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Cover of Autism spectrum disorder in under 19s: recognition, referral and diagnosis

Autism spectrum disorder in under 19s: recognition, referral and diagnosis

[A] Evidence review for factors and neurodevelopmental disorders that increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder

NICE guideline, No. 128

Factors and neurodevelopmental disorders that increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder

Review questions

Do the following risk factors increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) and assist in the decision to refer for a formal ASD diagnostic assessment?

  • Small for gestational age
  • Prenatal use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs)
  • Fertility treatments

Do neurodevelopmental disorders (such as attention deficit hyperactivity disorder [ADHD] and learning [intellectual] disability) increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of ASD and assist in the decision to refer for a formal ASD diagnostic assessment?

Introduction

The NICE guideline (CG128) on diagnosing autism spectrum disorders (ASD) was reviewed by the surveillance programme in September 2016. The surveillance process identified new evidence indicating that the current recommendations on factors associated with an increased prevalence of ASD should be updated. The following key factors were identified for consideration - being small for gestational age, prenatal use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), use of fertility treatments and the presence of neurodevelopmental disorders. This update reviews the evidence for these factors and considers whether they may alter the likelihood that a person has ASD and whether clinicians should take account of these factors when considering referral for an ASD diagnostic assessment.

Terminology in the NICE guideline on diagnosing ASD (CG128) was also amended throughout to reflect the updated DSM-5 diagnostic criteria. This involved replacing references to the old DSM-IV criteria with references to the new DSM-5 criteria.

PICO table

PopulationChildren and young people from birth up to their 19th birthday without a diagnosis of ASD
Predictive factors
  • Small for gestational age
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
  • Fertility treatments
  • Neurodevelopmental disorders such as ADHD and learning (intellectual) disability
OutcomesClinical diagnosis of ASD
MeasuresAdjusted and unadjusted:
  • Odds ratios
  • Hazard ratios
  • Risk ratios

Methods and process

This evidence review was developed using the methods and process described in Developing NICE guidelines: the manual (2014). Methods specific to this review question are described in the review protocol in Appendix A and Appendix B.

Declarations of interest were recorded according to NICE’s 2014 conflicts of interest policy.

Clinical evidence

Included studies

A systematic search was carried out to identify observational studies and systematic reviews of observational studies, which found 11,223 references (see Appendix C for literature search strategy). Evidence included in the original guideline, evidence identified from the surveillance review and studies referenced in identified systematic reviews were also reviewed, which included a total of 60 references. An additional reference (Rai 2017) which was published after the date of the systematic search was identified by a member of the guideline committee which was considered to be relevant for the update. In total, 11,284 references were identified to be screened at title and abstract level. Using priority screening software, from the first 8,000 references screened, 7,786 were excluded based on their titles and abstracts and 214 references were ordered to be screened based on their full texts. Of these, 23 references were included based on their relevance to the review protocol (Appendix A). The clinical evidence study selection is available in Appendix C.

No relevant papers were identified at title and abstract level in the last 3,000 screened (records 5,000-8,000), and therefore it was agreed to be appropriate to stop screening at this point (based on the priority screening functionality in the EPPI-reviewer systematic reviewing software, see Appendix B for more details). Therefore, the final 3,284 references were not screened on their titles and abstracts, but were automatically excluded.

Studies met the protocol criteria for clinical diagnosis of ASD if they reported that the diagnosis was made by a health professional. In the case of registry-based studies, a clinical diagnosis of ASD was assumed if International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD) or Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) codes were looked at from the databases. A clinical diagnosis of ASD was not assumed and studies were excluded if the reference reported that diagnoses were made with a questionnaire by researchers, parents or teachers.

No standard definition was found for small for gestation age, and therefore all references were included if they provided the definition of small for gestational age used in their analysis.

Excluded studies

For the full list of excluded studies, with reasons for exclusion, see Appendix H.

Summary of clinical studies included in the evidence review

Author (year)TitleStudy characteristics

Alexander (2016)

Country: UK

Morbidity and medication in a large population of individuals with Down syndrome compared to the general populationStudy type
  • Case-control study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Down’s syndrome
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Bay (2013)

Country: Denmark

Fertility treatment and risk of childhood and adolescent mental disorders: register based cohort study.

Study type

  • Prospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Fertility treatment
Fertility treatment was divided into two groups: in vitro fertilisation/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) and hormone treatments for induced ovulation/intrauterine insemination (OI/IUI)

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Boukhris (2016)

Country: Canada

Antidepressant Use During Pregnancy and the Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorder in ChildrenStudy type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Brown (2017)

Country: Canada

Association Between Serotonergic Antidepressant Use During Pregnancy and Autism Spectrum Disorder in ChildrenStudy type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Durkin (2008)

Country: US

Advanced parental age and the risk of autism spectrum disorder.

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Small for gestational age
Birthweight for gestational age >2 SDs below the mean birthweight at a given gestational age for each gender based on all 1994 US births

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Elberling (2016)

Country: Denmark

Psychiatric disorders in Danish children aged 5-7 years: A general population study of prevalence and risk factors from the Copenhagen Child Cohort (CCC 2000)Study type
  • Cross-sectional study
Predictive factor(s)
  • ADHD
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Ghirardi (2017)

Country: Sweden

The familial co-aggregation of ASD and ADHD: a register-based cohort study

Study type

  • Cross-sectional study
ASD was diagnosed according to International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9; 1987–1996) and ICD-10 (1997–2013).

Predictive factor(s)

  • ADHD
A recorded diagnosis of ADHD in the National Patient Register (NPR)

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Hvidtjørn (2011)

Country: Denmark

Risk of autism spectrum disorders in children born after assisted conception: a population-based follow-up study

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Fertility treatment
Assisted conception was defined as IVF with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) and ovulation induction (OI) with or without subsequent insemination

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio
Subgroup analyses
  • IVF
  • Ovulation induction

Hviid (2013)

Country: Denmark

Use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors during pregnancy and risk of autism

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Prescriptions that were filled during the period from 2 years before the beginning of the pregnancy until delivery.

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Risk ratio
International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) code F84.0.

Joseph (2017)

Country: US

Extremely low gestational age and very low birthweight for gestational age are risk factors for autism spectrum disorder in a large cohort study of 10-year-old children born at 23-27 weeks’ gestation.

Study type

  • Prospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Small for gestational age
SGA was defined by a birthweight Z-score <-2 SD the median birthweight in reference samples that excluded pregnancies delivered for preeclampsia or foetal indications

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio
Subgroup analyses
  • Learning (intellectual) disability
Learning (intellectual) disability was defined as an IQ<70

Kissin (2015)

Country: US

Association of assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment and parental infertility diagnosis with autism in ART-conceived children.

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Fertility treatment
Assisted reproductive technology (ART) including: Intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) Conventional in vitro fertilization (IVF)

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio
Subgroup analyses
  • Learning (intellectual) disability

Kuzniewicz (2014)

Country: US

Prevalence and neonatal factors associated with autism spectrum disorders in preterm infants.

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Small for gestational age
Small for gestational age was determined by plotting the infant’s weight and gestational age on the Fenton curves, using <5th percentile as a cut-off

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Malm (2016)

Country: Finland

Gestational Exposure to Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors and Offspring Psychiatric Disorders: A National Register-Based Study

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
SSRI exposed (n= 15,729): mothers had one or more purchases of SSRIs (fluoxetine, citalopram, paroxetine, sertraline, fluvoxamine, escitalopram) during the period from 30 days before pregnancy until the end of pregnancy.

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

McCoy (2014)

Country: Sweden

Mediators of the association between parental severe mental illness and offspring neurodevelopmental problems

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Small for gestational age
Definition was not provided

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Miodovnik (2015)

Country: US

Timing of the Diagnosis of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder and Autism Spectrum Disorder.Study type
  • Cross-sectional study
Predictive factor(s)
  • ADHD
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Moore (2012)

Country: US

Autism risk in small- and large-for-gestational-age infantsStudy type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Small for gestational age
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Pinborg (2004)

Country: Denmark

Neurological sequelae in twins born after assisted conception: controlled national cohort study.Study type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Fertility treatment
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Risk ratio

Rai (2017)

Country: Stockholm

Antidepressants during pregnancy and autism in offspring: population based cohort study.Study type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
Codes: ICD-9:299, ICD-10:F84, or DSM-IV: 299
  • Odds ratio

Russell (2014)

Country: UK

Prevalence of Parent-Reported ASD and ADHD in the UK: Findings from the Millennium Cohort StudyStudy type
  • Cross-sectional study
Predictive factor(s)
  • ADHD
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Odds ratio

Sandin (2013)

Country: Sweden

Autism and mental retardation among offspring born after in vitro fertilization.

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Fertility treatment
In vitro fertilization (IVF) classified as: (1) IVF without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) with fresh embryo transfer (2) IVF without ICSI with frozen embryo transfer (3) ICSI using ejaculated sperm with fresh embryos (4) ICSI with ejaculated sperm and frozen embryos (5) ICSI with surgically extracted sperm and fresh embryos (6) ICSI with surgically extracted sperm and frozen embryos (risk ratio was not estimable because there were too few cases)

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Sorensen (2013)

Country: Denmark

Antidepressant exposure in pregnancy and risk of autism spectrum disorders

Study type

  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Exposure defined as 30 days before conception to the day of birth and included all antidepressant prescriptions filled from January 1, 1996 to December 31, 2006.

Outcome(s)

  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Sujan (2017)

Country: Sweden

Associations of Maternal Antidepressant Use During the First Trimester of Pregnancy With Preterm Birth, Small for Gestational Age, Autism Spectrum Disorder, and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in OffspringStudy type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Hazard ratio

Viktorin (2017)

Country: Sweden

Autism risk following antidepressant medication during pregnancyStudy type
  • Retrospective cohort study
Predictive factor(s)
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
Outcome(s)
  • Clinical diagnosis of ASD
  • Risk ratio

See appendix D for full evidence tables.

