

G2: 130.9 (16.2)

G1: 82.8 (9.4)

G2: 82.0 (9.3)

G1: 79 (12)

G2: 99 (14)

Fair

DeFronzo, 2011251

Espinoza, 2016252

Actos Now for Prevention of Diabetes Trial (ACT NOW)

RCT; 8 centers in the U.S.Patients aged 18+ y with IGT, BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (>22 kg/m2 for Asian Americans), and at least one other risk factor for diabetes

G1: Pioglitazone 30 mg/day for one month, increased to 45 mg/day (n=303)

G2: Placebo (n=299)

Median: 2.4

Mean: 2.2

52.3 (11.8)

349 (58)

OR

252 (41.9)

G1: 69 (22.8)

G2: 55 (18.3)

G1: 5.5 (0.4)

G2: 5.5 (0.4)

G1: 105 (0.4)

G2: 105 (0.4)

Mg/dL

G1: 33.0 (0.4)

G2: 34.5 (0.4)

G1: 127 (0.9)

G2: 128 (0.9)

G1: 74 (0.6)

G2: 74 (0.6)

NR

Fair

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006253

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006254

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2008255

Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication (DREAM) Trial

Multiple countriesAdults aged >30 years with IFG and/or IGT

G1: Ramapril 15 mg/day (n=2623)

G2: Placebo (n=2646)

G3: Rosiglitazone 0.8mg/day (n=2635)

G4: Placebo (n=2634)

Patients randomized twice, to ramapril or placebo and rosiglitazone or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

Median: 3 (Range: 2.5-4.7)

G1:54.7 (10.9)

G2:54.7 (10.9)

G3:54.6 (10.9)

G4:54.8 (10.9)

G1: 1567 (59.7)

G2: 1553 (58.7)

G3: 1536 (58.3)

G4: 1584 (60.1)

NRNR

G1 median (IQR): 106.3 (97.3-113.5)

G2 median (IQR): 106.5 (97.3-115.3)

G3: 104.4 (12.6)

G4: 104.4 (12.6)

G1:30.9 (5.6)

G2:30.9 (5.7)

G3:30.8 (5.6)

G4:31.0 (5.6)

G1: 136.1 (18.6)

G2: 136.0 (18.1)

G3: 135.9 (17.9)

G4: 136.3 (18.8)

G1: 83.4 (10.8)

G2: 83.4 (10.8)

G3: 83.3 (10.6)

G4: 83.5 (10.9)

Current or previous tobacco use

G1: 1,158 (44.1)

G2: 1,192 (45.0)

G3: 1,157 (43.9)

G4: 1,193 (45.3)

Good
Kaku, 2015218RCT; Multicenter, JapanJapanese patients aged ≥20 y with suspected IGT

G1: Sitagliptin 25g once daily (n=82)

G2: Sitagliptin 50g once daily (n=77)

G3: Placebo (n=83)

0.15 (8 weeks)

G1: 63.1(9.5)

G2: 61.9 (9.3)

G3: 61.9 (10.6)

G1: 38 (46.3)

G2: 32 (41.6)

G3: 35 (42.2)

NR

G1: 6.01 (0.25)

G2: 6.02 (0.28)

G3: 5.98 (0.27)

G1: 105.5 (9.2)

G2: 106.6 (10.1)

G3: 105.7 (8.8)

G1: 26 (3)

G2: 25 (4)

G3: 25 (3)

NR

NR

NR

Fair
Kawamori, 2009256RCT; Multicenter, JapanAdults aged 30-79 y with IGT

G1: Voglibose 0.2 mg 3x/daily (n=897)

G2: Placebo (n=883)

48.1 weeks (SD 36.3 weeks)

G1 45.0 weeks (34.7) G2 51.3 weeks (37.6)

G1: 55.7 (9.1)

G2: 55.7 (9.2)

G1: 356 (39.7)

G2: 351 (39.8)

NRNR

G1: 104.4 (0.55)

G2: 105.3 (10.1)

G1: 25.76 (3.70)

G2: 25.89 (3.82)

NRGood

le Roux, 2017115

SCALE Obesity and Prediabetes Trial

RCT; 191 clinical research sites in 27 countries in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and AustraliaAdults aged 18+ y with prediabetes, no diagnosis of DM, and BMI ≥30 kg/m2 (≥27 kg/m2 with dyslipidaemia and/or hypertension)

G1: Liraglutide (starting at 0.6 mg daily; weekly 0.6 mg increases to 3.0 mg with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=1505)

G2: Placebo with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=749)

3.3 (172 weeks)

G1: 47.5 (11.7)

G2: 47.3 (11.8)

G1: 1141 (76)

G2: 573 (77)

G1: 249 (17)

G2: 121 (16)

G1: 5.8 (0.3)

G2: 5.7 (0.3)

G1: 99.0 (10.8)

G2: 99.0 (9.0)

G1: 38.8 (6.4)

G2: 39.0 (6.3)

G1: 124.7 (12.9)

G2: 125.0 (12.8)

G1: 79.4 (8.4)

G2: 79.8 (8.3)

NR

Fair

Lindblad, 2011258

The Nepi ANtidiabetes StudY (NANSY)

RCT; Primary care, SwedenAdults aged 40-70 y with IFG

G1: glimepiride 1 mg/daily (n=136)

G2: placebo (n=138)

Mean 3.7

G1: 60.4 (6.8)

G2: 59.6 (6.7)

G1: 48 (35.3)

G2: 63 (45.7)

NR

G1: 4.89 (0.54)

G2: 4.87 (0.46)

NR

G1: 29.9 (4.6)

G2: 29.6 (4.2)

G1: 144 (18)

G2: 141 (18)

G1: 82 (9.1)

G2: 82 (9.2)

G1: NR (18.0)

G2: NR (21.3)

Fair
Lu, 2011259RCT; Beijing, ChinaAdults aged 40-80 y with screen-detected impaired glucose regulation, no diagnosis of DM, and BMI ≥19 kg/m2

G1: Patients with I-IGT: acarbose (50 mg three times daily) + lifestyle intervention; patients with I-IFG or IFG/IGT: metformin (0.25 g 3x daily) + lifestyle intervention

(n=106)

G2: Annual diabetes education

(n=104)

2

G1: 62.44 (9.16)

G2: 64.72 (7.93)

G1: 45 (47.4)

G2: 41 (47.7)

NR

G1: 5.91 (0.34)

G2: 5.98 (0.43)

G1: 106.0 (7.7)

G2: 107.3 (9.2)

G1: 27.07 (3.30)

G2: 26.92 (3.65)

G1: 129.65 (16.86)

G2: 130.06 (19.54)

G1: 78.95 (9.49)

G2: 78.83 (10.79)

NR

Fair
Pan, 2003246RCT; Five centers in the mainland of China35-70 years old with BMI =19-34. Screen-detected IGT (WHO criteria)

G1: Acarbose (n=125)

G2: Placebo (n=127)

16 weeks

G1: 53.4 (8.63)

G2: 55.6 (8.31)

G1: NR (60.8)

G2: NR (59.1)

NR

G1: 6.51 (0.72)

G2: 6.61 (0.62)

NR

G1: 25.6 (2.99)

G2: 25.8 (3.22)

G1:125.4 (14.1)

G2: 126.8 (14.9)

G1: 78 (7.8)

G2: 78.1 (8.4)

NR

Fair

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010260

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010261

Currie, 2017262

Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) Trial

RCT; 806 clinical centers in 40 countriesAdults with elevated FPG, IGT, and ≥1 CV risk factors (if aged 55+ y) or known CVD (if aged 50+)

G1: Nateglinide 60 mg/3 times daily (n=4,645)

G2: Placebo (n=4,661)

G3: Valsartan 160 mg/once daily (n=4,631)

G4: Placebo (n=4,675)

Patients randomized twice, to nateglinide or placebo and valsartan or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

All patients also required to participate in lifestyle intervention program

Median: 5 y for incidence of diabetes

G1: 63.7 (6.8)

G2: 63.8 (6.9)

G3: 63.7 (6.8)

G4: 63.8 (6.8)

G1: 2,368 (51.0)

G2: 2,343 (50.3)

G3: 2,314 (50.0)

G4: 2,397 (51.3)

G1 791 (17.0)

G2 781 (16.8) (7.8)

G3 782 (16.9)

G4 790 (16.9)

G1: 5.8 (0.45)

G2: 5.8 (0.48)

G3: 5.79 (0.47)

G4 5.82 (0.46)

G1: 109.8 (8.1)

G2: 109.8 (8.3)

G3: 109.8 (8.1)

G4: 109.8 (8.1)

G1: 30.5 (5.4)

G2: 30.5 (5.4)

G3: 30.4 (5.5)

G4: 30.6 (5.3)

G1: 139.8 (17.5)

G2: 139.5 (17.4)

G3: 139.4 (17.8)

G4: 139.9 (17.1)

G1: 82.6 (10.3)

G2: 82.5 (10.2)

G3: 82.5 (10.4)

G4: 82.6 (10.1)

G1: 519 (11.2)

G2: 506 (10.9)

G3: 518 (11.2)

G4: 507 (10.8)

Good

Nijpels, 2008263

DAISI

RCT; subjects invited from population register in Hoorn, the NetherlandsAdults aged 45-70 y with IGT, and HbA1c ≤7.0%

G1: Acarbose 50 mg 3x daily (n=60)

G2: Placebo (n=58)

3

G1: 58.5 (7.9)

G2: 56.5 (7.0)

G1: 30 (50.8)

G2: 29 (50.0)

NR

G1: 5.9 (0.5)

G2: 5.6 (0.6)

G1: 118.8 (9.0)

G2: 117.0 (10.8)

G1: 28.4 (3.9)

G2: 29.5 (3.8)

NR

NR

G1: 15 (24.6)

G2: 14 (23.3)

Fair

Ramachandran, 2009265

IDPP-2

RCT; Community-based, IndiaAsian Indian adults aged 35 to 55 y with IGT

G1: Pioglitazone, 30 mg daily plus lifestyle modification (n=204)

G2: Placebo plus lifestyle modification (n=203)

3

G1: 45.1 (6.1)

G2: 45.5 (6.3)

G1: 26 (12.7)

G2: 28 (13.8)

NR

G1: 5.8 (0.4)

G2: 5.8 (0.4)

G1: 100.8 (12.6)

