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Pharmacoeconomic Review Report: Glucagon Nasal Powder (Baqsimi): (Eli Lilly Canada Inc.): Indication: For the treatment of severe hypoglycemic reactions which may occur in the management of insulin treated patients with diabetes mellitus, when impaired consciousness precludes oral carbohydrates [Internet]. Ottawa (ON): Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health; 2020 Mar.

Cover of Pharmacoeconomic Review Report: Glucagon Nasal Powder (Baqsimi)

Pharmacoeconomic Review Report: Glucagon Nasal Powder (Baqsimi): (Eli Lilly Canada Inc.): Indication: For the treatment of severe hypoglycemic reactions which may occur in the management of insulin treated patients with diabetes mellitus, when impaired consciousness precludes oral carbohydrates [Internet].

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Appendix 4Reviewer Worksheets

Sponsor’s Model Structure

The sponsor submitted a CUA comparing intranasal glucagon to IM glucagon for insulin-treated patients with diabetes mellitus who experience an SH event, when impaired consciousness precludes oral carbohydrates.2 To capture the costs and consequences associated with this decision problem over the time horizon of one year, the sponsor used a decision tree to model a series of events that stem from a single SH event that was assumed to be witnessed by a bystander (either a caregiver or an acquaintance) who may decide to administer a single dose of intranasal or IM glucagon (Figure 1). Whether the glucagon treatment was attempted and was successful determined which modelled health care resource use events were triggered as a consequence. A range of events of varying severity were captured, including potential resolution of an SH event without health care resource use, resolution via EMS visit, ED visit, or inpatient stay, and follow-up care.

Figure 1. Decision Tree Diagram of the Sponsor’s Model.

Figure 1Decision Tree Diagram of the Sponsor’s Model

Source: Adapted from the sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.2

Figure 2. Expanded Decision Tree in CADTH Reanalysis.

Figure 2Expanded Decision Tree in CADTH Reanalysis

IM = intramuscular; IN = intranasal; SH = severe hypoglycemia.

a Further branches in the decision tree beyond these nodes are identical to the sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.2