Quality assessment of clinical studies included in the evidence review

See appendix F for full GRADE tables and appendix G for Forest plots.

Economic evidence

No health economics work was planned for this guideline update, as it was agreed that any recommendations made were highly unlikely to result in a substantial resource impact.

Evidence statements

Small for gestational age
Birth weight for gestational age >2 SDs below the mean
  • Very low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 185,164 children (8 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children with a birth weight for gestational age >2 SDs below the mean compared to children with a birth weight for gestational age within 1 SD of the mean.
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 866,272 children (younger than 18 years old) found that more children with a birth weight for a given gestational age >2 SDs below the average had a clinical diagnosis of ASD compared to children not being born small for gestational age.
Birth weight for gestational age Z-score <-2
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 prospective cohort containing 737 children (10 years old) found that more children with a birth weight for gestational age Z-score <-2 had a clinical diagnosis of ASD (reference category was not reported).
Birth weight for gestational age <5th percentile
  • Moderate-quality of evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 185,506 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD in children with birth weight for gestational age <5th percentile (reference category was not reported).
  • Moderate-quality of evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 4,692,129 children (4 years and older) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD in children with birth weight for gestational age <5th percentile compared to children with birth weight percentile >10 to <90.
Birth weight for gestational age 5 to 10th percentile
  • Moderate-quality of evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 4,711,838 children (4 years and older) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD in children with birth weight for gestational age 5 to 10th percentile compared to children with birth weight percentile >10 to <90.
Prenatal use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs)
SSRIs used during pregnancy
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 35,618 children (4 to 10 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy compared to children born to mothers without a prescription of serotonergic antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • High-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 16,997 children (10 years or younger) found that, in a sub-analysis of a cohort restricted to women with a documented diagnosis of a mood or anxiety disorder within 2 years previous to conception, more children born to mothers using SSRIs or selective norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors during pregnancy had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children born to mothers without a prescription of serotonergic antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 626,875 children (10 years or younger) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using SSRIs during pregnancy.
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 27,842 children (10 years or younger) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using SSRIs during pregnancy in both subgroup analyses: mothers with previous psychiatric diagnoses (n=24,360) or mothers with previous diagnosis of depression (n=3,482).
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 15,035 children (4 to 7 years old) found that more children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children born to mothers with a psychiatric disorder not using antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 15,035 children (4 to 7 years old) found that more children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy had a diagnosis of ASD without learning (intellectual) disability compared to children born to mothers with a psychiatric disorder not using antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • High-quality evidence from 3 retrospective cohorts containing 877,235 children (younger than 14 years old) found that more children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children born to mothers not using antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 5,799 children (younger than 14 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using SSRIs during pregnancy in an analysis restricted to mothers with a hospital-diagnosed affective disorder.
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 25,380 children (younger than 14 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during pregnancy compared to children born to mothers with psychiatric disorder but no antidepressant use.
SSRIs used during first trimester
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 626,875 children (10 years or younger) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during first trimester of pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using SSRIs during pregnancy.
  • High-quality evidence from 2 retrospective cohorts containing 1,580,210 children (younger than 14 years old) found that more children born to mothers using SSRIs during first trimester of pregnancy had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children born to mothers not using antidepressants during pregnancy.
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 654,288 children (10 years or younger) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during first trimester of pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using SSRIs during pregnancy in an analysis restricted to mothers with a hospital-diagnosed affective disorder.
SSRIs used during second and/or third trimester
  • Low-quality evidence from 3 retrospective cohorts containing 852,957 children (younger than 14 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born to mothers using SSRIs during second and/or third trimester of pregnancy compared to children born to mothers not using antidepressants during pregnancy.
Fertility treatment
Assisted conception including in vitro fertilisation (IVF) and ovulation induction (OI)
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 588,967 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after assisted conception including IVF and OI compared to children born after natural conception.
IVF with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI)
  • Low-quality evidence from 2 retrospective cohorts containing 3,111,944 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after IVF with or without ICSI compared to children born after natural conception.
IVF and ICSI
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 570,819 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after IVF and ICSI compared to children born after natural conception.
  • Very low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 13,632 twin children (2 to 7 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after IVF and ICSI compared to children born after natural conception.
Different procedures of fertility treatments
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 2,541,125 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after natural conception compared to children born after the following procedures:
    • IVF without ICSI, fresh embryo transfer
    • IVF without ICSI, frozen embryo transfer
    • ICSI using ejaculated sperm with fresh embryos
    • ICSI with ejaculated sperm and frozen embryos
    • Spontaneously conception with hormone treatment as the only fertility treatment
ICSI with surgical extracted sperm and fresh embryos
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 2,510,794 children (age was not reported) found that more children born after ICSI with surgical extracted sperm and fresh embryos had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children born after natural conception.
OI or intrauterine insemination (IUI)
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 573,976 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after OI/IUI compared to children born after natural conception.
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 573,976 children (age was not reported) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after OI compared to children born after natural conception.
ICSI
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort containing 35,481 children (5 years and younger) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD between children born after ICSI compared to children born after IVF without ICSI.
Neurodevelopmental disorders
Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 3 cross-sectional studies containing 1,914,808 children (9 years and younger) found that more children with ADHD had a diagnosis of ASD compared to children without ADHD.
Down’s syndrome
  • Very low-quality evidence from 1 case-control study containing 25,606 children and adults found that more people with Down’s syndrome had a clinical diagnosis of ASD compared to people without Down’s syndrome.
Learning (intellectual) disability
  • Moderate-quality evidence from 1 prospective cohort containing 737 children (10 years old) found that more children with learning (intellectual) disability had a clinical diagnosis of ASD compared to children without learning (intellectual) disability.
ADHD before ASD
  • Low-quality evidence from 1 cross-sectional study containing 1,059 children (2 to 17 years old) found that more children had a clinical diagnosis of ASD delayed until after 6 years of age if they were diagnosed with ADHD before ASD compared to children who were only diagnosed with ASD.
ADHD same/after ASD
  • Very low-quality evidence from cross-sectional study containing 1,138 children (2 to 17 years old) could not detect a difference in numbers of clinical diagnoses of ASD delayed until after 6 years of age between children diagnosed with ADHD and ASD at the same time compared to children who were diagnosed with only ASD.

The committee’s discussion of the evidence

Interpreting the evidence
The outcomes that matter most

The committee agreed that for all the factors included in the review, the critical outcome was whether the presence of those factors increased the likelihood of a diagnosis of ASD. For small for gestational age, maternal use of SSRIs during pregnancy and use of fertility treatments the committee agreed cohort studies would be the most appropriate study design, as the focus is on the impact of these maternal and neonatal factors on long-term rates of ASD diagnosis. For neurodevelopmental disorders, they agreed that cross-sectional studies would also be an appropriate study design, as the focus here is less on the time course of which diagnoses comes first, and simply on how often the two diagnosis co-exist.

The quality of the evidence

There was considerable variety in the quality of the evidence available, with ratings ranging from very low to high. The main reasons for downgrading were imprecision in effect estimates and risk of bias, in particular resulting from not appropriately adjusting for relevant confounding variables. The committee agreed that unadjusted odds ratios were an acceptable outcome measure for ADHD as a factor that increased the likelihood of a clinical diagnosis of ASD, because this update was not about causation and it was expected that studies would provide evidence of diagnosis of ADHD and ASD at the same point in time. Therefore, studies on ADHD were not downgraded if they reported unadjusted odds ratios. The committee agreed the effect sizes from the different studies on the association between ADHD and ASD were not clinically meaningfully different from each other (and all demonstrated a substantial increase in ASD rates in people with ADHD) and therefore the evidence was not downgraded for inconsistency as a result of this unexplained heterogeneity.

The committee also highlighted that indirectness was not a problem in the evidence from the meta-analysis of ADHD. One of the studies (Elberling 2016) reported on hyperkinetic disorders according to ICD-10 codes which includes a list of disorders apart from ADHD. However, the committee agreed that the most common hyperkinetic disorder is ADHD and they were confident that this was the case in Elberling 2016. Another study in the meta-analysis (Ghirardi 2017) reported that diagnosis of ASD was recorded with ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes which included Rett’s syndrome. However, the committee agreed that Rett’s syndrome is a rare disorder and they did not expect the numbers of such cases to make a meaningful difference to the results.

Benefits and harms

The committee agreed that ADHD was the most important factor identified that increased the likelihood of a clinical diagnosis of ASD, with the included studies showing a clear association between ADHD and ASD. The committee also highlighted that in clinical practice, ADHD is often already considered when diagnosing ASD (and vice versa). Therefore, the committee agreed to include ADHD to the list of factors that could assist in the decision to refer for a formal ASD diagnostic assessment and in the decision to carry out an ASD diagnostic assessment. The committee suggested that ADHD be added to the current list of factors after learning (intellectual) disability as both were considered neurodevelopmental disorders.

The committee noted that this recommendation change also interacted with the decision made to refer to the new DSM-5 criteria for ASD diagnosis. Comorbid diagnosis of ADHD and ASD was not allowed in the previous DSM-IV version, but is allowed in the DSM-5. The committee discussed a list of benefits from adding ADHD as a factor associated with an increased prevalence of ASD, such as the consideration of a joint assessment of both ADHD and ASD in children who show signs and symptoms that may be attributable to either diagnosis. Another benefit could be the early diagnosis of ASD in children with signs and symptoms of ADHD. Otherwise, having only an ADHD diagnosis without assessing for ASD might lead to diagnostic overshadowing of ADHD over ASD. Having an early diagnosis of ASD allows families to access educational and financial support, to adjust their life and coping mechanisms; to seek support groups for children and their family.