G2: 102.6 (10.8)

G1: 26.0 (3.5)

G2: 26.2 (3.3)

G1: 117.7 (10.8)

G2: 117.9 (11.1)

G1: 75.4 (10.9)

G2: 75.6 (11.5)

G1: 37 (18.1)

G2: 47 (23.2)

Fair

Weber, 2016222

Gokulakrishnan, 2017223

Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program (D-CLIP)

RCT; Community-based recruitment in Chennai, IndiaAdults aged 20-65 y with prediabetes and BMI 23 to <27.5 kg/m2 kg/m2 (overweight) or ≥ 27.5 (obese) and/or waist circumference ≥90cm (men) or ≥80cm (women)

G1: Stepwise intervention of adapted DPP lifestyle classes plus metformin 500 mg twice daily at 4 months if at high risk of developing diabetes (n=283)

G2: Standard of care (n=295)

3

Mean 2.54

(range 4-48 months)

44.4 (9.3)

G1: 44.8 (9.0)

G2: 44.0 (9.5)

212 (36.8)

G1: 102 (36.0)

G2: 110 (37.5)

NR

6.0 (0.5)

G1: 6.0 (0.5)

G2: 6.0 (0.5)

Overall 102.6 (9.0)

G1: 102.6 (9.0)

G2: 102.6 (9.0)

27.9 (3.7)

G1: 27.9 (3.7)

G2: 27.8 (3.7)

NRFair

Zinman, 2010267

CAnadian Normoglycemia Outcomes Evaluation trial (CANOE)

RCT; Clinics in Ontario, CanadaResidents of Ontario Canada aged 18-75 y with >1 diabetes risk factor with screen-detected IGT

G1: rosiglitazone 2 mg and metformin 500 twice daily and lifestyle intervention (n=103)

G2: placebo and lifestyle intervention (n=104)

3.9 (3.0-4.6 y)

Median (IQR)

G1: 50.0 (44.0-61.0)

G2: 55.0 (46.0-61.0)

Median (IQR)

G1: 67 (65.0)

G2: 71 (68.3)

G1: 26 (25.3)

G2: 27 (26)

NR

G1: 97.2 (90.0-104.4)

G2: 97.2 (90.0-106.2)

Median (IQR)

G1: 31.3 (27.1-35.7)

G2: 32.0 (28.3-36.8)

Median (IQR)

G1: 130.0 (115.5-139.0)

G2: 127.5 (118.0-140.8)

G1: 80.0 (74.5-87.5)

G2: 81.8 (75.3-87.5)

Median (IQR)

G1: 6 (5.8)

G2: 10 (9.6)

Good
*

Following the DPP double-blinded phase, participants were unmasked to their treatment assignments and placebo was stopped. All participants, including the origional intensive lifesstyle group were offered a group-administered version of the 16-session lifestyle curriclum. Those previously assigned to metformin continued to receive metforming 850 mg twice daily, unmasked, as appropriate (unless there were safety concerns or they developed diabetes and required management by their own physician).

Followup varies by outcome, although most open-label DPPOS analyses were conducted 10-15 years from randomization (or 7-12 years after participants were unblinded).

Three groups: (1) IFG group: fasting plasma glucose of 6.1–7.0 mmol/L (110–126 mg/dL) and a 2-h post-glucose load of <7.8 mmol/L (140 mg/dL); (2) IGT group: fasting plasma glucose of 6.1 mmol/L (110 mg/dL) and a 2-h post-glucose load of 7.8–11.1 mmol/L (140–200 mg/dL); (3) IFG+IGT group.

Abbreviations: ACT NOW=Actos Now for Prevention of Diabetes; BMI=body mass index; BP=blood pressure; CA=California; CDQDPOS=China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study’ CV=cardiovascular; CVD=cardiovascular disease; D-CLIP=Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program; DAISI=Dutch acarbose intervention study in persons with impaired glucose tolerance; DM=diabetes mellitus; DPP=Diabetes Prevention Program; DDPLI=Diabetes Prevention Program lifestyle intervention; DPPOS=Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study; DREAM=Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication; FDPS=Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study; FINDRISC=Finnish Diabetes Risk Score; FPG=fasting plasma glucose; G=Group; GDM=gestational diabetes mellitus; HbA1c/HBA1c=hemoglobin A1c; HDL=high density lipoprotein; h/o=history of; IFG=impaired fasting glucose; IGT=impaired glucose tolerance; IQR=interquartile ratio; J-DOIT1=The Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1; NANSY=The Nepi ANtidiabetes StudY; NAVIGATOR=Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research; NR=not reported; PCP=primary care physician; PODOSA=The Prevention of Diabetes and Obesity in South Asians; PREDIAS=Prevention of Diabetes Self-Management Program; PREPARE=The Prediabetes Risk Education and Physical Activity Recommendation and Encouragement; PREVENT-DM=The Promotora Effectiveness Versus Metformin Trial; RAPID=Reaching Out to Prevent Increases in Diabetes; RCT-randomized, controlled trial; SCALE=Satiety and Clinical Adiposity–Liraglutide Evidence; SD=standard deviation; STOP-NIDDM=Study TO Prevent Noninsulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus; T2DM=type 2 diabetes mellitus; U.K.=United Kingdom; U.S.=United States; y=year; YDPP=YMCA diabetes prevention program; ZPLS=Zensharen Study for Prevention of Lifestyle Diseases.

Appendix E Table 5Mortality Results From Trials Evaluating Interventions for People With Prediabetes (KQ 4)

Source

First Author, Year

Trial Name

G1 (N)

G2 (N)

Followup (y)

Mortality

G N (%), or G1% vs. G2%; HR (95% CI)

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 200280

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2005119

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201297

DPP

G1: Intensive lifestyle intervention (n =1079)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus metformin at a dose of 850 mg twice daily (n=1073)

G3: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily (n =1082)

3.2

All-cause deaths (N/100 person years of followup)

G1: 0.10

G2: 0.20

G3: 0.16

No significant difference between groups

CVD Related Deaths

G1:2

G2:1

G3:4

Hellgren, 2014143

G1: Intensive physical activity intervention (n=19)

G2: Basic intervention (n=18)

G3: Usual care (written and verbal information on IGT (n=15)

1One person died from causes not related to the study (group in which the person was assigned is unclear)
Juul, 2016145

G1: Brief theory-based health promotion intervention (n=63)

G2: Control (n=64)

1No deaths during the study period

Morey, 2012120

The Enhancing Fitness in Older Overweight Veterans with Impaired Glucose Tolerance (Enhanced Fitness) Trial

G1: Counseling intervention focused on physical activity (n=180)

G2: Usual care control (n=122)

1

GI: 2 (1.1)

G2:1 (0.8)

Pan, 1997225

Li, 2008226

Li, 2014227

Gong, 2019228

China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS)

G1: Combined 6-year lifestyle (diet, exercise, or diet + exercise) intervention: (n=438)

G2: Control (n=138)

20, 23, 30

20-year followup:

All-cause mortality: 25% vs. 29%; HR, 0.96 (0.65 to 1.41)

CVD mortality: 12% vs. 17%: HR, 0.83 (0.48 to 1.40)

23-year followup:

All-cause mortality: 28% vs.38%; HR, 0.71 (0.51 to 0.99)

Women: 15% vs. 29%; HR, 0.46 (0.24 to 0.87)

Men: 40% vs. 46%; HR, 0.97 (0.65 to 1.46)

CVD mortality: 12% vs. 20%; HR, 0.59 (0.36 to 0.96)

Women: 6% vs. 17%; HR, 0.28 (0.11 to 0.71)

Men: 17% vs. 22%: HR, 0.91 (0.50 to 1.65)

30-year followup:

All-cause mortality: 46% vs. 56%; HR, 0.74 (0.61 to 0.89)

Women: 24% vs. 41%; HR, 0.59 (0.38 to 0.91)

Men: 58% vs. 66%; HR, 0.85 (0.66 to 1.09)

CVD mortality: 22% vs. 30%; HR, 0.67 (0.48 to 0.94)

Women: 13% vs. 20%; HR, 0.61 (0.36 to 1.02)

Men: 27% vs. 35%; HR, 0.73 (0.47 to 1.12)

Ramachandran, 2006234

Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme

G1: Lifestyle Intervention (n=133)

G2: Metformin (n=133)

G3: Lifestyle Intervention + Metformin (n=129)

G4: Control (n=136)

3

G1: 1 (0.8)

G2: 0 (0)

G3: 1 (0.8)

G4: 1 (0.7)

Saito, 201187

ZPLS

G1: Frequent lifestyle modification (9 sessions over 3y) (n=311)

G2: Control (4 lifestyle modification sessions over 1yr) (n=330)

3

G1: 1 (0.3)

G2: 0 (0)

Tuomilehto, 2001232

Uusitupa, 2009233

Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study (FDPS)

G1: physical activity, weight reduction and dietary counseling intervention (n=257)

G2: General diet & exercise (n=248)

10.6

G1: 6 (2.2 per 1000 person years)

G2: 10 (3.8 per 1000 person years)

HR, 0.57 (0.21-1.58)

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006253

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006254

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2008255

Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication (DREAM) Trial

G1: Ramapril 15 mg/day (n=2623)

G2: Placebo (n=2646)

G3: Rosiglitazone 0.8mg/day (n=2635)

G4: Placebo (n=2634)

Patients randomized twice, to ramapril or placebo and rosiglitazone or placebo (2×2 factorial design)

3

All-cause mortality:

G1 vs. G2 1.2% (31/2623) vs. 1.2% (32/2646)

HR, 0.98 (0.60 to 1.61)

G3 vs. G4 1.1% (30/2635) vs. 1.3% (33/2634)

HR, 0.91 (0.56 to 1.49)

CVD mortality:

G1 vs. G2 0.5% (12/2623) vs. 0.4% (10/2646)

HR, 1.21 (0.52 to 2.80)

G3 vs. G4 0.5% (12/2635) vs. 0.4% (10/2634)

HR, 1.20 (CI 0.52 to 2.77)

Kawamori, 2009256

G1: Voglibose 0.2 mg 3x/daily (n=897)

G2: Placebo (n=883)

0.9

G1: 6 (0.7)

G2: 0 (0)

le Roux, 2017115

SCALE Obesity and Prediabetes Trial

G1: Liraglutide (starting at 0.6 mg daily; weekly 0.6 mg increases to 3.0 mg with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=1505)

