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Peterson K, McDonagh M, Thakurta S, et al. Drug Class Review: Nonsteroidal Antiinflammatory Drugs (NSAIDs): Final Update 4 Report [Internet]. Portland (OR): Oregon Health & Science University; 2010 Nov.

  • This publication is provided for historical reference only and the information may be out of date.

This publication is provided for historical reference only and the information may be out of date.

Cover of Drug Class Review: Nonsteroidal Antiinflammatory Drugs (NSAIDs)

Drug Class Review: Nonsteroidal Antiinflammatory Drugs (NSAIDs): Final Update 4 Report [Internet].

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Results

Overview

A total of 2941 (1139 from update 4) records were identified from searching electronic databases, reviews of reference lists, pharmaceutical manufacturer dossier submissions, and public comments. By applying the eligibility and exclusion criteria, we ultimately included 159 publications (33 for Update 4). Of these, 68 were trials (23 for Update 4), 47 were observational studies (4 for Update 4), 32 were systematic reviews (4 for Update 4), and 12 were pooled analyses and post-hoc analyses (2 for Update 4). See Appendix E for a list of excluded studies and reasons for exclusion at full text. Figure 1 shows the flow of study selection for Update 4.

Figure 1. Results of Literature Search.

Figure 1

Results of Literature Search.

Key Question 1. Are there Differences in Effectiveness Between NSAIDs, with or without Antiulcer Medication, When Used in Adults with Chronic Pain from Osteoarthritis, Rheumatoid Arthritis, Soft-tissue Pain, Back Pain, or Ankylosing Spondylitis?

Summary of Evidence

Comparisons between Oral Drugs

  • Celecoxib 200 mg/day to 800 mg/day compared with nonselective NSAIDs
    • Associated with similar pain reduction effects in primarily short-term randomized controlled trials of patients with osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, soft tissue pain, and ankylosing spondylitis in 11 of 12 trials
  • Partially selective NSAIDs compared with nonselective NSAIDs
    • Partially selective NSAIDs (meloxicam, nabumetone, and etodolac) were associated with similar pain reduction effects relative to nonselective NSAIDs in short-term randomized controlled trials
  • Comparisons among nonselective NSAIDs
    • Good-quality Cochrane reviews and more recent trials found no clear differences among nonselective NSAIDs in efficacy for treating osteoarthritis of the knee or hip or for low-back pain
    • Evidence on the comparative efficacy of salsalate was limited to 2 randomized controlled trials that found no significant difference as compared with indomethacin.
    • Based on findings from a good-quality systematic review of 18 randomized controlled trials, improvement in pain with tenoxicam was significantly greater as compared with piroxicam, but was similar to that of diclofenac and indomethacin
    • Randomized controlled trials have found the pain reduction effects of tiaprofenic acid to be comparable to those of diclofenac, ibuprofen, indomethacin, naproxen, piroxicam, and sulindac in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis.

Comparisons between Topical Drugs

  • We found no trials that directly compared the effectiveness or efficacy between different topical drugs
  • Both diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and 1.0% topical gel had significantly greater mean changes in pain subscale scores than the placebo groups.

Comparisons between Oral and Topical Drugs

  • No significant differences were found between diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and oraldiclofenac on Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain and physical function variables in 2 head-to-head trials.

Detailed Assessment

Effectiveness

Some trials evaluated longer-term (>6-12 months) and real-life (symptoms, clinical ulcers, functional status, myocardial infarctions, pain relief) outcomes, but none were conducted in primary care or office-based settings or used broad enrollment criteria.

Efficacy: Comparisons between Oral Drugs

Celecoxib Compared with Nonselective NSAIDs

Eleven of 12 randomized controlled trials of arthritis patients22-30 found no significant difference in efficacy between celecoxib and an NSAID. The single study finding a difference was a randomized controlled trial of 249 randomized patients with severe osteoarthritis of the hip requiring joint replacement surgery. A significantly greater reduction in pain on walking was found for diclofenac 50 mg 3 times daily compared with celecoxib 200 mg once daily, as measured using an 100 mm visual analog scale, both in the primary 6-week assessment (difference, 12.1 mm; 95% CI, 5.8 to 18.4) and in the secondary 12-week assessment (difference 10.0 mm; 95% CI, 2.8 to 17.3) in the modified intention-to-treat population (N=235).23 However, insufficient information was provided to determine if an adequate method was used to conceal the allocation sequence or whether the approach produced treatment groups that were comparable at baseline in terms of important prognostic factors. Baseline characteristics were only provided for the evaluable population (N=141), which only accounted for 60% of the modified intention-to-treat population (N=235). Consequently, this randomized controlled trial was rated poor quality and its results should be interpreted with caution.