The committee agreed that there was insufficient evidence on the rest of the factors reviewed in this update for them to be added to the list of factors associated with an increased prevalence of autism. The committee agreed that the evidence for small for gestational age was mixed with some studies finding that more children identified as small for gestational age were diagnosed with ASD compared to other studies which were unable to detect a difference. Results from Joseph (2017) showed a large effect for the association between small for gestational age and ASD diagnosis but this was a small study and the population was limited to very preterm children (children born between 23 and 27 weeks gestation), which was considered to be an unusual cohort of children. The committee also agreed that gestational age less than 35 weeks was a considerably more important association than being small for gestational age, and this was already a factor associated with an increased prevalence of ASD in the recommendation.

The committee highlighted that whilst there appeared to be an association between SSRI use and an the increased number of clinical diagnoses of ASD when mothers taking SSRIs were compared to all mothers not taking SSRIs, this weakened substantially when studies compared mothers with psychiatric or mood disorders using SSRI treatment to mothers with such disorders not using SSRI treatment, which was agreed to be the most relevant comparison. Therefore, the committee agreed there was no robust evidence that SSRI use increased rates of ASD, above the effects known from ‘parental schizophrenia-like psychosis or affective disorder’, a factor already included in the recommendation.

The evidence for fertility treatments only showed an effect on clinical diagnosis of ASD for the least common fertility treatment procedure (ICSI with surgical extracted sperm and fresh embryos). The evidence for this procedure was from a smaller sample size compared to the rest of procedures (n=628), with only 8 cases of ASD. The committee also agreed that this procedure is considered to be the least common fertility treatment, and agreed there was insufficient evidence to add it to the list of factors.

Cost effectiveness and resource use

The committee agreed that the addition of ADHD as a relevant factor to consider was unlikely to lead to a substantial resource impact, as it reflects current clinical practice which is already changing to reflect the known interaction between ASD and ADHD.

Other factors the committee took into account

The committee agreed there was no evidence identified to suggest that Down’s syndrome and learning (intellectual) disability should be removed from the list of factors, and therefore these were retained in the list of factors that increased the likelihood of a clinical diagnosis of ASD.

The rest of the factors included in the existing recommendations were not reviewed as part of this update and therefore no further changes were made to the list.

Sex, language and cultural background were discussed by the committee as part of the equality impact assessment. The committee agreed that ASD and ADHD are both often underdiagnosed in females. The addition of ADHD to the list was not expected to either improve or worsen the potential for under-diagnosis of ASD in females. The committee also agreed that language and familiarity with the health system might have an effect on the time of ASD diagnosis and that there might be an ASD diagnosis stigma from some cultural backgrounds but the addition of ADHD to the recommendation was not expected to modify these effects.

The committee discussed that registry-based studies from the UK were not available for most of the factors except for Down’s syndrome. However, the committee agreed that they did not expect to find differences between studies from the UK and other European or American countries. Therefore, additional UK registry-based studies would not add more evidence to that currently available and a research recommendation was not considered necessary.

Appendices

Appendix A. Review protocols

Review protocol for factors and neurodevelopmental disorders with an increased likelihood of a diagnosis of ASD

FieldContent
Review questionsDo the following risk factors increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of ASD and assist in the decision to refer for a formal ASD diagnostic assessment?
  • Small for gestational age
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
  • Fertility treatments
Do neurodevelopmental disorders (such as ADHD and learning [intellectual] disability) increase the likelihood of a diagnosis of ASD and assist in the decision to refer for a formal ASD diagnostic assessment?
Type of review questionsAssociation
Objective of the reviewTo update the list of factors for ASD referred to in the current NICE diagnosis of ASD guideline.
Eligibility criteria – populationChildren and young people from birth up to their 19th birthday without a diagnosis of ASD at the time of factors evaluation.
Eligibility criteria – factors
  • Small for gestational age
  • Prenatal use of SSRIs
  • Fertility treatments
  • Diagnosis of ADHD
  • Learning (intellectual) disability
Measures
  • Risk ratios
  • Odds ratios
  • Hazard ratios
OutcomesClinical diagnosis of ASD
Eligibility criteria – study design
  • Prospective and retrospective cohort studies
  • Systematic reviews of observational studies
  • Case-control studies (if <5 cohort studies are found per factor)
  • Cross-sectional studies
Other inclusion/exclusion criteriaOther inclusion criteria:
  • English language
  • Published studies only
Other exclusion criteria
  • Studies without extractable data
  • Studies only reporting on Rett disorder
Proposed sensitivity/sub-group analysis, or meta-regressionSubgroups
  • Children with a learning (intellectual) disability
  • Duration of ADHD, age, and use of medications for ADHD
  • Looked-after children and young people
Selection process – duplicate screening/selection/analysis

10% of the abstracts were reviewed by two reviewers, with any disagreements resolved by discussion or, if necessary, a third independent reviewer. If meaningful disagreements were found between the different reviewers, a further 10% of the abstracts were reviewed by two reviewers, with this process continued until agreement is achieved between the two reviewers. From this point, the remaining abstracts will be screened by a single reviewer.

This review made use of the priority screening functionality with the EPPI-reviewer systematic reviewing software. See Appendix B for more details.

Data management (software)See Appendix B
Information sources – databases and dates

See Appendix C

Sources searched

Clinical searches:

  • Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (Wiley)
  • Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (Wiley)
  • Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (Wiley) (legacy records)
  • EMBASE (Ovid)
  • Health Technology Assessment Database (Wiley)
  • MEDLINE (Ovid)
  • MEDLINE In-Process (Ovid)
  • PsycINFO (Ovid)
  • PubMed (NLM)
Economic searches –
  • EconLit (Ovid)
  • EMBASE (Ovid)
  • Health Technology Assessment Database (Wiley)
  • MEDLINE (Ovid)
  • MEDLINE In-Process (Ovid)
  • NHS Economic Evaluation Database (Wiley) (legacy records)
Economic evaluations and quality of life filters were appended to the population search terms in EMBASE, MEDLINE and MEDLINE In-Process to identify relevant evidence.

Supplementary search techniques

  • None identified
Limits
  • Studies reported in English
  • Observational study design filters applied
  • Animal studies excluded from the search results
  • Conference abstracts excluded from the search results
  • Date limit from October 2010

Identify if an update

Update of 2011 ASD in under 19s: recognition, referral and diagnosis guideline question:

In children with suspected autism (based on signs and symptoms) what information assists in the decision to refer for a formal autism diagnostic assessment?

  • What information about the child and family increases the likelihood of a diagnosis of autism and would assist in the decision to refer for a formal autism diagnostic assessment?
    • risk factors (part 1)
    • conditions with an increased risk of autism (part 2)

Author contacts Guideline update
Highlight if amendment to previous protocolFor details please see section 4.5 of Developing NICE guidelines: the manual
Search strategy – for one databaseFor details please see appendix C
Data collection process – forms/duplicateA standardised evidence table format will be used, and published as appendix E (clinical evidence tables).
Data items – define all variables to be collectedFor details please see evidence tables in appendix E (clinical evidence tables).
Methods for assessing bias at outcome/study levelSee Appendix B
Criteria for quantitative synthesisSee Appendix B
Methods for quantitative analysis – combining studies and exploring (in)consistencySee Appendix B
Meta-bias assessment – publication bias, selective reporting biasSee Appendix B
Confidence in cumulative evidenceSee Appendix B
Rationale/context – what is knownFor details please see the introduction to the evidence review in the main file.
Describe contributions of authors and guarantor

A multidisciplinary committee developed the evidence review. The committee was convened by the NICE Guideline Updates Team and chaired by Tessa Lewis in line with section 3 of Developing NICE guidelines: the manual.

Staff from the NICE Guideline Updates Team undertook systematic literature searches, appraised the evidence, conducted meta-analysis where appropriate, and drafted the evidence review in collaboration with the committee. For details please see Developing NICE guidelines: the manual.

Sources of funding/supportThe NICE Guideline Updates Team is an internal team within NICE.
Name of sponsorThe NICE Guideline Updates Team is an internal team within NICE.
Roles of sponsorThe NICE Guideline Updates Team is an internal team within NICE.
PROSPERO registration numberN/A

Appendix B. Methods

Priority screening

The reviews undertaken for this guideline all made use of the priority screening functionality with the EPPI-reviewer systematic reviewing software. This uses a machine learning algorithm (specifically, an SGD classifier) to take information on features (1, 2 and 3 word blocks) in the titles and abstracts of papers marked as being ‘includes’ or ‘excludes’ during the title and abstract screening process, and re-orders the remaining records from most likely to least likely to be an include, based on that algorithm. This re-ordering of the remaining records occurs every time 25 additional records have been screened.

Research is currently ongoing as to what are the appropriate thresholds where reviewing of abstracts can be stopped, assuming a defined threshold for the proportion of relevant papers which it is acceptable to miss on primary screening. As a conservative approach until that research has been completed, the following rules were adopted during the production of this guideline:

  • In every review, at least 50% of the identified abstracts (or 1,000 records, if that is a greater number) were always screened.
  • After this point, the number of included studies was recorded after every 1,000 records were screened. If, assuming studies were to be found in the remainder of the dataset at the same rate as in that 1,000 records (for example, if 5 includes were found, every subsequent 1,000 records would contain 5 includes), it was estimated that at least 95% of the includable studies in the database had been identified, then the screening was stopped.

As an additional check to ensure this approach did not miss relevant studies, the included studies lists of included systematic reviews were searched to identify any papers not identified through the primary search. If a meaningful number of studies were found that had been eliminated by the priority screening feature, the full original database was then screened.

Incorporating published systematic reviews

For all review questions where a literature search was undertaken looking for a particular study design, systematic reviews containing studies of that design were also included. All included studies from those systematic reviews were screened to identify any additional relevant primary studies not found as part of the initial search.

Quality assessment

Individual systematic reviews were quality assessed using the ROBIS tool, with each classified into one of the following three groups:

  • High quality – It is unlikely that additional relevant and important data would be identified from primary studies compared to that reported in the review, and unlikely that any relevant and important studies have been missed by the review.
  • Moderate quality – It is possible that additional relevant and important data would be identified from primary studies compared to that reported in the review, but unlikely that any relevant and important studies have been missed by the review.
  • Low quality – It is possible that relevant and important studies have been missed by the review.