G2: Placebo with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=749)

3.3

All-cause mortality:

G1: 2 (0.1)

G2: 2 (0.3)

CVD mortality:

G1: 1 (0.1)

G2: 0 (0)

Lindblad, 2011258

The Nepi ANtidiabetes StudY (NANSY)

G1: glimepiride 1 mg/daily

(n=136)

G2: placebo

(n=138)

3.7

All-cause mortality:

G1: 5 (3.7)

G2: 2 (1.4)

CVD mortality:

G1: 1 (0.7)

G2: 2 (1.4)

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010260

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010261

Currie, 2017262

Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) Trial*

G1: Nateglinide 60 mg/3 times daily (n=4645)

G2: Placebo (n=4661)

G3: Valsartan 160 mg/once daily (n=4631)

G4: Placebo (n=4675)

6

All-cause mortality

G1 vs. G2: 6.7% (310/4645) vs. 6.7% (312/4661)

HR, 1.00 (0.85 to 1.17)

G3 vs. G4: 6.4% (295/4631) vs. 7.0% (327/4675)

HR, 0.90 (0.77 to 1.05)

CVD mortality

G1 vs. G2: 2.7% (126/4645) vs. 2.5% (118/4661)

HR, 1.07 (0.83 to 1.38)

G3 vs. G4: 2.8% (128/4631) vs. 2.5% (116/4675)

HR, 1.09 (0.85 to 1.40)

Renal mortality

G3 vs. G4: 0.1% (4/4631) vs. 0.1% (4/4675)

HR, 1.00 (0.25 to 3.98)

Nijpels, 2018263

DAISI

G1: Acarbose 50 mg 3x daily (n=60)

G2: Placebo (n=58)

3

G1: 1 (1.7)

G2: 3 (5.2)

Ramachandran, 2009265

IDPP-2

G1: Pioglitazone 30 mg daily plus lifestyle modification (n=204; 181 analyzed)

G2: Placebo plus lifestyle (n=203;186 analyzed)

3

G1: 2 (1.1)

G2: 1 (0.5)

Weber, 2016222

Gokulakrishnan, 2017223

Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program (D-CLIP)

G1: Stepwise intervention of adapted DPP lifestyle classes plus metformin 500 mg twice daily at 4 months if at high risk of developing diabetes (n=283)

G2: Standard of care (n=295)

3No deaths during the study period
*

The NAVIGATOR Trial randomized participants twice, to nateglinide or placebo and valsartan or placebo using a 2×2 factorial design. All participants were also offered a lifestyle intervention program.

Abbreviations: CDQDPOS=China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study; CI=confidence interval; CVD=cardiovascular disease; D-CLIP=Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program; DAISI=Dutch acarbose intervention study in persons with impaired glucose tolerance; DPP=Diabetes Prevention Program; DREAM=Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication; FDPS=Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study; G=Group; HR=hazard ratio; IDPP-2=Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme-2; IGT=impaired glucose tolerance; NANSY=The Nepi ANtidiabetes StudY; NAVIGATOR=Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research; SCALE=Satiety and Clinical Adiposity–Liraglutide Evidence; ZPLS=Zensharen Study for Prevention of Lifestyle Diseases.

Appendix E Table 6Cardiovascular Disease Events in Trials Evaluating Interventions for People With Prediabetes (KQ 4)

Source

First Author, Year

Trial Name

G1 (N)

G2 (N)

Followup, Years

CVD Events

G: N (%), or G1 vs. G2; HR (95% CI)

Ackermann, 2015139

Reaching Out to Prevent Increases in Diabetes (RAPID)

G1: Group-based YMCA DPP intervention (n=257)

G2: Usual care plus brief counseling and information on community resources (n=252)

1

Self-reported cardiovascular events*

G1: 1 (0.5)

G2: 2 (0.9)

p=0.99

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 200280

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2005119

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201297

DPP

G1: Intensive lifestyle intervention (n=1,079)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus metformin at a dose of 850 mg twice daily (n=1,073)

G3: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily

(n=1,082)

3.2

Composite nonfatal CVD events

G1: 24 (2.2%); 9.7 events per 1,000 patient-years

G2: 16 (1.5%); 5.2 events per 1,000 patient-years

G3: 18 (1.7%); 7.3 events per 1,000 patient-years

No significant differences between placebo and either of the two groups

Morey, 2012120

The Enhancing Fitness in Older Overweight Veterans with Impaired Glucose

Tolerance (Enhanced Fitness) Trial

G1: Counseling intervention focused on physical activity (n=180)

G2: Usual care control (n=122)

1One person had a transient ischemic attack that resulted in a hospitalization, and one person was diagnosed with myocardial infarction. Unclear whether events were in intervention or usual care group.
Oldroyd, 2001212

G1: Behavioral intervention group (n=39 randomized; 35 analyzed)

G2: Control group (n=39 randomized; 32 analyzed)

0.5

Incident severe ischemic heart disease

G1: 1 (2.86)

G2: 0 (0)

Pan, 1997225

Li, 2008226

Li, 2014227

Gong, 2019228

China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS)

G1: Combined 6-year lifestyle (diet, exercise, or diet+exercise) intervention: (n=438)

G2: Control (n=138)

20, 30

20-year followup

Incidence of any first CVD event

41% vs. 44%; HR 0.98 (0.71 to 1.37)

30-year followup

Incidence of CVD event

195 (44.5) vs, 80 (58); HR 0.74 (0.59 to 0.92)

Women: 73 vs. 29; HR 0.69 (0.51 to 0.92)

Men: 122 vs. 51; HR 0.80 (0.60 to 1.06)

Stroke

156 (35.6) vs, 62 (44.9); HR 0.75 (0.59 to 0.96)

Women: 55 (26.8) vs. 22 (37.3); HR 0.68 (0.48 to 0.96)

Men: 101 (43.3) vs. 40 (50.6); HR 0.83 (0.61 to 1.11)

Coronary heart disease

61 (13.9) vs, 26 (18.8); HR 0.73 (0.51 to 1.04)

Women: 22 (10.7) vs. 7 (11.9); HR 0.92 (0.39 to 2.13)

Men: 39 (16.7) vs. 19(24.1); HR 0.68 (0.43 to 1.10)

Heart Failure

39 (8.9) vs. 16 (11.6); HR 0.71 (0.48 to 1.04)

Women: 14 (6.8) vs. 6 (10.2); HR 0.60 (0.29 to 1.25)

Men: 25 (10.7) vs. 10 (12.6); HR 0.81 (0.41 to 1.60)

Penn, 2009264

G1: Individual behavioral intervention (n=51)

G2: Usual care and standard health promotion advice (n=51)

3.1

Cerebral infarction

G1: 1 (0.8)

G2: 0 (0.0)

Ramachandran, 2006234

Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme

G1: Lifestyle intervention (n=133)

G2: Metformin

(n=133)

G3: Lifestyle intervention+metformin

(n=129)

G4: Standard health care advice

(n=136)

3

CVD events (not defined):

G1: 4

G2: 0

G3: 5

G4: 2

Sakane, 2015140

The Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1)

G1: 1-year telephone-delivered lifestyle support intervention (n=1,240)

G2: Control (n=1,367)

5.5

Ischemic heart disease:

G1: 1 (0.08)

G2: 2 (0.15)

Stroke:

G1: 3 (0.24)

G2: 2 (0.15)

Tuomilehto, 2001232

Uusitupa, 2009233

Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study (FDPS)

G1: lifestyle intervention with ≥5% weight loss goal, individualized dietary and exercise information (n=257)

G2: general information about diet and exercise (n=248)

10.6

Incident fatal and nonfatal CVD events based on hospitalization registry ICD codes (acute coronary events, coronary heart disease, stroke and hypertensive disease):

G1: 22.9 per 1,000 person-years (57 events)

G2: 22.0 per 1,000 person-years (54 events)

HR 1.04 (0.72 to1.51)

Chiasson, 2002235

Chiasson, 2003236

STOP-NIDDM

G1: Acarbose (n=682)

G2: Placebo (n=686)

3.3

Major CVD event (coronary heart disease, cardiovascular death, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular event, and peripheral vascular disease): 2.2% (15/682) vs. 4.7% (32/686)

HR 0.51 (0.28 to 0.95)

DeFronzo, 2011251

Espinoza, 2016252

Actos Now for Prevention of Diabetes Trial (ACT NOW)

G1: Pioglitazone 30 mg/day for one month, increased to 45 mg/day (n=303)

G2: Placebo (n=299)

2.4

CVD system events

9% (26/303) vs. 8% (23/299)

Atypical chest pain

0.33% (1/303) vs. 1.34% (4/299)

Cardiac arrhythmia

1.65% (5/303) vs. 0.67% (2/299)

Coronary artery bypass/revascularization

0.66% (2/303) vs. 2.01% (6/299)

Coronary artery disease without revascularization

0.66% (2/303) vs. 0.33% (1/299)

New or worsening angina

1.98% (6/303) vs. 1.34% (4/299)

New or worsening CHF

0.33% (1/303) vs. 0.33% (1/299)

Nonfatal MI

0.66% (2/303) vs. 0.33% (1/299)

Peripheral vascular disease with claudication or revascularization

1.98% (6/303) vs. 0.00% (0/299)

TIA

0.33% (1/303) vs. 0.33% (1/299)

Malignant hypertension

0.00% (0/303) vs. 0.33% (1/299)

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006253

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006254

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2008255

Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication (DREAM) Trial

G1: Ramapril 15 mg/day (n=2,623)

G2: Placebo (n=2,646)

G3: Rosiglitazone 0.8mg/day (n=2,635)

G4: Placebo (n=2,634)

Patients randomized twice, to Ramipril or placebo and rosiglitazone or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

3

Cardiovascular composite events incidence§

G1 vs.G2 2.6% (69/2623) vs. 2.4% (64/2646); HR 1.09 (0.78 to 1.53)

G3 vs. G4 2.9% (77/2635) vs. 2.1% (56/2634); HR 1.38 (CI 0.98 to 1.95)

MI:

G1 vs. G2 0.5% (14/2623) vs. 0.4% (11/2646); HR 1.29 (0.59 to 2.84)

G3 vs. G4 0.6% (16/2635) vs. 0.3% (9/2634); HR 1.78 (0.79 to 4.03)