The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Effective Health Care Program Comparative Effectiveness Review31 found no clear differences in efficacy between celecoxib and nonselective NSAIDs based on results from published trials22, 24, 26, 29 and meta-analyses32, 33 of published and unpublished trials. Celecoxib and nonselective NSAIDs were associated with similar pain reduction effects (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index, visual analogue scale, Patient Global Assessment) in published trials of patients with osteoarthritis, 22, 24, 26, 29 soft tissue pain, 34, 35 ankylosing spondylitis, 36-38 or rheumatoid arthritis.29, 32, 39, 40 In the largest (13 274 patients) trial of patients with osteoarthritis of the hip, knee, or hand (SUCCESS-1), celecoxib 200-400 mg daily and diclofenac or naproxen were also associated with similar pain reduction effects (visual analogue scale, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index).28

Celecoxib 200-400 mg was associated with slightly higher rate of withdrawals than other NSAIDs due to lack of efficacy (relative risk, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.23) in a recent meta-analysis based on analyses of company-held clinical trial reports from 31 primarily short-term trials.33 This estimate of comparative efficacy may be the most precise available, but the validity of the findings cannot be verified as the data used in this analysis is not fully available to the public.33 On the other hand, ibuprofen 2400 mg/day and diclofenac 150 mg/day were associated with higher rates of withdrawal due to lack of efficacy than celecoxib 800 mg/day after 52 weeks (14.8% compared with 12.6%; P=0.005) in the pivotal trial of patients with osteoarthritis or rheumatoid arthritis (Celecoxib Long-term Arthritis Safety Study [CLASS]).27

Partially Selective NSAIDs Compared with Nonselective NSAIDs

Partially selective NSAIDs (meloxicam, nabumetone, and etodolac) were associated with similar pain reduction effects relative to nonselective NSAIDs in short-term randomized controlled trials. In double-blinded trials of meloxicam 7.5 mg, 15 mg, and 25 mg compared with other NSAIDs there were generally no differences in efficacy.41-49 In 2 of the trials, however, patients taking nonselective NSAIDs were significantly less likely to withdraw due to lack of efficacy than patients taking meloxicam.44, 49 A systematic review of 3 short-term randomized controlled trials of nabumetone for soft tissue pain found no difference in efficacy when compared with ibuprofen or naproxen.50 However, based on physician assessment, the same systematic review also found placebo to be as efficacious as nabumetone in reducing pain at 7 days. Etodolac and nonselective NSAIDs were generally associated with similar rates of withdrawals due to efficacy51 or improvements in pain52 in short-term randomized controlled trials of patients with osteoarthritis of the knee and/or hip. A sustained-release form of etodolac was also associated with similar rates of pain reduction relative to diclofenac in a small trial (N=64) of patients with osteoarthritis of the knee.53

Comparisons Among Nonselective NSAIDs

Several recent good-quality systematic reviews by the Cochrane Collaboration found no clear differences among nonselective NSAIDs in efficacy for treating osteoarthritis of the knee, 51 hip, 54 or low-back pain.55 Results from 3 fair-quality randomized controlled trials published subsequent to the Cochrane reviews also consistently found no significant differences in efficacy among nonselective NSAIDs when used in patients with osteoarthritis.56-58

Limited evidence from 2 trials found no difference in efficacy when salsalate 3 g daily was compared with indomethacin 75 mg daily59 or diclofenac 75 mg daily.60 No studies comparing salsalate to other NSAIDs were identified, and salsalate was not included in any of the systematic reviews included in this report.

Tenoxicam 20 mg and 40 mg, diclofenac, and indomethacin were associated with similar effects on pain in a good-quality systematic review of 18 randomized controlled trials.61 Tenoxicam was also associated with slightly greater improvements in pain management outcomes than piroxicam according to physician global assessment (odds ratio, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.08 to 2.03).

An older (1985) review of tiaprofenic acid 600 mg found no difference in efficacy when compared with aspirin 3600 mg, diclofenac 150 mg, ibuprofen 1200 mg, indomethacin 75-105 mg, naproxen 500 mg, piroxicam 20 mg, or sulindac 300 mg.62 A more recent randomized controlled trial confirmed the short-term comparative efficacy of tiaprofenic acid 600 mg and indomethacin 75 mg (at 4 wks, 43% and 45% of patients showed improvement respectively).63 However, the same study found both drugs less efficacious in the long term (at 1 year, 39% for tiaprofenic acid and 36% for indomethacin).