Each individual systematic review was also classified into one of three groups for its applicability as a source of data, based on how closely the review matches the specified review protocol in the guideline. Studies were rated as follows:

  • Fully applicable – The identified review fully covers the review protocol in the guideline.
  • Partially applicable – The identified review fully covers a discrete subsection of the review protocol in the guideline (for example, some of the factors in the protocol only).
  • Not applicable – The identified review, despite including studies relevant to the review question, does not fully cover any discrete subsection of the review protocol in the guideline.

Using systematic reviews as a source of data

If systematic reviews were identified as being sufficiently applicable and high quality, and were identified sufficiently early in the review process (for example, from surveillance review or early in the database search), they were used as the main source of data, rather than extracting information from primary studies. The extent to which this was done depended on the quality and applicability of the review, as defined in Table 1. When systematic reviews were used as a source of primary data, any unpublished or additional data included in the review which is not in the primary studies was also included. Data from these systematic reviews was then quality assessed and presented in GRADE tables as described below, in the same way as if data had been extracted from primary studies. In questions where data was extracted from both systematic reviews and primary studies, these were cross-referenced to ensure none of the data had been double counted through this process.

Table 1Criteria for using systematic reviews as a source of data

QualityApplicabilityUse of systematic review
HighFully applicableData from the published systematic review were used instead of undertaking a new literature search or data analysis. Searches were only done to cover the period of time since the search date of the review.
HighPartially applicableData from the published systematic review were used instead of undertaking a new literature search and data analysis for the relevant subsection of the protocol. For this section, searches were only done to cover the period of time since the search date of the review. For other sections not covered by the systematic review, searches were undertaken as normal.
ModerateFully applicableDetails of included studies were used instead of undertaking a new literature search. Full-text papers of included studies were still retrieved for the purposes of data analysis and evaluation of risk of bias. Searches were only done to cover the period of time since the search date of the review.
ModeratePartially applicableDetails of included studies were used instead of undertaking a new literature search for the relevant subsection of the protocol. For this section, searches were only done to cover the period of time since the search date of the review. For other sections not covered by the systematic review, searches were undertaken as normal.

Association studies

In this guideline, association studies are defined those reporting data showing an association of a predictor (either a single variable or a group of variables) and an outcome variable, where the data are not reported in terms of outcome classification (i.e. diagnostic/prognostic accuracy). Data were reported as hazard ratios (if measured over time), or odds ratios or risk ratios (if measured at a specific time-point). Data reported in terms of model fit or predictive accuracy were not assessed using this method. Odds ratios were calculated when studies did not report any of the measures of interest (hazard ratios, risk ratios or odds ratios) but reported extractable data for the calculation of odds ratios.

Quality assessment

Individual cohort and case-control studies were quality assessed using the CASP cohort study and case-control checklists, respectively. Each individual study was classified into one of the following three groups:

  • Low risk of bias – The true effect size for the study is likely to be close to the estimated effect size.
  • Moderate risk of bias – There is a possibility the true effect size for the study is substantially different to the estimated effect size.
  • High risk of bias – It is likely the true effect size for the study is substantially different to the estimated effect size.

Individual cross sectional studies were quality assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal checklist for analytical cross sectional studies (2016), which contains 8 questions covering: inclusion criteria, description of the sample, measures of exposure, measures of outcomes, confounding factors, and statistical analysis. Each individual study was classified into one of the following groups:

  • Low risk of bias – Evidence of non-serious bias in zero or one domain.
  • Moderate risk of bias – Evidence of non-serious bias in two domains only, or serious bias in one domain only.
  • High risk of bias – Evidence of bias in at least three domains, or of serious bias in at least two domains.

Each individual study was also classified into one of three groups for directness, based on if there were concerns about the population, predictors and/or outcomes in the study and how directly these variables could address the specified review question. Studies were rated as follows:

  • Direct – No important deviations from the protocol in population, predictors and/or outcomes.
  • Partially indirect – Important deviations from the protocol in one of the population, predictors and/or outcomes.
  • Indirect – Important deviations from the protocol in at least two of the population, predictors and/or outcomes.

Methods for combining predictive modelling evidence

Where appropriate and from univariate analyses, hazard ratios were pooled using the inverse-variance method, and odds ratios or risk ratios were pooled using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Adjusted odds ratios from multivariate models were only pooled if the same set of predictor variables were used across multiple studies and if the same thresholds to measure predictors were used across studies.

Fixed- and random-effects models (der Simonian and Laird) were fitted for all syntheses, with the presented analysis dependent on the degree of heterogeneity in the assembled evidence. Fixed-effects models were the preferred choice to report, but in situations where the assumption of a shared mean for fixed-effects model were clearly not met, even after appropriate pre-specified subgroup analyses were conducted, random-effects results are presented. Fixed-effects models were deemed to be inappropriate if one or both of the following conditions was met:

  • Significant between study heterogeneity in methodology, population, predictors or outcomes was identified by the reviewer in advance of data analysis. This decision would need to be made and recorded before any data analysis is undertaken.
  • The presence of significant statistical heterogeneity, defined as I2≥50%.

Meta-analyses were performed in Cochrane Review Manager v5.3.

Minimal clinically important differences

The Guideline Committee were asked to prospectively specify any outcomes where they felt a consensus MID could be defined from their experience.

The Guideline Committee agreed to use a MID of 10% as a starting point for discussion of association between predictors and outcomes. The same parameter was used as a starting point to assess imprecision.

Modified GRADE for predictive evidence

GRADE has not been developed for use with predictive studies; therefore a modified approach was applied using the GRADE framework. Data from cohort studies was initially rated as high quality, data from case-control studies as low quality, with the quality of the evidence for each outcome then downgraded or not from this initial point. Cross-sectional studies were only included for evidence on neurodevelopmental disorders, and were initially rated as high quality because it was expected that studies reporting on ASD and neurodevelopmental disorders were likely to diagnose both conditions at the same time, and this study design was felt to be appropriate to address the review question, as it focuses only on association rather than causation.

Table 2Rationale for downgrading quality of evidence for predictive modelling questions

GRADE criteriaReasons for downgrading quality
Risk of bias

Not serious: If less than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from studies at moderate or high risk of bias, the overall outcome was not downgraded.

Serious: If greater than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from studies at moderate or high risk of bias, the outcome was downgraded one level.

Very serious: If greater than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from studies at high risk of bias, the outcome was downgraded two levels.

Outcomes meeting the criteria for downgrading above were not downgraded if there was evidence the effect size was not meaningfully different between studies at high and low risk of bias.

In addition, unadjusted odds ratio outcomes from univariate analyses were downgraded one level, in addition to any downgrading for risk of bias in individual studies. Adjusted odds ratios from multivariate analyses were not similarly downgraded.

Indirectness

Not serious: If less than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from partially indirect or indirect studies, the overall outcome was not downgraded.

Serious: If greater than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from partially indirect or indirect studies, the outcome was downgraded one level.

Very serious: If greater than 33.3% of the weight in a meta-analysis came from indirect studies, the outcome was downgraded two levels.

Outcomes meeting the criteria for downgrading above were not downgraded if there was evidence the effect size was not meaningfully different between direct and indirect studies.

Inconsistency

Concerns about inconsistency of effects across studies, occurring when there is unexplained variability in the association strength demonstrated across studies (heterogeneity). This was assessed using the I2 statistic.

N/A: Inconsistency was marked as not applicable if data on the outcome was only available from one study.

Not serious: If the I2 was less than 33.3%, the outcome was not downgraded.

Serious: If the I2 was between 33.3% and 66.7%, the outcome was downgraded one level.

Very serious: If the I2 was greater than 66.7%, the outcome was downgraded two levels.

Outcomes meeting the criteria for downgrading above were not downgraded if there was evidence the effect size was not meaningfully different between studies with the smallest and largest effect sizes.

Imprecision

If an MID other than the line of no effect was defined for the outcome, the outcome was downgraded once if the 95% confidence interval for the effect size crossed one line of the MID, and twice if it crosses both lines of the MID.

If the line of no effect was defined as an MID for the outcome, it was downgraded once if the 95% confidence interval for the effect size crossed the line of no effect (i.e. the outcome was not statistically significant), and twice if the sample size of the study was sufficiently small that it is not plausible any realistic effect size could have been detected.

Outcomes meeting the criteria for downgrading above were not downgraded if the confidence interval was sufficiently narrow that the upper and lower bounds would correspond to clinically equivalent scenarios.

The quality of evidence for each outcome was upgraded if either of the following conditions were met:

  • Data showing an effect size sufficiently large that it cannot be explained by confounding alone.
  • Data where all plausible residual confounding is likely to increase our confidence in the effect estimate.

Publication bias

Publication bias was assessed in two ways. First, if evidence of conducted but unpublished studies was identified during the review (e.g. conference abstracts or protocols without accompanying published data), available information on these unpublished studies was reported as part of the review. Secondly, where 10 or more studies were included as part of a single meta-analysis, a funnel plot was produced to graphically assess the potential for publication bias.

Appendix C. Literature search strategies

Search summary

The search strategies were based on the population strategy used in CG128, (appendix F, page 34). The final cut-off date for searches in the original guideline was 11 October 2010 (page 41). A date limit was added to the new strategies to reflect this.

The clinical searches were conducted in July 2017.

Sources searched for this guideline are shown below.

DatabasesDate searchedVersion/files
Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) 06/07/17Issue 6 of 12, June 2017
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR) 06/07/17Issue 7 of 12, July 2017
Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effect (DARE) 06/07/17Issue 2 of 4, April 2015
Embase (Ovid) 06/07/171980 to 2017 Week 27
Health Technology Assessment Database (HTA)06/07/17Issue 4 of 4, October 2016
MEDLINE (Ovid) 06/07/171946 to June Week 5 2017
MEDLINE In-Process (Ovid) 06/07/17June 29, 2017
PsycINFO (Ovid)06/07/172002 to June Week 4 2017
PubMed06/07/17n/a

Clinical search strategy (Medline)

The MEDLINE search strategy is presented below. It was translated for use in all other databases.