Table 9Data Sources

Data inputDescription of data sourceComment
Baseline characteristicsNA; sponsor did not use patient baseline characteristic inputsNA
EfficacyIN glucagon was assumed to be equally efficacious as IM glucagon.See Table 10
Bystanders to an SH event were assumed to be twice as likely to attempt to use glucagon when IN glucagon is available compared to when IM glucagon is available.See Table 10
The proportion of bystanders to an SH event attempting glucagon treatment was based on the sponsor’s CRASH web survey study.25Acceptable. However, there is some uncertainty regarding this parameter estimate as the survey participants ▬. It is also unclear how the study’s exclusion of patients ▬▬▬▬▬ would impact the parameter estimate.
The difference in the probability of a successful glucagon administration between the IN and IM formulations of glucagon was informed by the sponsor’s Yale et al. (2017) study.3Inappropriate. Yale et al. (2017) defined only a full dose injection as a successful treatment with IM glucagon.3 However, according to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, less than a full dose injection of glucagon may also be effective, especially for pediatric patients who only require half of a dose based on the IM glucagon product monograph.16,17 Therefore, a more appropriate definition of a successful glucagon injection would also include successful partial dose injections. The use of the more restrictive definition of successful treatment favoured IN glucagon. CADTH clinical reviewers also noted uncertain generalizability due to the limitations in the ability of simulated scenarios to mimic real-world conditions, and the fact that study participants who were caregivers or patients with diabetes did not own a glucagon device or never had one, in contrast to the HC-indicated population who are likely to own one.
Natural historyThe probability that patients who do not successfully receive glucagon treatment by a bystander would be privately transported to an ED was based on a 2015 Canadian ED chart review study.11Uncertain. The input data are based on the proportion of patients with an SH event who were reported to have independently travelled to an ED in the Rowe et al. (2015) study.2,11 This proportion is based on a denominator that represents a different population (i.e., patients with SH who visited ED) compared to those who are reflected in the probability (i.e., patients with SH with impaired consciousness that preclude oral carbohydrate treatment, who did not receive a successful glucagon treatment from a bystander). Additionally, the sponsor’s approach did not replicate the proportion of patients observed in the Rowe et al. (2015) study as was seemingly intended. As the sponsor’s decision tree also modelled additional paths for patients to be transported to the ED via EMS, the overall proportion of modelled patients who visit the ED in the model were lower than observed in the Rowe et al. (2015) study. Although this may favour IN glucagon because the model assumes that more patients could be diverted from the ED, the direction of bias is uncertain as it is unknown how the population in the Rowe et al. (2015) study is related to the HC-indicated population for IN glucagon.
The probability of an EMS visit leading to an ED visit, and the probability of an ED visit leading to a hospital admission were based on a 2018 Canadian review of paramedic and ED records.10Acceptable.
UtilitiesMean disutilities associated with SH event resolution without health care resource use, SH event involving EMS, SH event involving ED visit, and SH event involving inpatient admission were approximated by pediatric epilepsy-related disutilities reported in the Lee et al. (2013) cost-effectiveness analysis.18Inappropriate. The sponsor inappropriately applied the disutility value associated with an admission to intensive care unit to model the reduction in QALYs associated with an inpatient admission, and also inappropriately applied the disutility value associated with an inpatient admission to model the reduction in QALYs associated with an ED visit. Although the Lee et al. (2013) study applied the disutility values to a 30-day period,18 the sponsor effectively applied the disutilities over the one-year time horizon. Furthermore, the methodological validity of the disutility values is unknown as the full methodology behind the disutilities, including the study country and the method of elicitation, is proprietary information that was not reported in the Lee et al. (2013) study.18 The disutilities also reflect a pediatric population and their generalizability to the HC-indicated population is unknown. CADTH explored the uncertainty associated with health care resource use-dependent disutility values in a sensitivity analysis.
Adverse eventsAdverse events were not modelledNA
MortalityMortality was not modelledNA
Resource use and costs
DrugCost for IN glucagon was based on sponsor’s submission.25Appropriate.
Cost of IM glucagon kit was based on costs of Glucagen17 and glucagon16 from the Ontario Drug Benefit formulary7 weighted by market share data from IQVIA reported by the sponsor.2Appropriate.
EventsResource use associated with follow-up care with a health care professional was based on reported referrals to endocrinologist, general internist, and primary care physician from the Rowe et al. study.11Inappropriate. The sponsor selected only some of the reported referrals in the Rowe et al. (2015) study and excluded other referrals such as diabetes education, a relevant follow-up cost.11 However, this selective costing does not impact the results of the pharmacoeconomic submission as the application of the follow-up costs did not differ between treatment arms by design.
Physician unit costs were based on Ontario Schedule of Benefits,8 and were inflated to 2019 Canadian dollars using the Canadian General Consumer Price Index.27Appropriate.
The cost of EMS was derived from 2017 Toronto Paramedic Services Annual Report.19Acceptable. The sponsor’s approach was based on CADTH costing guidelines.21 However, this estimate is uncertain as the cost estimate approach divided the gross operating budget by number of patients transported. As not every EMS response results in patient transportation, this approach likely overestimates the cost of the average EMS response. In order to explore this uncertainty, CADTH conducted a scenario analysis with a lower cost estimate based on the annual number of EMS responses.
The costs of an ED visit and an inpatient admission were based on the Ontario Case Costing Initiative database.6Appropriate.

ED = emergency department; EMS = emergency medical service; HC = Health Canada; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; IM = intramuscular; IN = intranasal; NA = not applicable; QALY = quality-adjusted life-years; SH = severe hypoglycemia.

Table 10Sponsor’s Key Assumptions

AssumptionComment
The sponsor’s model structure comprehensively captured the experiences of the population of patients who are dispensed glucagon to use in a diabetic emergency.