Stroke:

G1 vs. G2 0.2% (4/2623) vs. 0.3% (8/2646); HR 0.50 (0.15 to 1.66)

G3 vs. G4 0.3% (7/2635) vs. 0.2% (5/2634); HR 1.40 (0.44 to 4.40)

Congestive heart failure:

G1 vs. G2 0.5% (12/2623) vs. 0.2% (4/2646); HR 3.06 (0.99 to 9.48)

G3 vs. G4 0.5% (14/2635) vs. 0.1% (2/2634); HR 7.04 (1.60 to 31.0)

New angina:

G1 vs. G2 0.9% (24/2623) vs. 0.8% (20/2646); HR 1.21 (0.67 to 2.19)

G3 vs. G4 0.9% (24/2635) vs. 0.8% (20/2634); HR 1.20 (CI 0.66 to 2.17)

Cardiovascular death, MI, stroke:

G1 vs. G2 1% (27/2623) vs. 1.1% (29/2646); HR 0.94 (0.56 to 1.59)

G3 vs. G4 1.3% (33/2635) vs. 0.9% (23/2634); HR 1.43 (CI 0.84 to 2.44)

le Roux, 2017115

SCALE Obesity and Prediabetes Trial

G1: Daily liraglutide intervention with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=1,505)

G2: Placebo with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=749)

3.3

Nonfatal myocardial infarctions:

G1: 3 (0.2%)

G2: 1 (0.1%)

Nonfatal strokes:

G1: 2 (0.1%)

G2: 2 (0.3%)

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010260

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010261

Currie, 2017262

Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) Trial

G1: Nateglinide 60 mg/3 times daily (n=4,645)

G2: Placebo (n=4,661)

G3: Valsartan 160 mg/once daily (n=4,631)

G4: Placebo (n=4,675)

6

Fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction

G1 vs. G2: 2.9% (135/4645) vs. 3.1% (143/4,661)

HR 0.95 (0.75 to 1.20)

G3 vs. G4: 3% (138 /4631) vs. 3% (140/4,675)

HR 0.97 (0.77 to 1.23)

Fatal or nonfatal stroke

G1 vs. G2: 2.4% (111/4645) vs. 2.7% (126/4,661)

HR 0.89 (0.69 to 1.15)

G3 vs. G4: 2.3% (105/4631) vs. 2.8% (132/4,675)

HR 0.79 (0.61 to 1.02)

Hospitalization for unstable angina

G1 vs. G2: 4.8% (222/4645) vs. 5.4% (254/4,661)

HR 0.87 (0.73 to 1.05)

G3 vs. G4: 5.2% (242/4631) vs. 5.0% (234/4,675)

HR 1.02 (0.86 to 1.23)

Hospitalization for heart failure

G1 vs. G2: 1.8% (85/4645) vs. 2.1% (100/4,661)

HR 0.85 (0.64 to 1.14)

G3 vs. G4: 2% (91/4631) vs. 2% (94/4,675)

HR 0.97 (0.72 to 1.29)

Arterial revascularization

G1 vs. G2: 7.1% (332/4,645) vs. 6.8% (315/4,661)

HR 1.06 (0.91 to 1.24)

G3 vs. G4: 6.8% (316/4,631) vs. 7.1% (331/4,675)

HR 0.94 (0.80 to 1.10)

Hospitalization for a cardiovascular reason

G1 vs. G2: 19% (883/4,645) vs. 18.9% (882/4,661)

HR 1.00 (0.91 to 1.09)

G3 vs. G4: 19.1% (886/4,631) vs. 18.8% (879/4,675)

HR 1.00 (0.91 to 1.10)

Ramachandran, 2009265

IDPP-2

G1: lifestyle modification plus pioglitazone, 30 mg (n=204; 181 analyzed)

G2: lifestyle modification plus placebo (n=203; 186 analyzed)

3

Heart disease requiring hospitalization:

G1: 2 (1.1%)

G2: 1 (0.5%)

Zinman, 2010267

CAnadian Normoglycemia Outcomes Evaluation trial (CANOE)

G1: rosiglitazone 2 mg and metformin 500 BID and lifestyle intervention (n=103)

G2: placebo and lifestyle intervention (n=104)

3.9

Myocardial infarction:

G1: 1

G2: 0

Heart failure:

G1: 1

G2: 0

*

No additional details provided, including categories or types of cardiovascular events elicited from participants.

The events were considered adverse events possibly related to the increae in physical activity (per study authors).

Defined as first nonfatal or fatal cardiovascular events including myocardial infarction, sudden death, stroke, or amputation; authors also defined myocardial infarction cases on the basis of ECG results obtained during the physical examination on study followup visits.

§

Defined as first occurrence of CVD death, cardiac resuscitation, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization procedure, new stable or unstable angina with documented ischemia, or heart failure.

The NAVIGTOR Trial randomized participants twice to nateglinide or placebo and valsartan or placebo using a 2×2 factorial design. All participants were also offered a lifestyle intervention program.

Abbreviations: ACT NOW=Actos Now for Prevention of Diabetes Trial; CANOE=CAnadian Normoglycemia Outcomes Evaluation; CDQDPOS=China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study; CI=confidence interval; CVD=cardiovascular disease; DPP=Diabetes Prevention Program; ECG=electrocardiogram; FDPS=Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study; G=group; HR=hazard ratio; ICD=International Classification of Diseases; IDPP-2=Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme-2; J-DOIT1=The Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1; KQ=key question; N=number; NAVIGATOR=Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research; RAPID=Reaching Out to Prevent Increases in Diabetes.

Appendix E Table 7Quality of Life, Renal Disease, and Other Health Outcome Results From Trials Evaluating Interventions for People With Prediabetes (KQ 4)

Source

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Groups (N)

Followup

Health Outcome

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

Davies, 201686

Gray, 2016118

Let’s Prevent Diabetes

G1: Let’s Prevent Diabetes lifestyle intervention (n=447)

G2: Usual care (all received booklet with DM information) (n=433)

3 years

Quality of Life Score (15 dimensional), Median (IQR)

G1 Baseline: 0.90 (0.82, 0.95)

G1 36 months:0.91 (0.84, 0.96)

G2 Baseline:0.91 (0.84, 0.96)

G2 36 months: 0.89 (0.82, 0.95)

Overall Mean Effect*

0.01 (95% CI, 0.001, 0.02)

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 200280

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2005119

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201297

DPP

G1: Intensive lifestyle intervention

(n =1079)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus metformin at a dose of 850 mg twice daily (n=1073)

G3: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily

(n =1082)

3.2 years

Difference in Mean Changes from baseline in intervention group compared to placebo group (SD)

Short Form-6D, G1 vs. G2:

0.0084 (0.0041) vs. 0.0019 (0.0041); p<0.05

SF-36 Physical component summary (SD), G1 vs. G2:

1.57 (0.30) vs. 0.15 (0.30); p<0.01

SF-36 Mental component summary, G1 vs. G2:

−0.29 (0.32) vs. 0.22 (0.32)

SF-36 domain scores (SD), G1 vs. G2:

Physical function: 3.58 (0.71) vs. 0.13 (0.71); p<0.01

Role Physical : 1.86 (0.99) vs. 1.32 (0.99)

Body pain: 1.93 (0.78) vs. 0.50 (0.78); p<0.01

General health: 3.23 (0.66) vs. 0.06 (0.66); p<0.01

Vitality: 2.05 (0.77) vs. 0.09 (0.76); p<0.01

Social functioning: 0.97 (0.66) vs. 0.81 (0.66)

Role emotional: 0.20 (0.95) vs. 0.78 (0.95)

Mental health: −0.50 (0.57) vs. 0.32 (0.57)

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2012237

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2009146

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201579

Apolzan, 2019238

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201981

DPPOS

G1: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus 850 mg metformin twice daily for 3.2 y; then open label metformin for additional 7-8 y and offered original DPP lifestyle intervention (n=924)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily and offered original DPP lifestyle intervention (n=932)

15 years (double blind phase 3.2 years)

Participants whose most recent HbA1c was ≥ 6.5%:

Retinopathy:

G1 vs. G3, RR 0.61 (0.37-1.01), p =0.05

Neuropathy:

G1 vs. G3, RR 0.38 (0.19-0.75), p =0.01

Nephropathy:

Incidence shown in figure only, difference between intervention groups and placebo not statistically significant

Kulzer, 2009112

Prevention of Diabetes Self-Management Program (PREDIAS)

G1: PREDIAS group lifestyle intervention based on the Diabetes Prevention Program (n=91)

G2: Control (received the PREDIAS written information and patient materials (n=91)

1 year

World Health Organization-Five Well-Being Index (WHO-5), change from baseline:

G1: 1.4 (3.9), p=0.015

G2: 0.0 (4.2), p=0.901

Between group, p=0.101

Morey, 2012120

The Enhancing Fitness in Older Overweight Veterans with Impaired Glucose Tolerance (Enhanced Fitness) Trial

G1: Counseling intervention focused on physical activity (n=180)

G2: Usual care control (n=122)

1 year

SF-36 General Health

G1 Baseline: 61.39 (39.40)

G1 3 Months: 59.84 (42.59)

G1 12 Months: 58.12 (42.29)

G2 Baseline: 65.78 (39.52)

G2 3 Months: 66.37 (42.75)

G2 12 Months: 61.68 (41.82)

P =0.92

SF-36 Physical Function

G1 Baseline: 62.94 (20.97)

G1 3 Months: 63.97 (21.30)

G1 12 Months: 62.52 (21.79)

G2 Baseline: 66.88 (20.60)

G2 3 Months: 67.08 (19.86)

G2 12 Months: 66.24 (20.91)P =0.09

le Roux, 2017115

SCALE Obesity and Prediabetes Trial

G1: Liraglutide (starting at 0.6 mg daily; weekly 0.6 mg increases to 3.0 mg with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=1505)

G2: Placebo with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=749)

3.3 year

SF-36 Physical component summary, mean change from baseline score (SD)

G1: 3.1 (7.3)

G2: 2.6 (7.6)

RD, 0.9 (0.2 to 1.6) p=0.0156

SF-36 Mental component summary, mean change from baseline score (SD)

G1: −0.5 (8.7)

G2: −1.4 (9.2)