Database: Medline
1Autistic Disorder/
2Autism Spectrum Disorder/
3asperger syndrome/
4(autistic or autism or kanner* or asperger*).tw.
5child development disorders, pervasive/
6((pervasive* or child* or young* or youth*) adj2 (development* or neurodevelopmental*) adj2 disorder*).tw.
7(ASD or PDD or PDD-NOS).tw.
8or/1-7
9(2010* or 2011* or 2012* or 2013* or 2014* or 2015* or 2016* or 2017*).ed. (6224514)
108 and 9
11Observational Studies as Topic/
12Observational Study/
13Epidemiologic Studies/
14exp Case-Control Studies/
15exp Cohort Studies/
16Cross-Sectional Studies/
17Interrupted Time Series Analysis/
18case control$.tw.
19(cohort adj (study or studies)).tw.
20cohort analy$.tw.
21(follow up adj (study or studies)).tw.
22(observational adj (study or studies)).tw.
23longitudinal.tw.
24prospective.tw.
25retrospective.tw.
26cross sectional.tw.
27or/11-26
28exp Risk/
29(Risk* adj1 (factor* or assess*)).tw.
30Logistic* model*.tw.
31Protective* factor*.tw.
32(association* or regression*).tw.
33or/28-32
3427 or 33
3510 and 34
36Comment/ or Letter/ or Editorial/ or Historical article/ or (conference abstract or conference paper or “conference review” or letter or editorial or case report).pt.
3735 not 36
38Animals/ not Humans/
3937 not 38
40limit 39 to english language

Appendix D. Clinical evidence study selection

Image cherappdf1

Appendix E. Clinical evidence tables

Download PDF (487K)

Appendix F. GRADE tables

Small for gestational age

Prenatal use of SSRIs

Fertility treatments

Neurodevelopmental disorders

Outcome: ASD diagnosis >6 years of age

No. of studiesStudy designSample sizeEffect size (95% CI)Absolute risk: unexposedAbsolute risk: exposed (95% CI)Risk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionQuality
ADHD before ASD (reference category: ASD only)
1 (Miodovnik 2015)Cross-sectional1,059aOR 16.7 (7.03, 39.7)N/EN/EVery serious1N/ANot seriousNot seriousLOW
ADHD same/after ASD (reference category: ASD only)
1 (Miodovnik 2015)Cross-sectional1,138aOR 0.57 (0.28, 1.15)N/EN/EVery serious1N/ANot seriousVery serious2VERY LOW
1

Study rated as being at high risk of bias.

2

95% confidence interval crosses both ends of a defined MID interval.

aOR: adjusted odds ratio; N/E: not extractable (data was not reported in an extractable format).