Efficacy: Comparisons between Topical Drugs

We found no head-to-head trials that directly compared the effectiveness or efficacy of different topical drugs. Therefore, we considered indirect comparison of topical drugs based on 3 randomized vehicle-controlled trials of diclofenac 1.5% topical solution64-66 and 2 of diclofenac 1% topical gel (Evidence Table 1).67, 68 All were rated fair quality (Evidence Table 2). All trials enrolled patients with osteoarthritis of the knee64-66, 68 or hand67 and ranged in duration from 4 weeks65 to 12 weeks.66, 68

Among the trials of diclofenac 1.5% topical solution, 3 included a vehicle control group that contained dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) at the same strength used as a carrier in the diclofenac topical solution (45.5%), 64-66 and 1 included a placebo control group that contained DMSO at a very low concentration (4.55%). The purpose for including a very small amount of DMSO in the placebo solution was described as being for maintenance of blinding, as DMSO has been associated with a garlic-like taste or odor.65 For the purpose of indirect comparison, we focused on the data from the placebo control group with the lower concentration of DMSO (4.55%), 65 as its composition was a closer match to the composition of the placebo gel used in the trials of diclofenac 1.0% topical gel (no DMSO). 67, 68 While the data for the vehicle control groups (45.5% DMSO) are presented in Evidence Table 1 , we did not consider these data further here because the efficacy and adverse effects of the 45.5% DMSO vehicle were not relevant to our indirect comparison of the topical diclofenac products.

Both diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and 1.0% topical gel had significantly greater mean changes in pain subscale scores than the placebo groups, as measured using the WOMAC65, 68 or the Australian/Canadian Osteoarthritis Hand Index (AUSCAN) (Table 4).67 However, indirect comparison of diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and 1.0% topical gel was not possible due to heterogeneity in the reporting of results.

Table 4. Efficacy Outcomes in Placebo-controlled Trials of Topical Diclofenac Drugs.

Table 4

Efficacy Outcomes in Placebo-controlled Trials of Topical Diclofenac Drugs.

We also identified 5 additional placebo-controlled trials of the diclofenac epolamine 1.3% topical patch, 69 diclofenac sodium 3% topical gel, 70 diclofenac diethylamine 1.16% topical gel, 71 and diclofenac hydroxyethyl pyrrolidine plasters containing 180 mg of active drug. 72, 73 We excluded these trials because all had follow-up duration of less than 4 weeks.

Efficacy: Comparisons between Oral and Topical Drugs

We included 2 randomized controlled trials that compared an oral NSAID to a topical NSAID. 74, 75 Both trials were rated fair quality and enrolled patients with osteoarthritis of the knee for 12-week treatment periods. In both trials, regardless of whether participants had bilateral knee osteoarthritis, only one knee was treated with the topical solution. Thus, efficacy assessments related to only the single treated knee. The first trial (N=622) evaluated equivalence between treatment with 50 drops (1.55 mL) of 1.5% topical diclofenac solution and oral diclofenac 50 mg 3 times daily based on measurement of the WOMAC pain (0-500 mm) and physical function (0-1700 mm) dimensions using a 100 mm visual analog scale.75 The second trial (N=755) was designed to evaluate superiority of treatment with 40 drops (1.2 mL) of 1.5% topical diclofenac solution over placebo based on measurement of the WOMAC pain (maximum score, 20) and physical function (maximum score, 68) dimensions using a 5-point Likert Scale, but it also involved a comparison to treatment with oral diclofenac 100 mg slow release once daily.74 In the first trial, oral diclofenac showed greater mean changes in pain (–134 mm compared with –118 mm; P=0.10; difference, 16.4; 95% CI, –3.4 to 36.1; equivalence range, -75 to 75) and physical function (-438 compared with -348; P=0.008; difference 90.0; 95% CI, 24.0 to 156.0; equivalence range, –255 to 255), but the 95% confidence interval for both variables fit within their corresponding equivalence ranges.75 In the second trial, there was no significant difference between topical and oral diclofenac in either than change in WOMAC pain (–6.0 compared with –6.4; P=0.043) or physical function dimensions (–15.8 compared with –17.5; P=0.32).74

Key Questions 2 and 3. Are there Clinically Important Differences in Short-term (< 6 Months) or Long-term (≥ 6 Months) Harms between NSAIDs, with or without Antiulcer Medication, When Used in Adults with Chronic Pain from Osteoarthritis, Rheumatoid Arthritis, Soft-tissue Pain, Back Pain, or Ankylosing Spondylitis?