Inappropriate. The sponsor’s model effectively assumes that all patients who are dispensed an IN or IM glucagon kit will experience an SH event that will be noticed by a bystander who will have access to either IN or IM glucagon. This does not match the risk profile of insulin-dependent patients with diabetes and the model should incorporate SH risk to account for patients with glucagon who do not experience an SH event. Additionally the model should account for patients that have multiple SH events. The proportion of SH events that is noticed by a bystander should also be considered as this proportion would be lower than the proportion of patients who experience an SH event as most SH events occur nocturnally,14 and the expert indicated that it is unknown whether most bystanders would be able to notice the SH event in such cases. Furthermore, the proportion of SH events noticed by a bystander with access to either IN or IM glucagon is likely to be even lower. The expert consulted by CADTH indicated that it is unknown whether the IN or IM glucagon kit would be accessible by the bystander. CADTH also received patient input that some schools do not allow staff to administer glucagon.

Collectively these observations indicate that the population who could potentially benefit from IN glucagon is smaller than modelled in the sponsor’s submission. The sponsor’s model overestimated the proportion of patients who could be impacted by glucagon and favoured the IN glucagon kit.

Time horizon is one year.Inappropriate. Although SH is an acute event, IM glucagon is expected to last approximately 18 months at room temperature.17 As glucagon may potentially be used to treat an SH event at any point during this time frame before being replaced, the time horizon must be able to capture 18 months to more appropriately consider the costs and consequences of a glucagon kit prescription. Furthermore, as clinical management in response to SH (especially frequent SH) may alter SH risk and a caregiver’s probability of glucagon treatment attempt and treatment success, a lifetime time horizon would be more appropriate.
IN glucagon and IM glucagon have the same efficacy in resolving an SH event.Acceptable. The sponsor based this assumption on the sponsor’s IGBC and IGBB trials.2,4,5 CADTH clinical reviewers concluded that patients receiving IN glucagon have similar rates of treatment response compared to IM glucagon in the adult studies based on the definitions of response used in three noninferiority studies in adults (IGBC, IGBI, and IGBJ). Reviewers also noted that the pediatric trial (IGBB) was not designed to test noninferiority and therefore conclusions about the similarity of IN compared to IM administration are less certain in the pediatric population. The main limitation of the data from these trials is that none of the trials were conducted in patients with SH (they had induced hypoglycemia instead) and therefore the relative efficacy of IN and IM glucagon in this context is uncertain.
Sponsor assumed that caregivers will be present for SH events occurring in private residences that are not one-person households, nursing homes, and for 50% of SH events occurring elsewhere.Uncertain. It is challenging to validate this assumption given lack of informative literature.
Bystanders to an SH event are twice as likely to attempt to use glucagon when IN glucagon is available compared to when IM glucagon is available.Uncertain. According to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, caregivers such as a parent of a child may be determined to attempt glucagon treatment regardless of the route of administration. The expert expected that IN glucagon would encourage treatment more frequently in bystanders who were acquaintances. However, the size of the increased treatment attempt probability is unknown.
All additional patients who successfully receive SH treatment will consequently avoid an EMS visit, an ED visit, or an inpatient admission.Uncertain. Given the following points, the Sinclair et al. (2018) study population may have been transported to ED or admitted as inpatients for reasons unrelated to whether the specific type of SH event indicated for IN glucagon was successfully treated:
  • a substantial proportion of the population observed in the Sinclair et al. (2018) study were fully conscious at baseline (i.e., Glasgow Coma Scale score of 15)
  • 24.5% of paramedic impressions of patients were associated with other concerns not relevant to hypoglycemia or were potentially associated with a seizure or alcohol complication
  • only 37.6% of patients had a diagnosis of hypoglycemia in the ED.10
The clinical expert consulted by CADTH was also uncertain regarding the proportion of these patients who would avoid an EMS visit, an ED visit, or an inpatient admission.
Mortality or adverse events were not modelled.Acceptable. According to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, neither aspects are expected to differ between IM glucagon and IN glucagon.

ED = emergency department; EMS = emergency medical service; IM = intramuscular; IN = intranasal; SH = severe hypoglycemia.

CADTH CDR Reanalyses

CADTH conducted the following sensitivity analyses.

S1a.

An annual SH risk of 5% was assumed.

S1b.

An annual SH risk of 4% was assumed.

S1c.