Appendix G. Forest plots

Outcome: Clinical diagnosis of ASD; Predictor: ADHD

Image cherappgf1

Appendix H. Excluded studies

Author (year)TitleReason for exclusion
Abel (2013) Deviance in fetal growth and risk of autism spectrum disorder.
  • Case-control study
Alkandari (2015) Fetal ultrasound measurements and associations with postnatal outcomes in infancy and childhood: a systematic review of an emerging literature
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Arvidsson (1997) Autism in 3-6-Year-Old Children in a Suburb of Goteborg, Sweden
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Atladottir (2016) Gestational Age and Autism Spectrum Disorder: Trends in Risk Over Time
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Bagal (2016) To study the age of recognition of symptoms and their correlates in children diagnosed with autism spectrum disorders: A retrospective study
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Bakare (2012) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorder among Nigerian children with intellectual disability: A stopgap assessment
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Bay (2013) Assisted reproduction and child neurodevelopmental outcomes: A systematic review
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Bay (2014) Fertility treatment: long-term growth and mental development of the children
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Ben (2011) Advanced parental ages and low birth weight in autism spectrum disorders--rates and effect on functioning
  • Full text paper not available
Boulet (2011) Birth Weight and Health and Developmental Outcomes in US Children, 1997-2005
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Bowers (2015) Phenotypic differences in individuals with autism spectrum disorder born preterm and at term gestation
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Brock (2010) Distinguishing features of autism in boys with fragile X syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Brown (2017) The association between antenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and autism: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Bryson (2008) Prevalence of autism among adolescents with intellectual disabilities.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Canals (2016) ADHD Prevalence in Spanish Preschoolers: Comorbidity, Socio-Demographic Factors, and Functional Consequences
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Caravella (2017) Adaptive skill trajectories in infants with fragile X syndrome contrasted to typical controls and infants at high risk for autism
  • Full text paper not available
Cassimos (2016) Perinatal and parental risk factors in an epidemiological study of children with autism spectrum disorder
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Castro (2016) Absence of evidence for increase in risk for autism or attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder following antidepressant exposure during pregnancy: a replication study
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Catford (2017) Long-term follow-up of intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection-conceived offspring compared with in vitro fertilization-conceived offspring: a systematic review of health outcomes beyond the neonatal period
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Class (2014) Fetal growth and psychiatric and socioeconomic problems: population-based sibling comparison
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Clements (2015) Prenatal antidepressant exposure is associated with risk for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder but not autism spectrum disorder in a large health system
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Close (2012) Co-occurring conditions and change in diagnosis in autism spectrum disorders
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Cochran (2015) Contrasting age related changes in autism spectrum disorder phenomenology in Cornelia de Lange, Fragile X, and Cri du Chat syndromes: Results from a 2.5 year follow-up
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Conti (2013) Are children born after assisted reproductive technology at increased risk of autism spectrum disorders? A systematic review
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Cooper (2014) Autistic traits in children with ADHD index clinical and cognitive problems
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Cornish (2013) Do behavioural inattention and hyperactivity exacerbate cognitive difficulties associated with autistic symptoms? Longitudinal profiles in fragile X syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Corsello (2007) Between a ROC and a hard place: decision making and making decisions about using the SCQ.
  • Not a relevant study design
Croen (2002) Descriptive Epidemiology of Autism in a California Population: Who Is at Risk?
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Croen (2011) Antidepressant use during pregnancy and childhood autism spectrum disorders
  • Case-control study
Darcy-Mahoney (2016) Probability of an Autism Diagnosis by Gestational Age
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Darcy-Mahoney (2016) Maternal and Neonatal Birth Factors Affecting the Age of ASD Diagnosis
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
David (2014) Prevalence and characteristics of children with mild intellectual disability in a French county
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Davidovitch (2015) Late diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder after initial negative assessment by a multidisciplinary team
  • Not a relevant study design
de Bildt (2005) Prevalence of pervasive developmental disorders in children and adolescents with mental retardation.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
de Bruin (2007) High rates of psychiatric co-morbidity in PDD-NOS.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Dietz (2006) Screening for autistic spectrum disorder in children aged 14-15 months. II: population screening with the Early Screening of Autistic Traits Questionnaire (ESAT). Design and general findings.
  • Not a relevant study design
DiGuiseppi (2010) Screening for autism spectrum disorders in children with Down syndrome: population prevalence and screening test characteristics
  • Not a relevant study design
D’Onofrio (2013) Preterm birth and mortality and morbidity: a population-based quasi-experimental study.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Duan (2014) Perinatal and background risk factors for childhood autism in central China
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Dudova (2014) Comparison of three screening tests for autism in preterm children with birth weights less than 1,500 grams
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Dudova (2014) Screening for autism in preterm children with extremely low and very low birth weight
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Ehlers (1999) A screening questionnaire for Asperger syndrome and other high-functioning autism spectrum disorders in school age children.
  • Not a relevant study design
El Marroun (2014) Prenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and social responsiveness symptoms of autism: population-based study of young children.
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
El-Baz (2011) Risk factors for autism: An Egyptian study
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Emerson (2003) Prevalence of psychiatric disorders in children and adolescents with and without intellectual disability
  • Not a relevant study design
Emerson (2007) Mental health of children and adolescents with intellectual disabilities in Britain.
  • Not a relevant study design
Fevang (2016) Mental health in children born extremely preterm without severe neurodevelopmental disabilities
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Fountain (2015) Association between assisted reproductive technology conception and autism in California, 1997-2007
  • Case-control study
Frenette (2013) Factors affecting the age at diagnosis of autism spectrum disorders in Nova Scotia, Canada
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Frolli (2015) Developmental changes in cognitive and behavioural functioning of adolescents with fragile-X syndrome
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Gadow (2005) Clinical significance of tics and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in children with pervasive developmental disorder.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Gadow (2016) Clinical Correlates of Co-occurring Psychiatric and Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) Symptom-Induced Impairment in Children with ASD
  • Data not reported in an extractable format
Gardener (2011) Perinatal and neonatal risk factors for autism: a comprehensive meta-analysis
  • Data not reported in an extractable format
Geier (2015) A Prospective Longitudinal Assessment of Medical Records for Diagnostic Substitution among Subjects Diagnosed with a Pervasive Developmental Disorder in the United States
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Geier (2017) Neonatal factors among subjects diagnosed with a pervasive developmental disorder in the US
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Gellec (2011) Neurologic outcomes at school age in very preterm infants born with severe or mild growth restriction
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Gentile (2015) Prenatal antidepressant exposure and the risk of autism spectrum disorders in children. Are we looking at the fall of Gods?
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Gidaya (2014) In Utero Exposure to Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors and Risk for Autism Spectrum Disorder
  • Case-control study
Giltaij (2015) Psychiatric diagnostic screening of social maladaptive behaviour in children with mild intellectual disability: differentiating disordered attachment and pervasive developmental disorder behaviour.
  • Not a relevant study design
Goldin (2016) Premature birth as a risk factor for autism spectrum disorder
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Goldstein (2004) The comorbidity of Pervasive Developmental Disorder and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder: results of a retrospective chart review.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Grandgeorge (2013) Autism spectrum disorders: head circumference and body length at birth are both relative
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Gray (2015) Screening for autism spectrum disorder in very preterm infants during early childhood
  • Full text paper not available
Green (2015) Autism spectrum disorder symptoms in children with ADHD: A community-based study.
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Green (2016) Association between autism symptoms and functioning in children with ADHD
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Grefer (2016) The emergence and stability of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in boys with fragile X syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Grether (2013) Is Infertility Associated with Childhood Autism?
  • Case-control study
Guinchat (2012) Pre-, peri- and neonatal risk factors for autism
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Guy (2015) Infants born late/moderately preterm are at increased risk for a positive autism screen at 2 years of age.
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Hack (2009) Behavioral outcomes of extremely low birth weight children at age 8 years.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Haglund (2011) Risk factors for autism and Asperger syndrome
  • Duplicate reference
Haglund (2011) Risk factors for autism and Asperger syndrome. Perinatal factors and migration
  • Case-control study
Harrington (2013) Association of autism with maternal SSRi use during pregnancy
  • Case-control study
Harrington (2014) Prenatal SSRI use and offspring with autism spectrum disorder or developmental delay
  • Case-control study
Hart (2013) The longer-term health outcomes for children born as a result of IVF treatment. Part II--Mental health and development outcomes
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Hassiotis (2012) Mental health needs in adolescents with intellectual disabilities: cross-sectional survey of a service sample
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Healy (2016) Links between serotonin reuptake inhibition during pregnancy and neurodevelopmental delay/spectrum disorders: A systematic review of epidemiological and physiological evidence
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Hoffmire (2014) High prevalence of sleep disorders and associated comorbidities in a community sample of children with Down syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Honda (2009) Extraction and Refinement Strategy for detection of autism in 18-month-olds: a guarantee of higher sensitivity and specificity in the process of mass screening.
  • Not a relevant study design
Hultman (2002) Perinatal risk factors for infantile autism.
  • Case-control study
Hwang (2013) Higher prevalence of autism in Taiwanese children born prematurely: a nationwide population-based study.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Imran (2012) Children’s mental health: Pattern of referral, distribution of disorders and service use in child psychiatry outpatient setting
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Indredavik (2010) Perinatal risk and psychiatric outcome in adolescents born preterm with very low birth weight or term small for gestational age
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Jacob (2016) Co-morbidity in Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder: A Clinical Study from India
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Jaspers (2013) Early childhood assessments of community pediatric professionals predict autism spectrum and attention deficit hyperactivity problems
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Jauhari (2012) Comorbidities associated with intellectual disability among pediatric outpatients seen at a teaching hospital in Northern India
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Jensen (2015) Comorbid mental disorders in children and adolescents with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in a large nationwide study
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Johnson (2010) Psychiatric disorders in extremely preterm children: longitudinal finding at age 11 years in the EPICure study.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Johnson (2010) Autism spectrum disorders in extremely preterm children.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Johnson (2011) Screening for autism in preterm children: diagnostic utility of the Social Communication Questionnaire
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Johnson (2016) Preschool outcomes following prenatal serotonin reuptake inhibitor exposure: differences in language and behavior, but not cognitive function
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Joseph (2017) Prevalence and associated features of autism spectrum disorder in extremely low gestational age newborns at age 10 years
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kamowski-Shakibai (2015) Parent-reported use of assisted reproduction technology, infertility, and incidence of autism spectrum disorders
  • Full text paper not available
Kamp-Becker (2009) Dimensional structure of the autism phenotype: relations between early development and current presentation.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kantzer (2013) Autism in community pre-schoolers: developmental profiles.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kaplan (2016) Prenatal selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor use and the risk of autism spectrum disorder in children: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Karmel (2010) Early medical and behavioral characteristics of NICU infants later classified with ASD
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kato (2016) Extremely preterm infants small for gestational age are at risk for motor impairment at 3 years corrected age
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Kaufmann (2017) Autism spectrum disorder in fragile X syndrome: Cooccurring conditions and current treatment
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Khandake (2014) A population-based longitudinal study of childhood neurodevelopmental disorders, IQ and subsequent risk of psychotic experiences in adolescence
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kim (2000) The Prevalence of Anxiety and Mood Problems among Children with Autism and Asperger Syndrome
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Kim (2016) Predictive Validity of the Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) Born Very Preterm.
  • Not a relevant study design
Kobayashi (2016) Autism spectrum disorder and prenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Kochhar (2011) Autistic spectrum disorder traits in children with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Kommu (2017) Profile of two hundred children with Autism Spectrum Disorder from a tertiary child and adolescent psychiatry centre
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Kotte (2013) Autistic traits in children with and without ADHD
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Kuban (2009) Positive Screening on the Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) in Extremely Low Gestational Age Newborns
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Kuban (2016) Girls and Boys Born before 28 Weeks Gestation: Risks of Cognitive, Behavioral, and Neurologic Outcomes at Age 10 Years
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Kumar (2017) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorders and its association with Epileptiform activity among children with intellectual disability in a tertiary centre
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Lampi (2012) Risk of autism spectrum disorders in low birth weight and small for gestational age infants.
  • Case-control study
Langridge (2013) Maternal conditions and perinatal characteristics associated with autism spectrum disorder and intellectual disability
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Larsson (2005) Risk factors for autism: perinatal factors, parental psychiatric history, and socioeconomic status.
  • Case-control study
Leavey (2013) Gestational age at birth and risk of autism spectrum disorders in Alberta, Canada
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Lehti (2013) Autism spectrum disorders in IVF children: a national case-control study in Finland
  • Case-control study
Levy (2010) Autism spectrum disorder and co-occurring developmental, psychiatric, and medical conditions among children in multiple populations of the United States.
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Leyfer (2006) Comorbid psychiatric disorders in children with autism: interview development and rates of disorders.
  • Not a relevant study design
Linsell (2016) Prognostic Factors for Behavioral Problems and Psychiatric Disorders in Children Born Very Preterm or Very Low Birth Weight: A Systematic Review
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Losh (2012) Lower birth weight indicates higher risk of autistic traits in discordant twin pairs
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Lyall (2012) Fertility therapies, infertility and autism spectrum disorders in the Nurses’ Health Study II
  • Case-control study
Lyall (2013) Infertility and its treatments in association with autism spectrum disorders: a review and results from the CHARGE study
  • Case-control study
Mackay (2013) Obstetric factors and different causes of special educational need: retrospective cohort study of 407,503 schoolchildren
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Magnúsdóttir (2016) The impact of attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder on adaptive functioning in children diagnosed late with autism spectrum disorder—A comparative analysis
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Maimburg (2006) Perinatal risk factors and infantile autism
  • Case-control study
Malm (2012) Prenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and infant outcome
  • Review article but not a systematic review
Mamidala (2013) Prenatal, perinatal and neonatal risk factors of Autism Spectrum Disorder: a comprehensive epidemiological assessment from India
  • Full text paper not available
Mamidala (2013) Maternal hormonal interventions as a risk factor for Autism Spectrum Disorder: An epidemiological assessment from India
  • Case-control study
Man (2015) Exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors during pregnancy and risk of autism spectrum disorder in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Mann (2010) Pre-eclampsia, birth weight, and autism spectrum disorders
  • Case-control study
Mannion (2013) An investigation of comorbid psychological disorders, sleep problems, gastrointestinal symptoms and epilepsy in children and adolescents with Autism Spectrum Disorder
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Maramara (2014) Pre- and perinatal risk factors for autism spectrum disorder in a New Jersey cohort
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Mathewson (2017) Mental health of extremely low birth weight survivors: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Mattila (2010) Comorbid psychiatric disorders associated with Asperger syndrome/high-functioning autism: a community- and clinic-based study.
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Meijerink (2016) Behavioral, cognitive, and motor performance and physical development of five-year-old children who were born after intracytoplasmic sperm injection with the use of testicular sperm
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Mezzacappa (2017) Risk for autism spectrum disorders according to period of prenatal antidepressant exposure: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Mohammed (2016) Incidence of autism in high risk neonatal follow up
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Moore (2012) Screening for autism in extremely preterm infants: problems in interpretation.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Moster (2008) Long-term medical and social consequences of preterm birth.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Movsas (2012) The Effect of Gestational Age on Symptom Severity in Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Mpaka (2016) Prevalence and comorbidities of autism among children referred to the outpatient clinics for neurodevelopmental disorders
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Nærland (2017) Age and gender-related differences in emotional and behavioural problems and autistic features in children and adolescents with Down syndrome: a survey-based study of 674 individuals
  • ASD diagnosis with questionnaire
Nilsen (2013) Analysis of self-selection bias in a population-based cohort study of autism spectrum disorders
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Nomura (2014) A clinical study of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in preschool children--prevalence and differential diagnoses
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Oberman (2015) Autism spectrum disorder in Phelan-McDermid syndrome: initial characterization and genotype-phenotype correlations
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Oeseburg (2010) Pervasive developmental disorder behavior in adolescents with intellectual disability and co-occurring somatic chronic diseases
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Oeseburg (2010) Prevalence of chronic diseases in adolescents with intellectual disability
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Oeseburg (2011) Prevalence of chronic health conditions in children with intellectual disability: a systematic literature review
  • Review article but not a systematic review
Ortiz (2017) Early warning signs of autism spectrum disorder in people with Down syndrome
  • Data not reported in an extractable format
Oshodi (2016) Autism spectrum disorder in a community-based sample with neurodevelopmental problems in Lagos, Nigeria
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Padilla (2016) Intrinsic Functional Connectivity in Preterm Infants with Fetal Growth Restriction Evaluated at 12 Months Corrected Age
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Pinto-Martin (2011) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorder in adolescents born weighing <2000 grams.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Polyak (2015) Comorbidity of intellectual disability confounds ascertainment of autism: implications for genetic diagnosis
  • Full text paper not available
Pondé (2010) Frequency of symptoms of attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder in autistic children
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Pringsheim (2013) Social behavior and comorbidity in children with tics
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Pritchard (2016) Autism in Toddlers Born Very Preterm
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Rais (2014) Association Between Antidepressants Use During Pregnancy and Autistic Spectrum Disorders: A Meta-analysis
  • Systematic review - relevant studies already included
Rellini (2004) Childhood Autism Rating Scale (CARS) and Autism Behavior Checklist (ABC) correspondence and conflicts with DSM-IV criteria in diagnosis of autism.
  • Not a relevant study design
Rimal (2016) Prevalence of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder among school children and associated co-morbidities - a hospital based descriptive study
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Roberts (2012) Heart activity and autistic behavior in infants and toddlers with fragile X syndrome
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Roberts (2012) Visual Attention and Autistic Behavior in Infants with Fragile X Syndrome
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Roberts (2016) Infant Development in Fragile X Syndrome: Cross-Syndrome Comparisons
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Ryland (2012) Autism spectrum symptoms in children with neurological disorders
  • No diagnosis of ASD.
Saemundsen (2013) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorders in an Icelandic birth cohort
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Saltik (2012) Neurological disorders combined with autism in children
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Sanmaneechai (2013) Treatment outcomes of West syndrome in infants with Down syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Scheirs (2009) Differentiating among children with PDD-NOS, ADHD, and those with a combined diagnosis on the basis of WISC-III profiles.
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Schieve (2014) Population attributable fractions for three perinatal risk factors for autism spectrum disorders, 2002 and 2008 autism and developmental disabilities monitoring network
  • Case-control study
Schieve (2015) Comparison of Perinatal Risk Factors Associated with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), Intellectual Disability (ID), and Co-occurring ASD and ID
  • Case-control study
Schieve (2016) Population impact of preterm birth and low birth weight on developmental disabilities in US children
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Schrieken (2013) Head circumference and height abnormalities in autism revisited: the role of pre- and perinatal risk factors
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Shimada (2012) Parental age and assisted reproductive technology in autism spectrum disorders, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, and Tourette syndrome in a Japanese population
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Simonoff (2008) Psychiatric Disorders in Children With Autism Spectrum Disorders: Prevalence, Comorbidity, and Associated Factors in a Population-Derived Sample
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Singh (2013) Mental Health Outcomes in US Children and Adolescents Born Prematurely or with Low Birthweight
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Skotko (2013) Contributions of a specialty clinic for children and adolescents with Down syndrome
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Srebnicki (2013) Adolescent outcome of child ADHD in primary care setting: stability of diagnosis
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Stahlberg (2010) Mental health problems in youths committed to juvenile institutions: Prevalences and treatment needs
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Stephens (2012) Screening for autism spectrum disorders in extremely preterm infants.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Tonnsen (2016) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorders among children with intellectual disability
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Treyvaud (2013) Psychiatric outcomes at age seven for very preterm children: rates and predictors.
  • Not a relevant study design
Unenge (2012) Is autism spectrum disorder common in schizophrenia?
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Ververi (2012) Clinical and laboratory data in a sample of Greek children with autism spectrum disorders
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Wang (2017) Prenatal, perinatal, and postnatal factors associated with autism: A meta-analysis
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Webb (2003) Prevalence of autistic spectrum disorder in children attending mainstream schools in a Welsh education authority.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Weisbrot (2005) The presentation of anxiety in children with pervasive developmental disorders.
  • ASD diagnosis before predictor evaluation
Williams (2008) Perinatal and maternal risk factors for autism spectrum disorders in New South Wales, Australia.
  • Case-control study
Wong (2014) Evaluation of early childhood social-communication difficulties in children born preterm using the Quantitative Checklist for Autism in Toddlers.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Worley (2011) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorders in toddlers receiving early intervention services
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Wu (2016) Risk of Autism Associated With Hyperbilirubinemia and Phototherapy
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Zachor (2011) Assisted reproductive technology and risk for autism spectrum disorder
  • Full text paper not available
Zachor (2013) Do risk factors for autism spectrum disorders affect gender representation?
  • Study does not contain any of the outcomes of interest
Zhang (2010) Prenatal and perinatal risk factors for autism in China
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables
Zuckerman (2015) Parental concerns, provider response, and timeliness of autism spectrum disorder diagnosis.
  • Study does not contain any relevant predictive variables