Summary of Evidence

Comparisons between Oral Drugs

  • Celecoxib compared with nonselective NSAIDs
    • With regard to upper gastrointestinal adverse events, celecoxib may offer a short-term advantage over nonselective NSAIDs, but this has not been conclusively demonstrated in longer-term (>6 months) studies
    • Short-term risk of clinically significant upper plus lower gastrointestinal events was significantly lower for celecoxib compared with diclofenac slow release plus omeprazole, primarily due to a lower risk of clinically significant decrease in hemoglobin due to presumed occult bleeding of gastrointestinal origin, including possible blood loss from the small bowel
    • Based on findings from 3 meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials that were primarily 12 weeks in duration, as well as in 1 large case-control study, risk of myocardial infarction for celecoxib was not significantly different compared with NSAIDs
    • No significant increase in risk of other cardiovascular events or cerebrovascular events was found for celecoxib as compared with nonselective NSAIDs in 6 meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and 5 observational studies
    • With regard to cardiorenal harms, results from the longest-term CLASS trial and meta-analyses of shorter-term trials found no increased risk of hypertension or heart failure with celecoxib compared with nonselective NSAIDs
    • Celecoxib was not associated with an increased fracture risk in a fair-quality, large-scale, Danish population-based study
  • Partially selective NSAIDs
    • Meloxicam has not been conclusively demonstrated to offer an advantage over nonselective NSAIDs with regard to gastrointestinal adverse events; limited evidence from observational studies has not suggested any increased risk for meloxicam in myocardial infarction, hepatotoxicity, or fracture
    • Compared with nonselective NSAIDs, nabumetone had a lower short-term risk of gastrointestinal perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding events, but long-term comparative risks are unknown; nabumetone was not associated with an increased fracture risk in a fair-quality, large-scale, Danish population-based study
    • Comparative short-term and long-term gastrointestinal risk for etodolac relative to nonselective NSAIDs has not been evaluated; a small increase in risk of fracture was found to be associated with recent use of etodolac (within 1 year) in a fair-quality, large-scale, Danish population-based study (adjusted relative risk, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.22)
  • Nonselective NSAIDs
    • There was strong evidence from numerous randomized controlled trials and observational studies that all nonselective NSAIDs are associated with relatively similar risks of serious gastrointestinal events relative to nonuse
    • All nonselective NSAIDs except naproxen were associated with similar risks of clinically important cardiovascular events (primarily myocardial infarction) compared with COX-2 inhibitors (data primarily on high-dose ibuprofen and diclofenac), whereas naproxen was associated with a lower risk of myocardial infarction compared with COX-2 inhibitors (relative risk, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.41 to 2.96; P=0.0002)
    • In a systematic review of published and unpublished short-term randomized controlled trials, diclofenac was associated with the highest rates of aminotransferase elevations >3 times the upper limit of normal (3.55%; 95% CI, 3.12 to 4.03) compared with ibuprofen (0.43%; 95% CI, 0.26 to 0.70); regarding longer-term risk of hepatotoxicity, the only evidence available for diclofenac was noncomparative, but found similar levels of aminotransferase elevations >3 times the upper limit of normal (3.1%)
    • In a large, fair-quality population-based study, the nonselective NSAID that had the highest overall risk of fracture was ibuprofen (adjusted relative risk, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.72 to 1.81) and an observed inverse dose-response relationship did not clearly suggest a direct correlation with the COX system
  • A single observational study found that the rates of gastrointestinal-related hospitalizations after 14 months were similar for salsalate as compared with other NSAIDs. Several older observational studies of salsalate were identified, but could not be used to contribute evidence about specific serious gastrointestinal and cardiovascular events due to limitations in outcome definition and methodology
  • No specific data was found on the comparative risks of serious cardiovascular or serious gastrointestinal effects for either tenoxicam or tiaprofenic acid compared with other NSAIDs; three observational studies reported cases of potentially serious cystitis in patients using tiaprofenic acid, particularly in patients >70 years old.

Comparisons between Topical Drugs

  • We found no trials that directly compared harms between different topical drugs
  • Indirect evidence was only available from 1 placebo-controlled trial of diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and 2 of diclofenac 1.0% topical gel
    • Compared to placebo, withdrawals due to adverse events were significantly greater with diclofenac 1.5% topical solution (6% compared with 0%; relative risk 11.00; 95% CI, 1.34 to infinity; number needed to harm, 17), but not for diclofenac 1% topical gel (5% compared with 3%; pooled relative risk, 1.64; 95% CI, 0.84 to 3.21)
    • Dry skin at the application site was significantly greater for diclofenac 1.5% topical solution compared with placebo solution (36% compared with 1%; relative risk, 30.00; 95% CI, 5.44 to 172.22; number needed to harm, 3); rates of overall application site reactions were not significantly different for diclofenac 1.0% topical gel compared with placebo gel (pooled relative risk, 2.08; 95% CI, 0.99 to 4.36; 5% compared with 2%)
    • There was no significant difference between diclofenac 1.5% topical solution and placebo solution or between 1.0% topical gel and placebo gel in gastrointestinal adverse events.

Comparisons between Oral and Topical Drugs

  • In 2 trials that directly compared diclofenac 1.5% topical solution to oral diclofenac, incidence of dry skin at the application site was significantly greater for topical diclofenac (pooled relative risk, 12.02; 95% CI, 3.96 to 36.54; 24% compared with 2%), whereas incidence of gastrointestinal adverse events was significantly greater for oral diclofenac; however, withdrawals due to adverse events were similar in the topical and oral diclofenac treatment groups (pooled relative risk, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.62 to 1.06; 17% compared with 21%).