RD 0.8 (−0.1 to 1.6) p=0.08

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010260

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010261

Currie, 2017262

Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) Trial

G1: Nateglinide 60 mg/3 times daily (n=4645)

G2: Placebo (n=4661)

G3: Valsartan 160 mg/once daily (n=4631)

G4: Placebo (n=4675)

Patients randomized twice, to nateglinide or placebo and valsartan or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

5 years

NR End-stage renal disease (ESRD)

G3: 5 (0.1)

G4: 5 (0.1)

HR, 0.96 (0.28 to 3.31)

Amputations:

G1: 1 (<0.1)

G2: 6 (0.1)

G3: 5 (0.1)

G4: 2 (<0.1)

Pan, 1997225

Li, 2008226

Li, 2014227

Gong, 2019228

China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS)

G1: Combined 6-year lifestyle (diet, exercise, or diet+exercise) intervention: (n=438)

G2: Control (n=138)

30 years

Composite Microvascular Disease§

G1: 76 (17.4)

G2: 33 (23.9)

HR, 0.65 (0.45 to 0.95)

Women: 42 vs. 16; HR, 0.69 (0.37 to 1.32)

Men: 34 vs. 17; HR, 0.61 (0.35 to 1.06)

Retinopathy

G1: 56 (12.8)

G2: 26 (18.8)

HR, 0.60 (0.38 to 0.95)

Women: 34 (16.6) vs. 13 (22.0); HR, 0.71 (0.34 to 1.48)

Men: 22 (9.4) vs. 13 (16.4); HR, 0.50 (0.25 to 1.002)

Nephropathy

G1: 16 (3.6)

G2: 7 (5.1)

HR, 0.68 (0.36 to 1.28)

Women: 8 (3.9) vs. 1(1.7); HR, 2.18 (0.28 to 16.72)

Men: 8 (3.4) vs. 6 (7.6); HR, 0.43 (0.18 to 1.04)

Neuropathy#

G1: 14 (3.2)

G2: 7 (5.1)

HR, 0.57 (0.24 to 1.36)

Women: 4 (2.0) vs. 3 (5.1); HR, 0.35 (0.08 to 1.63)

Men: 10 (4.3) vs. 4 (5.1); HR, 0.79 (0.21 to 2.95)

*

Adjusted for baseline value and clusters.

Scores worsend from baseline in all groups for the SF-6D and SF-36 PCS and MCS; the decline for SF-6D and PCS was lower in the intensive lifestyle group than placebo or metformin groups but did not meet the minimally important difference of 3% (defined by authors).

Difference between grous remains statisically significant when controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, baseline weight and physical activity, medical and psychiatric comorbidiy but magnitude is smalle: 0.009 (SD 0.14).

§

Composite microvascular disease defined as an aggregate of retinopathy, nephropathy, or neuropathy.

Retinopathy defined as a history of photocoagulation, blindness from retinal disease, or proliferative retinopathy.

Nephropathy defined as a history of end stage renal disease, renal dialysis, renal transplantation, death from chronic kidney disease.

#

Neuropathy defined as a history of lower extremity ulceration, gangrene, or amputation.

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; DM=diabetes mellitus; DPP=Diabetes Prevention Program; DPPOS=Diabetes Prevention Program; ESRD=end-stage renal disease; IQR=interquartile ratio; N=Number; NAVIGATOR=Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research; PREDIAS=Prevention of Diabetes Self-Management Program; SCALE=Satiety and Clinical Adiposity–Liraglutide Evidence; SD=standard deviation; U.K.=United Kingdom; VDT=Vibration Detection Threshold; WHO=World Health Organization.

Appendix E Table 8Mortality and Cardiovascular Event Outcomes Among Individuals With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 5)

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

G1 (N)

G2 (N)

Mortality

G1 vs. G2; HR (95% CI)

CVD Events

G1 vs. G2; HR (95% CI)

Yang, 2013276

China

G1: 75

G2: 75

NR

Myocardial Infarction

7-year followup (per protocol)

G1: 1//75 (1.3%)

G2: .1/75 (1.3%)

RR, 1.0 (0.06 to 15.7)

Transient Ischemic Attack

7-year followup (per protocol)

G1: 0//75 (0%)

G2: 2/75 (2.7%)

RR, 2.0 (0.01 to 4.1)

UKPDS Group 19981

UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS)

U.K.

G1: 2729

G2: 619

G3: 615

G4: 911

G5a: 1138

G5b: 896

Median 10.0-year followup

G1 vs. G5a

All-cause mortality: 18% vs. 19%; RR, 0.94 (0.80 to 1.10)

Diabetes-related death: 10% vs. 11%; RR, 0.90 (0.73 to 1.11)

Fatal myocardial infarction: 7.6% vs. 7.9%; RR, 0.94 (0,68 to 1.30)

Fatal stroke: 1.6% vs.1.3%; RR, 1.17 (0.54 to 2.54)

Sudden death: 0.88% vs. 1.6%; RR, 0.54 (0.24 to 1.21)

Median 11.1-year followup

G2 vs. G5b

All-cause mortality: 22% vs. 21%; RR, 1.02 (0.82 to 1.27)

Diabetes-related death: 12% vs.13%; RR, 0.92 (0.68 to 1.23)

Fatal myocardial infarction: 9.0% vs. 8.9%; RR, 0.99 (0.64 to 1.56)

Fatal stroke: 1.5% vs.1.3%; RR, 1.06 (0.34 to 3.30)

Sudden death: 0.97% vs. 1.7%; RR, 0.57 (0.16 to 1.97)

G3 vs. G5b

All-cause mortality: 20% vs. 21%; RR, 0.91 (0.73 to 1.15)

Diabetes-related death: 12% vs.13%; RR, 0.92 (0.69 to 1.24)

Fatal myocardial infarction: 7.5% vs. 8.9%; RR, 0.82 (0,51 to 1.33)

Fatal stroke: 2.6% vs.1.3%; RR, 1.90 (0.71 to 5.09)

Sudden death: 1.1% vs. 1.7%; RR, 0.67 (0.21 to 2.16)

G4 vs. G5b

All-cause mortality: 20% vs. 21%; RR, 0.93 (0.76 to 1.14)

Diabetes-related death: 12% vs.13%; RR, 0.90 (0.69 to 1.18)

Fatal myocardial infarction: 8.7% vs. 8.9%; RR, 0.96 (0,63 to 1.43)

Fatal stroke: 1.5% vs. 1.3%; RR, 1.13 (0.41 to 3.12)

Sudden death: 0.99% vs. 1.7%; RR, 0.58 (0.19 to 1.70)

Median 10.0-year followup

G1 vs. G5a

Myocardial infarction: 14% vs. 16%; RR, 0.84 (0.71 to 1.00)

Stroke:5.4 % vs. 4.9%; RR, 1.11 (0.81 to 1.51)

Median 11.1-year followup

G2 vs. G5b

Myocardial infarction: 16% vs. 18%; RR, 0.87 (0.68 to 1.12)

Stroke: 5.3% vs. 5.2%; RR, 1.01 (0.65 to 1.58)

G3 vs. G5b

Myocardial infarction: 15% vs. 18%; RR, 0.78 (0.60 to 1.01)

Stroke: 7.3% vs.5.2%; RR, 1.38 (0.52 to 2.08)

G4 vs. G5b

Myocardial infarction: 16% vs. 18%; RR, 0.87 (0.70 to 1.09)

Stroke: 4.6% vs. 5.2%; RR, 0.86 (0.57 to 1.31)

UKPDS Group, 1998277

UKPDS

Metformin for overweight substudy

U.K.

G1: 342

G2: 411

10-year followup results (G1 vs. G2)

All-cause mortality: 50/342 (14.6) vs. 89/411 (21.7); RR, 0.64 (0.45 to 0.91)

Diabetes-related death: 28/342 (8.2) vs. (13.4) 55/411; RR, 0.58 (0.37 to 0.91)

10-year followup results (G1 vs. G2)

MI: 39 (11.4) vs. 73 (17.8); RR, 0.61 (0.41 to 0.89)

Stroke: 12/342 (3.5) vs. 23/411 (5.6); RR, 0.59 (0.29 to 1.18)

Holman, 2008278

UKPDS

U.K.

G1: 2729

G2: 342

G3: 1138

G4: 411

10-years post-trial monitoring results

G1 vs. G3

All-cause mortality: 43% (1162/2729) vs. 47% (537/1138); RR, 0.87, (0.79 to 0.96)

Diabetes-related death: 23% (618/2729) vs. 26% (297/1138); RR, 0.83 (0.73 to 0.96)

G2 vs. G4

All-cause mortality: 44% (152/342) vs. 53% (217/411); RR, 0.73 (0.59 to 0.89)

Diabetes-related death: 24% (81/342) vs. 29% (120/411); RR, 0.70 (0.53 to 0.92)

10-years post-trial monitoring results

G1 vs. G3

Myocardial infarction: 25% (678/2729) vs. 28% (319/1138); RR, 0.85 (0.74 to 0.97)

Stroke: 9.5% (38/2729) vs. 10.2% (34/1138); RR, 0.91 (0.73 to 1.13)

G2 vs. G4

Myocardial infarction: 24% (81/342) vs. 31% (126/411); RR, 0.67 (0.51 to 0.89)

Stroke: 9.9% (34/342) vs. 10.2% (42/411); RR, 0.80 (0.50 to 1.27)

Holman, 200892

UKPDS Group, 1998279

Hypertension in diabetes Study embedded in UKPDS

G1: 758

G2: 390

Post-trial monitoring group (n=884)

9-year followup

G1 vs. G2

All-cause mortality: 17.7% (134/758) vs. 21.3% (83/390); RR, 0.82 (0.63 to 1.08)

Diabetes-related death: 10.8% (82/758) vs. 15.9% (62/390)

RR, 0.68 (0.49 to 0.94)

Post-trial monitoring 10 years results

G1 vs. G2

All-cause mortality: 49% (373/758) vs. 54% (211/390); RR, 0.89 (0.75 to 1.06)

Diabetes-related death: 27% (203/758) vs. 31% (122/390)

RR, 0.84 (0.67 to 1.05)

9-year followup

G1 vs. G2

Myocardial infarction: 14.1% (107/758) vs. 17.7% (69/390)

RR, 0.79, (0.59 to 1.07)

Stroke: 5.0% (38/758) vs. 8.7% (34/390);

RR, 0.56 (0.35 to 0.89)

Post-trial monitoring 10 years results

G1 vs. G2

Myocardial infarction: 27% (205/758) vs. 29.5% (115/390); RR, 0.90 (0.71 to 1.13)

Stroke: 12% (90/758) vs. 15% (58/390); RR, 0.77 (0.55 to 1.07)

Davies, 200893

Khunti, 201294

DESMOND

U.K.