Appendix I. References

Included studies

  1. Alexander Myriam, Petri Hans, Ding Yingjie, Wandel Christoph, Khwaja Omar, and Foskett Nadia (2016) Morbidity and medication in a large population of individuals with Down syndrome compared to the general population. Developmental medicine and child neurology 58, 246–54 [PubMed: 26282180]
  2. Bay B, Mortensen EL, Hvidtjorn D, and Kesmodel US (2013) Fertility treatment and risk of childhood and adolescent mental disorders: register based cohort study. BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 347, f3978 [PMC free article: PMC3702157] [PubMed: 23833075]
  3. Boukhris Takoua, Sheehy Odile, Mottron Laurent, and Berard Anick (2016) Antidepressant Use During Pregnancy and the Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorder in Children. JAMA pediatrics 170, 117–24 [PubMed: 26660917]
  4. Brown Hilary K, Ray Joel G, Wilton Andrew S, Lunsky Yona, Gomes Tara, and Vigod Simone N (2017) Association Between Serotonergic Antidepressant Use During Pregnancy and Autism Spectrum Disorder in Children. JAMA 317, 1544–1552 [PubMed: 28418480]
  5. Durkin MS, Maenner MJ, Newschaffer CJ, Lee LC, Cunniff CM, Daniels JL, Kirby RS, Leavitt L, Miller L, Zahorodny W, and Schieve LA (2008) Advanced parental age and the risk of autism spectrum disorder. American journal of epidemiology 168(11), 1268–76 [PMC free article: PMC2638544] [PubMed: 18945690]
  6. Elberling Hanne, Linneberg Allan, Rask Charlotte Ulrikka, Houman Tine, Goodman Robert, Mette Skovgaard, and Anne (2016) Psychiatric disorders in Danish children aged 5-7 years: A general population study of prevalence and risk factors from the Copenhagen Child Cohort (CCC 2000). Nordic journal of psychiatry 70, 146–55 [PubMed: 26509656]
  7. Ghirardi L, Brikell I, Kuja-Halkola R, Freitag C M, Franke B, Asherson P, Lichtenstein P, and Larsson H (2017) The familial co-aggregation of ASD and ADHD: a register-based cohort study. Molecular Psychiatry, 17, 1038 [PMC free article: PMC5794881] [PubMed: 28242872]
  8. Hvidtjørn D, Grove J, Schendel D, Schieve L A, Sværke C, Ernst E, and Thorsen P (2011) Risk of autism spectrum disorders in children born after assisted conception: a population-based follow-up study. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health 65, 497–502 [PubMed: 20584728]
  9. Hviid Anders, Melbye Mads, and Pasternak Bjorn (2013) Use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors during pregnancy and risk of autism. The New England journal of medicine 369, 2406–15 [PubMed: 24350950]
  10. Joseph RM, Korzeniewski SJ, Allred EN, O’Shea TM, Heeren T, Frazier JA, Ware J, Hirtz D, Leviton A, and Kuban K (2017) Extremely low gestational age and very low birthweight for gestational age are risk factors for autism spectrum disorder in a large cohort study of 10-year-old children born at 23-27 weeks’ gestation.. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology 216(3), 304.e1–304.e16 [PMC free article: PMC5334372] [PubMed: 27847193]
  11. Kissin DM, Zhang Y, Boulet SL, Fountain C, Bearman P, Schieve L, Yeargin-Allsopp M, and Jamieson DJ (2015) Association of assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment and parental infertility diagnosis with autism in ART-conceived children.. Human reproduction (Oxford, and England) 30(2), 454–65 [PMC free article: PMC4287306] [PubMed: 25518976]
  12. Kuzniewicz MW, Wi S, Qian Y, Walsh EM, Armstrong MA, and Croen LA (2014) Prevalence and neonatal factors associated with autism spectrum disorders in preterm infants.. The Journal of pediatrics 164(1), 20–5 [PubMed: 24161222]
  13. Malm H, Brown A S, Gissler M, Gyllenberg D, Hinkka-Yli-Salomaki S, McKeague I W, Weissman M, Wickramaratne P, Artama M, Gingrich J A, and Sourander A (2016) Gestational Exposure to Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors and Offspring Psychiatric Disorders: A National Register-Based Study. Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry 55, 359–366 [PMC free article: PMC4851729] [PubMed: 27126849]
  14. McCoy Brittany M, Rickert Martin E, Class Quetzal A, Larsson Henrik, Lichtenstein Paul, and D’Onofrio Brian M (2014) Mediators of the association between parental severe mental illness and offspring neurodevelopmental problems. Annals of epidemiology 24, 629–634.e1 [PMC free article: PMC4135008] [PubMed: 25037304]
  15. Miodovnik A, Harstad E, Sideridis G, and Huntington N (2015) Timing of the Diagnosis of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder and Autism Spectrum Disorder.. Pediatrics 136(4), e830–7 [PubMed: 26371198]
  16. Moore Gaea Schwaebe, Kneitel Anna Weber, Walker Cheryl K, Gilbert William M, and Xing Guibo (2012) Autism risk in small- and large-for-gestational-age infants. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology 206, 314.e1–9 [PMC free article: PMC9884028] [PubMed: 22464070]
  17. Pinborg A, Loft A, Schmidt L, Greisen G, Rasmussen S, and Andersen AN (2004) Neurological sequelae in twins born after assisted conception: controlled national cohort study.. BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 329(7461), 311 [PMC free article: PMC506847] [PubMed: 15256418]
  18. Rai D, Lee BK, Dalman C, Newschaffer C, Lewis G, and Magnusson C (2017) Antidepressants during pregnancy and autism in offspring: population based cohort study.. BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 358, j2811 [PMC free article: PMC5516223] [PubMed: 28724519]
  19. Russell Ginny, Rodgers Lauren, Ukoumunne Obioha, and Ford Tamsin (2014) Prevalence of Parent-Reported ASD and ADHD in the UK: Findings from the Millennium Cohort Study. Journal of Autism & Developmental Disorders 44, 31–40 [PubMed: 23719853]
  20. Sandin S, Nygren KG, Iliadou A, Hultman CM, and Reichenberg A (2013) Autism and mental retardation among offspring born after in vitro fertilization. JAMA 310(1), 75–84 [PubMed: 23821091]
  21. Sorensen Merete Juul, Gronborg Therese Koops, Christensen Jakob, Parner Erik Thorlund, Vestergaard Mogens, Schendel Diana, and Pedersen Lars Henning (2013) Antidepressant exposure in pregnancy and risk of autism spectrum disorders. Clinical epidemiology 5, 449–59 [PMC free article: PMC3832387] [PubMed: 24255601]
  22. Sujan Ayesha C, Rickert Martin E, Oberg A Sara, Quinn Patrick D, Hernandez-Diaz Sonia, Almqvist Catarina, Lichtenstein Paul, Larsson Henrik, and D’Onofrio Brian M (2017) Associations of Maternal Antidepressant Use During the First Trimester of Pregnancy With Preterm Birth, Small for Gestational Age, Autism Spectrum Disorder, and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in Offspring. JAMA 317, 1553–1562 [PMC free article: PMC5875187] [PubMed: 28418479]
  23. Viktorin A, Uher R, Reichenberg A, Levine S Z, and Sandin S (2017) Autism risk following antidepressant medication during pregnancy. Psychol Med, 1–10 [PMC free article: PMC6421839] [PubMed: 28528584]