Detailed Assessment

Comparisons between Oral Drugs

Adverse events evaluated included serious gastrointestinal events, cardiovascular risk, mortality, hypertension, congestive heart failure, edema, renal function, hepatotoxicity, and general tolerability. The majority of NSAID-related adverse effects have not appeared to be dependent upon long (>6 months) duration of exposure. The exception was cardiovascular risk, which was only been observed in trials with exposure periods that exceeded 8 months in duration.27, 76-81 A continued important weakness of the available evidence was that long-term studies which simultaneously assess gastrointestinal, cardiac, and other serious adverse events were lacking, particularly for the nonselective NSAIDs, thus seriously limiting our ability to accurately determine the true balance of overall benefits and harms.

Celecoxib Compared with Nonselective NSAIDs (with and without Antiulcer Medication)

Celecoxib is currently the only COX-2 inhibitor available in the United States. The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Effective Health Care Comparative Effectiveness Review is the most comprehensive review to date of the comparative safety of celecoxib relative to other NSAIDs, placebo, or nonuse.31 Conclusions of the review were based on numerous meta-analyses of primarily short-term randomized controlled trials (7 months or less)27, 32, 33, 79, 81-91 and population based observational studies.92-102

With regard to upper gastrointestinal adverse events celecoxib seemed to offer a short-term advantage over nonselective NSAIDs, when neither were taken with antiulcer medication, but this has not been conclusively demonstrated in longer-term (>6 months) studies. CLASS remains the longest-term trial to date of patients with osteoarthritis/rheumatoid arthritis.27 Results from an interim, 6-month analysis from the CLASS trial (32/3987 compared with 51/3981, annualized incidence rates 2.08% compared with 3.54%; P=0.02) 27 and from meta-analyses of published and unpublished short-term trials33, 83 consistently suggested that celecoxib is associated with fewer serious gastrointestinal complications (bleeding, perforations, stricture) than nonselective NSAIDs. In a meta-analysis of 14 randomized controlled trials from 2000, annual rates of upper gastrointestinal ulcer complications were 2 per 1000 yearly for celecoxib and about 17 per 1000 yearly for NSAIDs (P=0.002).83 Celecoxib was also associated with lower rates of clinical ulcers and bleeds relative to nonselective NSAIDs in a recent meta-analysis of data from Pfizer records of 18 primarily short-term randomized controlled trials.33 Observational studies evaluating exposure to celecoxib of unknown103 or short-term98, 104 duration are consistent with the randomized controlled trial results. Regarding longer-term gastrointestinal safety, however, celecoxib, diclofenac, and ibuprofen were associated with similar rates of complicated or symptomatic ulcers after 12 months in the CLASS trials, as reported by US Food and Drug Administration documents, 84, 90 and gastrointestinal safety outcomes associated with long-term use were not clearly reported in any observational study.

Additionally, 3 short-term randomized controlled trials found celecoxib was as effective as co-therapy with a nonselective NSAID and an antiulcer medication in preventing ulcer complications in high-risk patients.105-107 In very high-risk patients with a recent gastrointestinal bleed, there were no statistically significant differences between either celecoxib 400 mg and diclofenac 150 mg plus omeprazole 20 mg105 or celecoxib 200 mg and naproxen 750 mg plus lansoprazole 30 mg in recurrent ulcer bleeding after 6 months (mean rate: 4.3% for celecoxib compared with 6.3% for both diclofenac plus omeprazole and naproxen plus lansoprazole) or withdrawal rates due to adverse events (mean rate: 11.7% for celecoxib compared with 9.7% for diclofenac plus omeprazole and naproxen plus lansoprazole).105, 107 Likewise, in patients receiving aspirin (81 mg in 89% of the patients and 325 mg in 11% of patients ) and who required ongoing NSAID therapy for osteoarthritis (N=1045), rates of endoscopically confirmed gastroduodenal ulcers at 12 weeks were similar in patients given celecoxib 200 mg and those given naproxen 100 mg plus lansoprazole 30 mg (20.3% compared with 18.0%; difference 2.4%, 95% CI, –2.4% to 7.2%).106

However, the most recent evidence suggested that the best protection of the upper gastrointestinal tract in higher-risk patients may come from taking celecoxib in combination with a proton pump inhibitor.108, 109 In a good-quality randomized controlled trial of very high risk patients with a recent gastrointestinal bleed (N=273), the 13-month cumulative incidence of recurrent ulcer bleeding was significantly lower for celecoxib 200 mg plus esomeprazole 20 mg (0%) compared with celecoxib 200 mg alone (8.9%; 95% CI, 4.1 to 13.7; P=0.0004), whereas there were no significant differences in withdrawals due to adverse events (6% compared with 7%) or in improvement in arthritis pain as measured using a 100 mm visual analog scale (–27% compared with –28%).108 Additionally, in a subgroup analysis from a fair-quality, population-based retrospective cohort study in elderly patients which used data from the government of Quebec health services administrative databases, there were significantly fewer gastrointestinal hospitalizations when a proton pump inhibitor was added to celecoxib compared with celecoxib alone when age was above 75 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.81), but not when age was 66 to 74 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.52).109