G1: 437

G2: 387

G1 vs. G2

All-cause mortality at 4-month: 0% (0/437) vs. 0.5% (2/387)

RR, 0.18 (0.01 to 3.68)

All-cause mortality at 8-months: 0.5% (2/437) vs. 1% (4/387)

RR, 0.44 (0.08 to 2.40)

All-cause mortality at 12-months: 0.5% (2/437) vs. 1.3% (5/387)

RR, 0.35 (0.07 to 1.82)

All-cause mortality at 3-yr f/u: 3.9% (15/437) vs. 2.5% (11/387)

RR, 1.21 (0.56 to 2.60)

NR

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; CVD=cardiovascular disease; DESMOND=Diabetes education and self management for ongoing and newly diagnosed programme; G=group; HR=hazard ratio; KQ=key question; NR=not reported; RR=relative risk; U.K.=United Kingdom; UKPDS=United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study; vs.=versus.

Appendix E Table 9Quality of Life Outcomes Among Individuals With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 5)

Source

First Author, year

Trial Name

Country

Groups

N

Quality of Life

Davies, 200893

Khunti, 201294

DESMOND

U.K.

G1: 437

G2: 387

Quality of life, WHOQOL-BREF

Median score (IQR) (G1, n=299; G2, n=237)

Overall satisfaction with quality of life:

G1 3 years: 4.0 (4, 4)

G2 3 years: 4.0 (4, 5)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): −0.04 (−0.17 to 0.08) p-value 0.48

Overall satisfaction with health:

G1 3 years: 4.0 (3, 4)

G2 3 years: 4.0 (3, 4)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): −0.01 (−0.20 to 0.18)

p-value 0.94

Physical quality of life:

G1 3 years: 26.0 (22, 29)

G2 3 years: 25.5 (22,29)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): −0.15 (−0.84 to 0.55)

p-value 0.68

Psychological quality of life:

G1 3 years: 23.0 (20 to 25)

G2 3 years: 23.0 (20 to 25)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): −0.10 (−0.61 to 0.42)

p-value 0.71

Social quality of life:

G1 3 years: 11.0 (9, 12)

G2 3 years: 11.0 (10,12)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): 0.05 (−0.37 to 0.47)

p-value 0.81

Environmental quality of life:

G1 3 years: 31.0 (28,34)

G2 3 years: 31.0 (28, 34)

Model summary coefficient (95% CI): −0.01 (−0.67 to 0.65)

p-value 0.98

No differences between groups in the WHOQOL-Brief at 4, 8, and 12-months f/u (data not shown)

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; DESMOND=Diabetes education and self management for ongoing and newly diagnosed programme; IQR=interquartile range; N=Number; QoL=quality of life; U.K.=United Kingdom; WHOQOL-BREF=World Health Organization Quality of Life.

Appendix E Table 10Chronic Kidney Disease, Amputations, and Visual Impairment Outcomes Among Individuals With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes (KQ 5)

Source

First Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

Groups

N

Chronic Kidney Disease

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Amputations

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Visual Impairment

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

UKPDS Group 19981

U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS)

U.K.

G1: 2729

G2: 619

G3: 615

G4: 911

G5a: 1138

G5b: 896

10-year followup

Renal Failure

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 16 (0.6)

G5a: 9 (0.8)

RR, 0.73 (0.25 to 2.14)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 6 (0.2)

G5b: 8 (0.9)

RR, 1.09 (0.27 to 4.37)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 4 (0.7)

G5b: 8 (0.9)

RR, 0.72 (0.15 to 3.50)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 5 (0.5)

G5b: 8 (0.9)

RR, 0.61 (0.14 to 2.64)

10-year followup

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 27 (1.0)

G5a: 18 (1.6)

RR, 0.61 (0.28 to 1.33)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 5 (0.8)

G5b: 15 (1.7)

RR, 0.47 (0.12 to 1.77)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 5 (0.8)

G5b: 15 (1.7)

RR, 0.48 (0.13 to 1.80)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 15 (1.6)

G5b: 15 (1.7)

RR, 0.95 (0.37 to 2.45)

10-year followup

Retinal photocoagulation

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 207 (7.6)

G5a: 117 (10.3)

RR, 0.71 (0.53 to 0.96)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 55 (8.9)

G5b: 101 (11.3)

RR, 0.77 (0.50 to 1.18)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 45 (7.3)

G5b: 101 (11.3)

RR, 0.63 (0.40 to 1.00)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 72 (7.9)

G5b: 101 (11.3)

RR, 0.67 (0.45 to 0.99)

Vitreous Hemorrhage

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 19

G5a: 10

RR, 0.77 (0.28 to 2.11)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 8 (1.3)

G5b: 10 (1.1)

RR, 1.14 (0.34 to 3.86)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 6 (1.0)

G5b: 10 (1.1)

RR, 0.73 (0.18 to 2.98)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 5 (0.5)

G5b: 10 (1.1)

RR, 0.48 (0.12 to 1.96)

Blind in one eye

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 78 (2.8)

G5a: 38 (3.2)

RR, 0.84 (0.51 to 1.40)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 21 (3.4)

G5b: 36 (4.0)

RR, 0.64 (0.41 to 1.70)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 15 (2.4)

G5b: 36 (4.0)

RR, 0.61 (0.27 to 1.34)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 29 (3.2)

G5b: 36 (4.0)

RR, 0.75 (0.39 to 1.43)

Cataract extraction

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 149 (2.8)

G5a: 80 (3.2)

RR, 0.76 (0.53 to 1.08)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 33 (5.3)

G5b: 70 (7.8)

RR, 0.67 (0.39 to 1.15)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 44 (7.2)

G5b: 70 (7.8)

RR, 0.91 (0.55 to 1.50)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 50 (5.5)

G5b: 70 (7.8)

RR, 0.68 (0.42 to 1.10)

UKPDS Group, 1998277

UKPDS* Metformin for overweight substudy

U.K.

G1: 342

G2: 411

NR

Median followup 10.7 years

G1 vs. G2

6/342 (1.8) vs. 9/411 (2.2); RR, 0.74 (0.19 to 2.89)

Blindness in one eye

G1 vs. G2

12/342 (3.5) vs. 13 (3.2); RR, 1.07 (0.38 to 2.99)

Holman, 200892

UKPDS Group, 1998279

Hypertension in diabetes Study embedded in UKPDS

G1: 758

G2: 390

Post-trial monitoring group (n=884)

G1 vs. G2

Renal Failure

9-year followup

1.1% (8/758) vs. 1.8% (7/390)

RR, 0.53 (0.15 to 2.21)

Urinary albuminuria ≥50 mg/l

At 3 years

18.3% (113/618) vs. 23.7% (75/317)

RR, 0.77 (0.55 to 1.09)

At 6 years

20.3% (110/543) vs. 28.5% (78/274)

RR, 0.71 (0.51 to 0.99)

At 9 years

28.8% (86/299) vs. 33.1% (55/166)

RR, 0.87 (0.60 to 1.26)

Urinary albuminuria ≥300 mg/l

At 3 years

3.2% (20/618) vs. 5.7% (18/317)

RR, 0.57 (0.25 to 1.29)

At 6 years

5.3% (29/543) vs. 8.6% (24/274)

RR, 0.61 (0.31 to 1.21)

At 9 years

7.0% (21/299) vs. 6.6% (11/166)

RR, 1.06 (0.42 to 2.67)

9-year followup

G1 vs. G2

1.1% (8/758) vs. 2.1% (8/390)

RR, 0.51 (0.14 to 1.86)

G1 vs. G2

Progression of retinopathy ≥2 steps

At Median 1.5 years

20.2% (93/461) vs. 23.1% (56/243)

RR, 0.88 (0.60 to 1.29)

At Median 4.5 years

27.5% (113/411) vs. 36.7% (76/207)

RR, 0.75 (0.55 to 1.02)

At Median 7.5 years

34.0% (102/300) vs. 51.3% (78/152)

RR, 0.66 (0.50 to 0.89)

Deterioration in vision by ≥3 ETDRS lines

Median 1.5 years

5.4% (31/575) vs. 6.8% (20/293)

RR, 0.79 (0.39 to 1.62)

Median 4.5 years

7.5% (39/523) vs. 8.9% (23/257)

RR, 0.83 (0.44 to 1.59)

Median 7.5 years

10.2% (34/332) vs. 19.4% (35/180)

RR, 0.53 (0.30 to 0.93)

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; ETDRS=Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study; G=group; HR=hazard ratio; KQ=key question; N=Number; NR=not reported; RR=relative risk; U.K.=United Kingdom; UKPDS=United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study; vs.=versus.

Appendix E Table 11Harms Reported in Included Trials of Interventions for People With Screen-Detected or Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Reporting Harms (KQ 6)

Author, Year

Trial Name

Country

Mortality

G1 (N)

G2 (N)

HR (95% CI)

Hypoglycemic Events Requiring Medical Attention

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

All Cause Withdrawals

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Other Adverse Events

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

HR (95% CI)

Davies, 200893

Khunti, 201294

DESMOND

U.K.

NRNR

G1 21/437 (4.8)

G2 23/387 (5.9)

RR, 0.81 (95% CI 0.45 to 1.44)

NR

van den Donk, 201095

Janssen, 2009117

ADDITION-Netherlands

NR

G1 1/255 (0.4)

G2 0/243 (0)

G1: 5/255 (2)

G2: 2/243 (1)

RR, 2.38 (0.47 to 12.16)

U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group, 19981

U.K.