An annual SH risk of 3% was assumed.

S1d.

An annual SH risk of 2% was assumed.

S1e.

An annual SH risk of 1% was assumed.

S2.

The following sensitivity analyses were based on the base case annual SH incidence of approximately 38.4%.

S2a.

The probability of attempting glucagon administration for intranasal glucagon was assumed to be 1.5 times compared with IM glucagon based on the opinion of the clinical expert consulted by CADTH.

S2b.

The probability of attempting glucagon administration for intranasal glucagon was assumed to be the same as IM glucagon.

S2c.

All caregivers attending to an SH event (caregivers were assumed to be 68% of bystanders) were assumed to have the probability of successful IM glucagon administration that is equal to the probability for intranasal glucagon. The impact of intranasal glucagon on the probability of successful glucagon administration was preserved for the 32% of the bystander population who was an acquaintance of the patient.

S2d.

The probability of successful IM glucagon administration was assumed to be equal to that associated with intranasal glucagon for all bystanders.

S2e.

Analysis S2c + analysis S2a.

S2f.

Analysis S2c + analysis S2b.

S2g.

Disutility values associated with an EMS visit, an ED visit, and an inpatient admission were made equivalent to the disutility value of an SH event without an EMS or hospital visit.

S2h.

A lower EMS cost estimate derived from the 2018 Toronto Paramedic Service report22 was used ($566.97 compared to $948.26 in the base case). The gross operating budget ($215,449,500) was divided by the number of EMS responses (380,000), instead of the number of patient transportations.

S3a-h.

Analyses S2a to S2h were repeated with the assumption of 5% annual SH risk.

S4a-h.

Analyses S2a to S2h were repeated with the assumption of 3% annual SH risk, which is the average of the 1% to 5% annual SH risk estimate provided by the clinical expert consulted by CADTH.

The results of these additional analyses are reported in Table 11.

Table 11CADTH Sensitivity Analyses (Intranasal Glucagon vs. IM Glucagon)