With regard to comparative risk of clinically significant adverse events throughout the gastrointestinal tract (upper and lower), a good-quality trial of 4484 patients with osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis found a short-term advantage for celecoxib 400 mg/day over diclofenac slow release 150/day plus omeprazole 20 mg/day.110 At 6 months, significantly fewer patients receiving celecoxib met criteria for the composite primary endpoint of clinically significant event (gastroduodenal, small-bowel, or large-bowel hemorrhage; gastric-outlet obstruction; gastroduodenal, small-bowel, or large-bowel perforation; clinically significant anemia of defined gastrointestinal or presumed occult gastrointestinal origin; acute gastrointestinal hemorrhage of unknown origin) compared with those receiving diclofenac slow release plus omeprazole (0.9% compared with 3.8%; hazard ratio 4.3, 95% CI, 2.6 to 7.0). When the individual components of the composite outcome were evaluated separately, the difference was found to be primarily due to a significantly lower risk in the celecoxib group of having hemoglobin decrease of 20 g/L or more (0.7% compared with 3%, P value not reported). Among those, 0.4% of patients receiving celecoxib and 2% of patients receiving diclofenac slow release plus esomeprazole had hemoglobin decreases that were presumed to be of occult gastrointestinal origin, including possible blood loss from the small bowel. Because it was unclear whether the advantage for celecoxib would persist over the longer-term and because the difference was largely based on asymptomatic gastrointestinal disease characteristics, these findings should be interpreted with caution.

Based on findings from 333, 111, 112 of 433, 111-113 meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials that were primarily 12 weeks in duration, risk of myocardial infarction for celecoxib was not significantly different compared with NSAIDs (Table 5). Among the 3 meta-analyses that found no significant differences between celecoxib and NSAIDs, data were combined from up to 41 published and unpublished trials of primarily patients with osteoarthritis or rheumatoid arthritis and NSAID comparator groups consisting of diclofenac, naproxen, or ibuprofen.33, 111, 112 In contrast, the only meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials to find a significant increase in risk of myocardial infarction with celecoxib combined data from only 5 published trials of at least 6 weeks in duration in any population, including patients receiving celecoxib for colon polyp prevention and Alzheimer’s disease, and the pooled comparator group included placebo, diclofenac, ibuprofen, and paracetamol.113

Table 5. Risk of Myocardial Infarction: Celecoxib Compared with NSAID.

Table 5

Risk of Myocardial Infarction: Celecoxib Compared with NSAID.

Risk of myocardial infarction was also assessed as an individual endpoint in 1 large case-control study of 54 475 patients 65 years of age or older, which also found no significant difference between celecoxib as compared with naproxen (adjusted odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.74 to 1.21), ibuprofen (adjusted odds ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.76 to 1.26), or other NSAIDs (adjusted odds ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.10).102

Additionally, no significant increase in risk of other cardiovascular events or cerebrovascular events was found for celecoxib as compared with nonselective NSAIDs in 6 meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials33, 112-116 and 5 observational studies.92, 95, 101, 117, 118

With regard to cardiorenal harms, results from the longest-term CLASS trial119 and meta-analyses of shorter-term trials33, 112, 120 found no increased risk of hypertension or heart failure with celecoxib compared with nonselective NSAIDs. In CLASS, incidence of new-onset or aggravated hypertension was 2.7% for celecoxib, which was similar to the incidence with diclofenac (2.6%) and significantly lower than with ibuprofen (4.2%; P<0.05), whereas there was no significant difference between celecoxib, diclofenac, or ibuprofen in incidence of heart failure (0.3% compared with 0.2% or 0.5%).119 In the largest meta-analysis of primarily shorter-term published and unpublished trials, compared with various nonselective NSAIDs, celecoxib was associated with a significantly lower incidence of hypertension (1.5% compared with 2.0%; P=0.002) and a similar incidence of heart failure (0.1% compared with 0.2%; P=0.056).112

In a fair-quality, large-scale, population-based case-control study in which the Danish National Hospital Discharge Register was used to identify all subjects who sustained a fracture in the year 2000 (cases, N=124 655; controls, N=373 962), celecoxib was not associated with an increased risk regardless of dosage (adjusted odds ratios ranged from 0.84 to 0.97).121

Partially Selective NSAIDs

Among the partially selective NSAIDs (meloxicam, nabumetone, and etodolac), none were associated with any clear safety advantages relative to nonselective NSAIDs.