Death from hypoglycemia

G1 vs. G5a:

G1: 1/2729 (0)

G5a: 0/1138 (0)

G2 vs. G5b:

G2: 0/619 (0)

G5b: 0/896 (0)

G3 vs. G5b:

G3: 0/615 (0)

G5b: 0/896 (0)

G4 vs. G5b:

G4: 1/911 (0)

G5b: 0/896 (0)

Major hypoglycemic episodes

G1: NR

G2: 1.0% (6/619)

G3: 1.4% (9/615)

G4: 1.8% (16/911)

G5a: NR

G5b: 0.7% (6/896)

G2 vs. G5b

RR, 1.45 (0.47 to 4.47)

G3 vs. G5b

RR, 2.19 (0.78 to 6.11)

G4 vs. G5b

RR, 2.62 (1.03 to 6.67)

NRNR

Kumar, 2014208

India

G1: 0

G2: 0

G1: 0

G2: 0

G1: 0/107 (0)

G2: 0/106 (0)

Treatment-related AEs:

G1: 6/107 (5.6)

G2: 8/106 (7.5)

RR, 0.74 (0.27 to 2.07)

Serious adverse events:

G1: 0

G2: 0

Abbreviations: AE=adverse events; CI=confidence interval; DESMOND=Diabetes education and self management for ongoing and newly diagnosed programme; G=group; HR=hazard ratio; KQ=key question; NR=not reported; RR=relative risk; UKPDS=United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study; vs.=versus.

Appendix E Table 12Harms Reported in Included Trials of Interventions for People With Prediabetes (KQ 6)

Source

First Author, year

Trial Name

Groups (N participants) Followup, y

Hypoglycemic Events

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

All Cause Withdrawals Due to Adverse Events

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

Gastrointestinal Adverse Events

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

Other Adverse Events

G1 N (%)

G2 N (%)

Ackermann, 2015139

Reaching Out to Prevent Increases in Diabetes (RAPID)

G1: Group-based YMCA DPP intervention (n=257)

G2: Usual care plus brief counseling & information on community resources (n=252)

1 year

NRNRNR

Joint sprains or strains

G1: 58 (22.6)

G2: 58 (22.9)

P = 0.99

Muscle or joint aches

G1: 125 (48.6)

G2: 127 (50.5)

P = 0.7

Bhopal, 201436

Welsh, 2016220

The Prevention of Diabetes and Obesity in South Asians (PODOSA) study

G1: Lifestyle intervention with family support and visits to dietician (n=85)

G2: Standardized advice with family support (n=86)

3 years

NRNRNR

Total events perceived by participants to be attributable to the intervention:

G1: 3 (3.5)

G2: 4 (4.7)

Moderate events perceived by participants to be attributable to the intervention:

G1: 2 (2.3) - arthritis in knee causing pain on walking (n=1), and worries about changing habits (n=2)

G2: 0 (0)

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 200280

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2005119

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201297

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201579

DPP

G1: Intensive lifestyle intervention (n=1079; 910 enrolled in DPPOS)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus metformin 850 mg twice daily (n=1073; 924 enrolled in DPPOS)

G3: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily (n=1082; 932 enrolled in DPPOS)

DPP: 2.8 y

DPPOS: 15y

NRNR

DPP (2.8 years):

GI symptoms (events/per 100 person-years)

G1: 12.9

G2: 77.8

G3: 30.7

G1 vs. G3, p <0.0167

G2 vs. G3, p <0.0167

DPP (2.8 years):

No deaths attributed to study intervention

Musculoskeletal symptoms (events per 100 person-years)

G1: 24.1

G2: 20.0

G3: 21.1

G1 vs. G3, p<0.0167

Hospitalization (% with one or more admissions)

G1: 15.6

G2: 15.9

G3: 16.1

DPPOS (DPP + DPPOS, 15 years post-randomization):

Risk for sprains or fractures needing medical attention

G1: 4.3 events per 100 patient years

G2: 4.1 events per 100 patient years

G3: 3.7 events per 100 patient years

No cases of lactic acidosis were reported in about 40000 patient-years of followup

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2012237

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 2009146

Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, 201579

Apolzan, 2019238

DPPOS

G1: Standard lifestyle recommendations plus 850 mg metformin twice daily for 3.2 y; then open label metformin for additional 7-8 y and offered original DPP lifestyle intervention (n=924)

G2: Standard lifestyle recommendation plus placebo twice daily and offered original DPP lifestyle intervention (n=932)

Double blind phase: 2 y

Open label phase: 9 y

Non serious hypoglycemia events

G1: 7

G2: 8

Serious hypoglycemia events

G1: 0

G2: 0

NR

% reporting GI symptoms in past year (average during DPP through year 4):

G1: 28%

G2:16%

p = 0.01

Rates of GI symptom reports declined throughout DPPOS and were similar between groups by years 6-9, but remained significantly higher (p<0.10) in G1 vs. G2 over DPP +DPPOS (average per group over 9-years NR)

% of participants reporting GI symptoms attributed to study medication over past 3 months (average during DPP through year 4):

G1: 9.5%

G2: 1.1%

p < 0.001

Adverse events during DPP (in metformin vs. placebo groups only):

Non-serious anemia

G1: 50

G2: 38

Serious anemia

G1: 2

G2: 1

Lactic acidosis

G1: 0

G2: 0

Juul, 2016145

G1: Brief theory-based health promotion intervention (n=63)

G2: Control (n=64)

1 year

NRNRNRNo adverse events were reported

O’Brien, 2017142

The Promotora Effectiveness Versus Metformin Trial (PREVENT-DM)

G1: Intensive group-based adaptation of the DPP lifestyle intervention delivered by promotoras (community healthcare workers (n=33)

G2: Metformin 850 mg twice daily (n=29)

G3: Standard care plus written educational materials on diabetes prevention (n=30)

1 year

NR

Withdrawals due to medication side effects

G1: 0 (0)

G2: 1 (3.4)

G3: 0 (0)

GI adverse events:

G1: 0 (0)

G2: 8 (28)

G3: 0 (0)

Any adverse events:

G1: 0 (0)

G2: 10 (34.4)

G3: 0 (0)

Adverse events experienced in G2:

Gastrointestinal: 8 (27.6)

Dizziness/vertigo: 1 (3.4)

Headache: 1 (3.4)

Pan, 1997225

Li, 2008226

Li, 2014227

Gong, 2019228

China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (CDQDPOS)

G1: Combined 6-year lifestyle (diet, exercise, or diet + exercise) intervention (n=438)

G2: Control (n=138)

6 years (intervention); 23 years post-intervention followup; 30 years post-intervention followup

NRNRNRNo adverse events were recorded.

Saito, 201187

ZPLS

G1: Frequent intervention (received individual instructions and followup support for lifestyle modification 9 times over 36 months) (n=311)

G2: Control group (received individual instructions and followup support for lifestyle modification 4 times over 12 months). (n=330)

3 years

NRNRNRAuthors report that there were no serious adverse events reported from any study center

Sakane, 2015140

The Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1)

G1: 1-year telephone-delivered lifestyle support intervention (n=1,240)

G2: Control (n=1,367)

4.2 years

NRNRNR

All adverse events:

G1: 24 (1.9)

G2: 25 (1.8)

Cancer:

G1: 5 (0.4)

G2: 8 (0.6)

Musculoskeletal problems:

G1: 6

G2: 3

Four cases of musculoskeletal problems in the intervention arm and one in the control arm might have been related to study treatment, per authors

Other adverse events:

G1: 9 (0.7)

G2: 9 (0.7)

Chiasson, 2002235

Chiasson, 2003236

STOP-NIDDM

G1: Acarbose 100 mg 3x a day (n=714)

G2: Placebo (n=715)

3.3 years

NR

Medication discontinuation due to adverse events:

G1: 136(19)

G2: 37 (5)

Any GI adverse events:

G1: 597 (83)

G2: 426 (60)

p<0.001

Flatulence:

G1: 486 (68)

G2: 196 (27)

Diarrhea:

G1: 229 (32)

G2: 123 (17)

Patients with any adverse events:

G1: 698 (98)

G2: 675 (95)

DeFronzo, 2011251

Espinoza, 2016252

Actos Now for Prevention of Diabetes Trial (ACT NOW)

G1: Pioglitazone 30 mg/day for one month, increased to 45 mg/day (n=303)

G2: Placebo (n=299)

2.4 years (median)

NR

Withdrawals due to weight gain:

G1: 9

G2: 3

Digestive system

G1: 13 (4.29)

G2: 12 (4.01)

Patients experiencing any adverse event:

G1: 141 (47)

G2: 121 (40)

p=0.03

Specific adverse events:

Bone fractures

G1: 8 (2.64)

G2: 7 (2.34)

Central nervous system

G1: 6 (2.0)

G2: 5 (1.67)

Edema*

G1: 39 (12.87)

G2: 19 (6.27)

p=0.007

Cancer:

G1: 3 (1)

G2: 8 (3)

Endocrine system

G1: 1 (0.33)

G2: 3 (1.00)

Immune system

G1: 2 (0.66)

G2: 4 (1.34)

Musculoskeletal system

G1: 12 (3.96)

G2: 13 (4.35)

Ophthalmologic system

G1: 0 (0.00)

G2: 1 (0.33)

Respiratory system

G1: 9 (2.97)

G2: 6 (2.01)

Reproductive system

G1: 4 (1.32)

G2: 4 (1.34)

Skin

G1: 6 (2.0)

G2: 3 (1.00)

Urogenital system

G1: 5 (1.65)

G2: 3 (1.00)

Weight gain > 1 kg

G1: 205 (67.66)

G2: 128 (42.81)

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006253

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2006254

DREAM Trial Investigators, 2008255

Diabetes Reduction Assessment with ramipril and rosiglitazone Medication (DREAM) Trial

G1: Ramipril 15 mg/day (n=2623)

G2: Placebo (n=2646)

G3: Rosiglitazone 0.8mg/day (n=2635)

G4: Placebo (n=2634)

Patients randomized twice, to ramipril or placebo and rosiglitazone or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

3 years

NR

Primary reasons for discontinuation of ramipril and placebo:

Participant’s decision to stop medication

G1: 456 (17.4)

G2: 468 (17.7)

Cough

G1: 254 (9.7)

G2: 48 (1.8)

Physician’s advice

G1: 60 (2.3)

G2: 66 (2.5)

Peripheral edema

G1: 26 (1.0)

G2: 29 (1.1)

Angioedema

G1: 3 (0.1)

G2: 4 (0.2)

Most common reasons for stopping rosiglitazone and placebo:

Participant refusal

G3: 503 (18.9)

G4: 439 (16.7)

Edema

G3: 127 (4.8)

G4: 41 (1.6)

Physician’s advice

G3: 50 (1.9)