Excluded studies

  1. Abel KM, Dalman C, Svensson AC, Susser E, Dal H, Idring S, Webb RT, Rai D, and Magnusson C (2013) Deviance in fetal growth and risk of autism spectrum disorder.. The American journal of psychiatry 170(4), 391–8 [PubMed: 23545793]
  2. Alkandari Farah, Ellahi Awaiss, Aucott Lorna, Devereux Graham, and Turner Steve (2015) Fetal ultrasound measurements and associations with postnatal outcomes in infancy and childhood: a systematic review of an emerging literature. Journal of epidemiology and community health 69, 41–8 [PubMed: 25190820]
  3. Arvidsson T, Danielsson B, Forsberg P, Gillberg C, Johansson M, and Kjellgren G (1997) Autism in 3-6-Year-Old Children in a Suburb of Goteborg, Sweden. Autism 1(2), 163–173
  4. Atladottir H O, Schendel D E, Henriksen T B, Hjort L, and Parner E T (2016) Gestational Age and Autism Spectrum Disorder: Trends in Risk Over Time. Autism research: official journal of the International Society for Autism Research 9, 224–31 [PubMed: 26363410]
  5. Bagal R, Kadam K, and Parkar S (2016) To study the age of recognition of symptoms and their correlates in children diagnosed with autism spectrum disorders: A retrospective study. Journal of Indian Association for Child and Adolescent Mental Health 12, 291–308
  6. Bakare M O, Ebigbo P O, and Ubochi V N (2012) Prevalence of autism spectrum disorder among Nigerian children with intellectual disability: A stopgap assessment. Journal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved 23, 513–518 [PubMed: 22643602]
  7. Bay B, Mortensen E L, and Kesmodel U S (2013) Assisted reproduction and child neurodevelopmental outcomes: A systematic review. Fertility and Sterility 100, 844–853 [PubMed: 23810272]
  8. Bay Bjorn (2014) Fertility treatment: long-term growth and mental development of the children. Danish medical journal 61, B4947 [PubMed: 25283630]
  9. Ben Itzchak, Esther, Lahat Eli, and Zachor Ditza A (2011) Advanced parental ages and low birth weight in autism spectrum disorders-rates and effect on functioning. Research in developmental disabilities 32, 1776–81 [PubMed: 21498045]
  10. Boulet Sheree, Schieve Laura, and Boyle Coleen (2011) Birth Weight and Health and Developmental Outcomes in US Children, 1997-2005. Maternal & Child Health Journal 15, 836–844 [PubMed: 19902344]
  11. Bowers Katherine, Wink Logan K, Pottenger Amy, McDougle Christopher J, and Erickson Craig (2015) Phenotypic differences in individuals with autism spectrum disorder born preterm and at term gestation. Autism: the international journal of research and practice 19, 758–63 [PubMed: 25192860]
  12. Brock M, and Hatton D (2010) Distinguishing features of autism in boys with fragile X syndrome. Journal of intellectual disability research: JIDR 54, 894–905 [PubMed: 20704635]
  13. Brown H K, Hussain-Shamsy N, Lunsky Y, Dennis C L. E, and Vigod S N (2017) The association between antenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and autism: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Clinical Psychiatry 78, e48–e58 [PubMed: 28129495]
  14. Bryson SE, Bradley EA, Thompson A, and Wainwright A (2008) Prevalence of autism among adolescents with intellectual disabilities. Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie 53(7), 449–59 [PubMed: 18674403]
  15. Canals J, Morales-Hidalgo P, Jane M C, and Domenech E (2016) ADHD Prevalence in Spanish Preschoolers: Comorbidity, Socio-Demographic Factors, and Functional Consequences. J Atten Disord, 359, 312–5 [PubMed: 27009923]
  16. Caravella K E, and Roberts J E (2017) Adaptive skill trajectories in infants with fragile X syndrome contrasted to typical controls and infants at high risk for autism. Research in Autism Spectrum Disorders 40, 1–12 [PMC free article: PMC5695720] [PubMed: 29170682]
  17. Cassimos D C, Syriopoulou-Delli C K, Tripsianis G I, and Tsikoulas I (2016) Perinatal and parental risk factors in an epidemiological study of children with autism spectrum disorder. International Journal of Developmental Disabilities 62, 108–116
  18. Castro V M, Kong S W, Clements C C, Brady R, Kaimal A J, Doyle A E, Robinson E B, Churchill S E, Kohane I S, and Perlis R H (2016) Absence of evidence for increase in risk for autism or attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder following antidepressant exposure during pregnancy: a replication study. Translational psychiatry 6, e708 [PMC free article: PMC5068870] [PubMed: 26731445]
  19. Catford S R, McLachlan R I, O’Bryan M K, and Halliday J L (2017) Long-term follow-up of intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection-conceived offspring compared with in vitro fertilization-conceived offspring: a systematic review of health outcomes beyond the neonatal period. Andrology, 5(4), 610–21 [PubMed: 28632930]
  20. Class Quetzal A, Rickert Martin E, Larsson Henrik, Lichtenstein Paul, and D’Onofrio Brian M (2014) Fetal growth and psychiatric and socioeconomic problems: population-based sibling comparison. The British journal of psychiatry: the journal of mental science 205, 355–61 [PMC free article: PMC4217026] [PubMed: 25257067]
  21. Clements C C, Castro V M, Blumenthal S R, Rosenfield H R, Murphy S N, Fava M, Erb J L, Churchill S E, Kaimal A J, Doyle A E, Robinson E B, Smoller J W, Kohane I S, and Perlis R H (2015) Prenatal antidepressant exposure is associated with risk for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder but not autism spectrum disorder in a large health system. Molecular psychiatry 20, 727–34 [PMC free article: PMC4427538] [PubMed: 25155880]
  22. Close H A, Lee L C, Kaufmann C N, and Zimmerman A W (2012) Co-occurring conditions and change in diagnosis in autism spectrum disorders. Pediatrics 129, e305–e316 [PubMed: 22271695]
  23. Cochran Lisa, Moss Joanna, Nelson Lisa, and Oliver Chris (2015) Contrasting age related changes in autism spectrum disorder phenomenology in Cornelia de Lange, Fragile X, and Cri du Chat syndromes: Results from a 2.5 year follow-up. American journal of medical genetics. Part C, and Seminars in medical genetics 169, 188–97 [PubMed: 25989416]
  24. Conti E, Mazzotti S, Calderoni S, Saviozzi I, and Guzzetta A (2013) Are children born after assisted reproductive technology at increased risk of autism spectrum disorders? A systematic review. Human reproduction (Oxford, and England) 28, 3316–27 [PubMed: 24129612]
  25. Cooper Miriam, Martin Joanna, Langley Kate, Hamshere Marian, and Thapar Anita (2014) Autistic traits in children with ADHD index clinical and cognitive problems. European child & adolescent psychiatry 23, 23–34 [PMC free article: PMC3899449] [PubMed: 23616179]
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Final

This evidence review was developed by the NICE Guideline Updates Team

Disclaimer: The recommendations in this guideline represent the view of NICE, arrived at after careful consideration of the evidence available. When exercising their judgement, professionals are expected to take this guideline fully into account, alongside the individual needs, preferences and values of their patients or service users. The recommendations in this guideline are not mandatory and the guideline does not override the responsibility of healthcare professionals to make decisions appropriate to the circumstances of the individual patient, in consultation with the patient and/or their carer or guardian.

Local commissioners and/or providers have a responsibility to enable the guideline to be applied when individual health professionals and their patients or service users wish to use it. They should do so in the context of local and national priorities for funding and developing services, and in light of their duties to have due regard to the need to eliminate unlawful discrimination, to advance equality of opportunity and to reduce health inequalities. Nothing in this guideline should be interpreted in a way that would be inconsistent with compliance with those duties.

NICE guidelines cover health and care in England. Decisions on how they apply in other UK countries are made by ministers in the Welsh Government, Scottish Government, and Northern Ireland Executive. All NICE guidance is subject to regular review and may be updated or withdrawn.

Copyright © NICE 2017.
Bookshelf ID: NBK550331PMID: 31804786

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