Meloxicam

Meloxicam is the most widely studied partially selective NSAID. The majority of meloxicam safety studies were short-term randomized controlled trials that focused on rates of perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding, and results generally did not suggest that meloxicam was associated with lower rates of ulcer complications than any other nonselective NSAID.42, 122-125 Meloxicam and nonselective NSAIDs were also associated with similar rates of gastrointestinal hemorrhage126 after 6 months or gastrointestinal complication-related hospitalizations after 14 months127 in the only 2 longer-term trials meeting inclusion criteria. The only differences came from 2 potentially flawed meta-analyses.124, 125 Findings from both meta-analyses suggested that meloxicam was associated with significantly lower rates of perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding than nonselective NSAIDs in short-term randomized controlled trials; but, these findings are insufficient for judging the gastrointestinal safety of meloxicam because these analyses were based on intermediate endpoints and details about the quality and results of the included randomized controlled trials were lacking.

Meloxicam was not well studied with regard to risk of other serious adverse events. Limited evidence from 2 observational studies suggested that meloxicam was not associated with increased risk of myocardial infarction relative to nonuse after 2.4 years96 or relative to diclofenac (duration unspecified).128 Meloxicam was also not associated with increased risk of hepatotoxicity relative to placebo based on findings from a very recent (2005) systematic review of published and unpublished articles.123 Evidence from a fair-quality case-control study which used data from the Danish National Hospital Discharge Register found that use of meloxicam within the last year was not associated with a significant increased risk of fracture (adjusted relative risk, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.26).121

Nabumetone and Etodolac

There was very little evidence of the comparative safety of nabumetone or etodolac relative to nonselective NSAIDs. The best evidence of the comparative gastrointestinal harms of nabumetone compared with nonselective NSAIDs came from a fair-quality meta-analysis of 6 nonendoscopic studies (5 published and 1 abstract), the largest of which had 3315 nabumetone patients and 1096 NSAID patients. The studies had 3 to 6 months of follow-up. The main endpoint used in this meta-analysis was perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding. The methods to ascertain the endpoint (that is, how well and consistently investigators identified complications) is unknown. There was 1 perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding event among 4098 patients taking nabumetone compared with 17 events among 1874 nonselective NSAID patients; this was highly statistically significant. The rates per 1000 patients per year were about 2 compared with 6. There was also a significant reduction in treatment-related hospitalizations in the nabumetone group (6.4 per 1000 patients per year compared with 20.3 per 1000 patients per year).129 Nabumetone has also been associated with decreased risk of all-cause mortality relative to diclofenac (adjusted odds ratio, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.25 to 3.07) and naproxen (adjusted odds ratio 2.95; 95% CI, 1.88 to 4.62) after 6 months in 1 observational study, 130 but this finding has not yet been replicated in any other observational studies or randomized controlled trials.

The only evidence related to the risks of gastrointestinal adverse events associated with etodolac came from 2 observational studies of unknown durations and suggested that etodolac was associated with similar rates of perforation, symptomatic ulcer, or bleeding relative to nonuse131 or naproxen.132

Based on evidence from a fair-quality case-control study which used data from the Danish National Hospital Discharge Register, there may be a slight increased risk of fracture associated with recent use (within 1 year) of etodolac (adjusted relative risk, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.22), but not nabumetone (adjusted relative risk, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.36).121 However, the increased risk of fracture associated with etodolac may be somewhat lower than various nonselective NSAIDs, including ibuprofen (adjusted relative risk, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.72 to 1.81), diclofenac (adjusted relative risk, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.35 to 1.44) and naproxen (adjusted relative risk, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.29 to 1.46).121

Nonselective NSAIDs (with and without Antiulcer Medications)

There was strong evidence from numerous randomized controlled trials122, 123 and observational studies103, 104, 133-135 that all nonselective NSAIDs are associated with relatively similar risks of serious gastrointestinal events relative to nonuse. Further study is needed to determine the potential comparative safety benefits of concomitant use of various gastroprotective agents in preventing clinical gastrointestinal events. Currently, misoprostol is the only gastroprotective agent proven to decrease risk of clinical gastrointestinal events (MUCOSA), but this was at the expense of significant increases in nausea, diarrhea, and abdominal pain.136 Otherwise, misoprostol, double-dose H2 blockers, and proton pump inhibitors were all associated with significant reductions in risks of endoscopic gastric and duodenal ulcers when added to nonselective NSAIDs relative to nonselective NSAID use alone in short-term randomized controlled trials.137, 138