G4: 39 (1.5)

Weight gain

G3: 50 (1.9)

G4: 15 (0.6)

Hypoglycemia

G3: 1 (0.04)

G4: 3 (0.11)

NRNR
Kaku, 2015218

G1: Sitagliptin 25g once daily (n=82)

G2: Sitagliptin 50g once daily (n=77)

G3: Placebo (n=83)

8 weeks

Hypoglycemia requiring medical attention NR

Any Hypoglycemia

G1: 7 (8.6)

G2: 5 (6.1)

G3: 4 (5.1)

Symptomatic hypoglycemia

G1: 2 (2.5)

G2: 0 (0.0)

G3: 0 (0.0)

No participants withdrew due to adverse effects of study treatment

GI disorders

G1: 5 (6.2)

G2: 4 (4.9)

G3: 7 (9.0

No deaths occurred during the study

Any drug-related adverse event

G1: 10 (12.3)

G2: 5 (6.1)

G3: 7 (9.0)

Other AEs classified by system organ classes with incidence ≥4 in one or more treatment groups:

Infections and infestations

G1: 8 (9.9)

G2: 11 (13.4)

G3: 12 (15.4)

Metabolism and nutrition disorders

G1: 7 (8.6)

G2: 5 (6.1)

G3: 4 (5.1)

Respiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders

G1: 3 (3.7)

G2: 5 (6.1)

G3: 1 (1.3)

Kawamori, 2009256

G1: Voglibose 0.2 mg TID 3x/daily (n=897)

G2: Placebo (n=883)

48 weeks

NR

Discontinuations due to any adverse events:

G1: 62 (7%)

G2: 55 (6%)

p=0.57

Discontinuations due to adverse events attributable to intervention:

G1: 46 (5%)

G2: 24 (3%)

p=0.01

NRNR

le Roux, 2017115

SCALE Obesity and Prediabetes Trial

G1: Liraglutide (starting at 0.6 mg daily; weekly 0.6 mg increases to 3.0 mg with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=1505)

G2: Placebo with standardized lifestyle counseling (n=749)

3.3 years

Severe hypoglycemic events requiring third-party assistance

G1: 0 (0)

G2: 0 (0)

Withdrawals due to adverse events

G1: 199 (13)

G2: 46 (6)

Nausea:

G1: 614 (41)

G2: 125 (17)

Diarrhea:

G1: 379 (41)

G2: 107 (14)

Pancreatitis

G1:10 (0.6)

G2: 2 (0.2)

Total number of participants reporting any adverse events:

G1: 1421 (95)

G2: 668 (89)

Total number of participants reporting any serious adverse events:

G1: 227 (15)

G2: 96 (13)

Other specific adverse events:

Malignant breast neoplasms in females

G1: 7 (0.5)

G2: 0 (0)

Malignant thyroid neoplasms

G1: 1 (0.1)

G2: 0 (0)

Lu, 2011259

G1: Patients with I-IGT: acarbose (50 mg three times daily) + lifestyle intervention; patients with I-IFG or IFG/IGT: metformin (0.25 g 3x daily) + lifestyle intervention

(n=106)

G2: Annual diabetes education

(n=104)

2 years

NR

Withdrawal due to Adverse Event

G1: 1 (0.9)

G2: 0 (0)

NRNR

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010260

The NAVIGATOR Study Group, 2010261

Currie, 2017262

Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) Trial

G1: Nateglinide 60 mg/3 times daily (n=4645)

G2: Placebo (n=4661)

G3: Valsartan 160 mg/once daily (n=4631)

G4: Placebo (n=4675)

Patients randomized twice to nateglinide or placebo and valsartan or placebo due to 2×2 factorial design

All patients also required to participate in lifestyle intervention program

5 years

All hypo-glycemia adverse events

G1: 911 (20)

G2: 527 (11)

G3: 731 (15.8)

G4: 707 (15.1)

Mild (maximum severity)

G1: 676

G2: 411

Moderate (maximum severity)

G1: 214

G2: 104

Severe (maximum severity)

G1: 21

G2: 12

Discontinuation of the study drug due to an adverse event:

G1: 520 (11.2)

G2: 485 (10.4)

G3: 556 (12.0)

G4: 531 (11.4)

Diarrhea

G1: 593 (13)

G2: 586 (13)

G3: 612 (13.2)

G4: 567 (12.1)

Initiation of dialysis

G3: 4 (0.1)

G4: 4 (0.1)

HR 0.97 (0.24 to 3.88)

Serum creatinine >530 µmol/L

G3: 1 (0)

G4: 1 (0)

HR 0.93 (0.06 to 4.9)

Doubling of serum creatinine

G3: 18 (0.4)

G4: 18 (0.4)

HR 1.00 (0.52 to 1.92)

Hospitalization for renal failure

G3: 34 (0.7)

G4: 35 (0.7)

HR 0.96 (0.6 to 1.54)

Renal dysfunction adverse event

G3: 118 (2.5)

G4: 126 (2.7)

HR 0.93 (0.73 to 1.20)

Hypotension related

G1: 1855 (40)

G2: 1789 (38)

G3: 1964 (42.4)

G4: 1680 (35.9)

p<0.001 for G3 vs. G4

Back pain

G1: 752 (16)

G2: 705 (15)

G3: 775 (16.7)

G4: 682 (14.6)

Nasopharyingitis

G1: 807 (17)

G2: 798 (17)

G3: 808 (17.4)

G4: 797 (17.0)

Arthralgia

G1: 759 (16)

G2: 762 (16)

G3: 758 (16.4)

G4: 763 (16.3)

Hypertension

G1: 797 (17)

G2: 846 (18)

G3: 693 (15.0)

G4: 950 (20.3)

Renal dysfunction

G3: 136 (2.9)

G4: 146 (3.1)

Hyperkalemia

G3: 35 (0.8)

G4: 35 (0.7)

Hypokalemia

G3: 45 (1.0)

G4: 83 (1.8)

Angioedema

G3: 89 (1.9)

G4: 123 (2.6)

Influenza

G1: 602 (13)

G2: 630 (14)

G3: 615 (13.3)

G4: 617 (13.2)

Pain in extremity

G1: 568 (12)

G2: 530 (11)

G3: 567 (12.2)

G4: 531 (11.4)

Osteoarthritis

G1: 576 (12)

G2: 578 (12)

G3: 554 (12.0)

G4: 600 (12.8)

Upper respiratory tract infection

G1: 525 (11)

G2: 556 (12)

G3: 546 (11.8)

G4: 535 (11.4)

Headache

G1: 559 (12)

G2: 604 (13)

G3: 537 (11.6)

G4: 626 (13.4)

Cough

G1: 478 (10)

G2: 450 (10)

G3: 462 (10.0)

G4: 466 (10.0)

Fatigue

G1: 462 (10)

G2: 432 (9)

Peripheral edema

G1: 500 (11)

G2: 486 (10)

G3: 431 (9.3)

G4: 555 (11.9)

Bronchitis

G1: 477 (10)

G2: 477 (10)

G3: 463 (10.0)

G4: 491 (10.5)

Nijpels, 2008263

DAISI

G1: Acarbose 50 mg 3x daily (n=60)

G2: Placebo (n=58)

3 years

NR

Withdrawals due to adverse events:

G1: 22 (36.7)

G2: 8 (13.8)

NRNR

Ramachandran, 2009265

IDPP-2

G1: Pioglitazone, 30 mg daily plus lifestyle modification (n=204)

G2: Placebo plus lifestyle modification (n=203)

3 years

NRNRNR

Other major events (not defined), excluding death or CVD:

G1: 4

G2: 10

Minor adverse events (hypoglycemic symptoms, joint pain, fracture, fever, renal stone, hypothyroidism, breathlessness, elevated liver enzymes):

G1: 28

G2: 22

Pan, 2003246

G1: Acarbose 50 mg 3x daily (n=125)

G2: Placebo (n=127)

16 weeks

NR

Withdrawn due to adverse events

G1: 2 (1.6)

G2: 3 (2.4)

Flatulence

G1: NR (15.9)

G2: NR (6.1)

Enlarged abdomen

G2: NR (13.5)

G1: NR (3.8)

Diarrhea

G2: NR (9.5)

G1: NR (2.3)

Hepatitis:

G1: 1 (0.8)

G2: 0 (0.0)

Drug-related adverse events with a ‘possible’ or ‘probable’ relation to the study drug

G1: NR (35.7)

G2: NR (18.2)

Tenosynovitis

G1: 0 (0.0)

G2 1 (0.8)

Glaucoma:

G1: 1 (0.8)

G2: 0 (0.0)

Cerebral infarction

G1: 1 (0.8)

G2: 0 (0.0)

Weber, 2016222

Gokulakrishnan, 2017223

Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program (D-CLIP)

G1: Stepwise intervention of adapted DPP lifestyle classes plus metformin 500 mg twice daily at 4 months if at high risk of developing diabetes (n=283)

G2: Standard of care (n=295)

3 years

NRNRNR

No severe adverse events (e.g., hospitalization, severe injury or illness) related to participation in the study, no injuries related to the exercise program, and no adverse events from diet changes

Some participants reported mild or moderate gastritis related to taking metformin, but none of these cases were severe enough to stop taking the medication

One participant developed a rash after taking metformin, which resolved after metformin was discontinued.

Zinman, 2010267

CAnadian Normoglycemia Outcomes Evaluation trial (CANOE)

G1: rosiglitazone 2 mg and metformin 500 twice daily and lifestyle intervention (n=103)

G2: placebo and lifestyle intervention (n=104)

3.9 years

Hypoglycemia (severity NR):

G1: 2 (2)

G2: 1 (1)

Stopped study medication due to concerns about side-effects from rosiglitazone:

G1: 4 (4)

G2: 7 (7)

Any GI event (diarrhea, nausea/vomiting, abdominal pain, constipation, flatulence, frequent/soft stools):

G1: 37

G2: 19

Diarrhea

G1: 16 (16)

G2: 6 (6)

p=0.025

Any adverse effect potentially related to study or study drug (diarrhea, nausea/vomiting, abdominal pain, constipation, flatulence, frequent/soft stools, swollen ankles, bloating/water retention, allergic reaction, vertigo)

G1: 42 (41)

G2: 27 (26)

*

Edema was defined as an increase above baseline by two or more grades on one or more distinct study visits.

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