AnalysisComparatorCost ($)QALYsQALMsaICUR ($ per QALY)
S1a5% annual SH riskIIN Glucagon305−0.000014−7
IM Glucagon306−0.000017−9
Incremental−140.0000031IN glucagon dominant
S1b4% annual SH riskIN Glucagon271−0.000011−6
IM Glucagon264−0.000013−7
Incremental70.00000213,187,690
S1c3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon236−0.000008−4
IM Glucagon222−0.000010−5
Incremental140.00000218,433,616
S1d2% annual SH riskIN Glucagon201−0.000006−3
IM Glucagon180−0.000007−4
Incremental210.000001119,189,578
S1e1% annual SH riskI˜ Glucagon167−0.000003−2
IM Glucagon138−0.000003−2
Incremental290.000001054,607,896
S2aProbability of ˆ˜ glucagon attempt 1.5 times the probability of IM glucagon attemptI˜ Glucagon939−0.000065−34
IM Glucagon1,008−0.000072−38
Incremental−690.0000074IN glucagon dominant
S2bProbability of IN glucagon attempt equivalent to the probability of IM glucagon attemptIN Glucagon986−0.000069−36
IM Glucagon1,006−0.000072−38
Incremental−200.0000042IN glucagon dominant
S2cProbability of successful IN glucagon administration equivalent to the probability of successful IM glucagon administration for patients attended by caregiversIN Glucagon878−0.000061−32
IM Glucagon979−0.000070−37
Incremental−1010.0000105IN glucagon dominant
S2dProbability of successful IN glucagon administration equivalent to the probability of successful IM glucagon administration for all patientsIN Glucagon880−0.000061−32
IM Glucagon957−0.000069−36
Incremental−760.0000084IN glucagon dominant
S2eS2c + S2aIN Glucagon930−0.000070−34
IM Glucagon979−0.000065−37
Incremental−490.0000063IN glucagon dominant
S2fS2c + S2bIN Glucagon1,000−0.000069−36
IM Glucagon969−0.000070−37
Incremental300.000001058,432,086
S2gDisutilities associated with EMS visit, ED visit, and inpatient admission equivalent to the disutility associated with seizure that do not involve EMS or hospital visitIN Glucagon874−0.000011−6
IM Glucagon1,002−0.000011−6
Incremental−1280.0000010IN glucagon dominant
S2hLower EMS costIN Glucagon764−0.000061−32
IM Glucagon860−0.000072−38
Incremental−960.0000116IN glucagon dominant
S3aS2a + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon319−0.000015−8
IM Glucagon307−0.000017−9
Incremental130.00000217,407,593
S3bS2b + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon331−0.000016−8
IM Glucagon307−0.000017−9
Incremental240.000001030,921,472
S3cS2c + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon305−0.000014−7
IM Glucagon300−0.000016−9
Incremental50.00000212,318,654
S3dS2d + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon305−0.000014−7
IM Glucagon296−0.000016−8
Incremental90.00000214,577,604
S3eS2e + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon320−0.000015−8
IM Glucagon300−0.000016−9
Incremental200.000001116,905,733
S3fS2f + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon333−0.000016−8
IM Glucagon300−0.000016−9
Incremental330.0000000130,642,273
S3gS2g + % annual SH riskIN Glucagon305−0.000002−1
IM Glucagon308−0.000003−1
Incremental−40.0000000IN glucagon dominant
S3hS2h + 5% annual SH riskIN Glucagon279−0.000014−7
IM Glucagon275−0.000017−9
Incremental30.00000311,190,443
S4aS2a + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon244−0.000009−5
IM Glucagon223−0.000010−5
Incremental210.000001120,063,314
S4bS2b + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon253−0.000010−5
IM Glucagon222−0.000010−5
Incremental310.000000073,861,285
S4cS2c + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon237−0.000009−5
IM Glucagon219−0.000010−5
Incremental180.000001113,735,887
S4dS2d + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon236−0.000008−4
IM Glucagon216−0.000010−5
Incremental190.000001115,882,542
S4eS2e + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon244−0.000009−5
IM Glucagon218−0.000010−5
Incremental260.000001035,359,746
S4fS2f + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon253−0.000010−5
IM Glucagon218−0.000010−5
Incremental350.0000000314,192,492
S4gS2g + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon237−0.000001−1
IM Glucagon223−0.000002−1
Incremental140.0000000144,606,915
S4hS2h + 3% annual SH riskIN Glucagon219−0.000009−5
IM Glucagon202−0.000010−5
Incremental170.000002110,380,437

ED = emergency department; EMS = emergency medical service; ICUR = incremental cost-utility ratio; IM = intramuscular; IN = intranasal; QALM = quality-adjusted life-minute; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SH = severe hypoglycemia; vs. = versus.

a

QALMs were calculated as reported QALYs were unable to sufficiently capture the estimated health differences. Reported QALMs may be negative as the sponsor did not model base health utilities and the results only reflect health utility decrements.

Table 12CDR Reanalysis Price Reduction Scenarios (Based on Analysis S1c)

ICURs of IN glucagon versus IM glucagon
PriceBase-case analysis submitted by sponsorCADTH reanalysis S1c: 3% annual SH risk
SubmittedIN Glucagon Dominant8,433,616
5% reductionIN Glucagon Dominant4,074,195
6% reductionIN Glucagon Dominant3,146,754
7% reductionIN Glucagon Dominant2,970,617
8% reductionIN Glucagon Dominant2,621,902
9% reductionIN Glucagon Dominant983,801
10% reductionIN Glucagon DominantIN glucagon dominant

ICUR = incremental cost-utility ratio; IM = intramuscular; IN = intranasal; SH = severe hypoglycemia.

Copyright © 2020 Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health.

The copyright and other intellectual property rights in this document are owned by CADTH and its licensors. These rights are protected by the Canadian Copyright Act and other national and international laws and agreements. Users are permitted to make copies of this document for non-commercial purposes only, provided it is not modified when reproduced and appropriate credit is given to CADTH and its licensors.

Except where otherwise noted, this work is distributed under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International licence (CC BY-NC-ND), a copy of which is available at http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Bookshelf ID: NBK563015

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