Results from a fair-quality systematic review of 138 primarily short-term randomized controlled trials (≥ 4 weeks) suggested that nonselective NSAIDs other than naproxen are associated with similar risks of clinically important cardiovascular events (primarily myocardial infarction) compared with COX-2 inhibitors (data primarily on high-dose ibuprofen and diclofenac). On the other hand, naproxen 500 mg twice daily was associated with a lower risk of myocardial infarction compared with COX-2 inhibitors (relative risk, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.41 to 2.96; P=0.0002). In indirect analyses, naproxen was risk-neutral for cardiovascular events relative to placebo (relative risk, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.26), but other nonselective NSAIDs were associated with higher risks (rate ratio, 1.51; 95% CI, 0.96 to 2.37 and rate ratio, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.12 to 2.37 respectively for ibuprofen and diclofenac).79 A recent, good-quality meta-analysis of observational studies found diclofenac associated with the highest risk, followed by indomethacin and meloxicam. Celecoxib, naproxen, piroxicam, and ibuprofen were not associated with increased risks. However, assessments of increased risk were modest (relative risk <2.0), and all of the main analyses were associated with substantial between-study heterogeneity.99 Differences between the meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and observational studies could be related to lower doses or patterns of use (such as intermittent use), differential use of co-medications, differences in populations, or other factors. For example, a meta-analysis of 11 observational studies found naproxen associated with a modest cardioprotective effect relative to other nonselective NSAIDs (odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.99).139 However, studies in this meta-analysis that were sponsored by the manufacturer of the competing drug rofecoxib found significantly greater cardioprotective effects compared with other studies. Findings from other observational studies suggested that naproxen is associated with similar92-94, 96 or lower 140-143 cardiovascular risk relative to nonuse. However, protective cardiovascular effects of naproxen relative to nonuse observed in some observational studies usually appear explainable by issues related to study design or analysis.144 More recent, high-quality observational studies are mostly consistent with a neutral cardiovascular effect of naproxen relative to nonuse.

Evidence of the comparative safety of nonselective NSAIDs regarding all-cause mortality, blood pressure, congestive heart failure, edema, renal function, hepatotoxicity, and fracture risk was limited, and no strong conclusions could be reached regarding differential safety. For hypertension outcomes, 2 meta-analyses of placebo-controlled trials suggested modestly differential effects for piroxicam, ibuprofen, indomethacin, and naproxen relative to other nonselective NSAIDs, though estimates for individual drugs were inconsistent between the 2 meta-analyses.5, 145 In addition, differential effects were not found in direct comparisons from a meta-analysis of head-to-head trials of these same nonselective NSAIDs.5 Publication bias was also an important concern because most trials did not report hypertension outcomes.

The only other limited evidence of differential safety pertained to hepatotoxicity. In 1 systematic review of published and unpublished short-term randomized controlled trials, diclofenac was associated with the highest rates of aminotransferase elevations >3 times the upper limit of normal (3.55%; 95% CI, 3.12 to 4.03) compared with ibuprofen (0.43%; 95% CI, 0.26 to 0.70) and naproxen (0.43%; 95% CI, 0.30 to 0.63).123 No liver-related hospitalizations or deaths occurred with either diclofenac or ibuprofen and were very rare with naproxen (0.01%). Incidence of aminotransferase elevations >3 times the upper limit of normal (3.1%), liver-related hospitalizations (0.023%), and liver failure/transplant/death (0%) were similar in 17 289 patients with rheumatoid arthritis or osteoarthritis who received diclofenac 150 mg for a mean of 18 months during their enrollment in the Multinational Etoricoxib and Diclofenac Arthritis Long-Term Program (MEDAL), which was prospectively designed to pool data from 3 randomized controlled trials that compared diclofenac to etoricoxib.146

Additionally, incidence of hepatic injury was 5-10 times higher for sulindac relative to other NSAIDs in a recent systematic review of 7 population-based epidemiological studies.147 However, in all analyses the rates of hepatotoxicity were extremely low.

According to evidence from a fair-quality case-control study which used data from the Danish National Hospital Discharge Register, increased fracture risk was associated with recent use (within 1 year) of the majority of nonselective NSAIDs, except for diflunisal, sulindac, and tiaprofenic acid.121 With an adjusted relative risk of 1.76 (95% CI, 1.72 to 1.81), ibuprofen was distinguished as the nonselective NSAID that had the highest overall risk of fracture. An observed inverse dose-response relationship did not clearly suggest a direct correlation with the COX system. There was no control for potential over-the-counter use of NSAIDs in the control group and these findings have not yet been replicated in any other observational studies or randomized controlled trials.

Salsalate

Based on the results of several older observational studies148-150 salsalate has often been considered to be less toxic than other NSAIDs. These studies were largely based on data from the Arthritis, Rheumatism, and Aging Medical Information System (ARAMIS) databases, which reported “toxicity” based a broad range of symptoms (http://aramis.stanford.edu/index.html). Due to the methodology employed in these studies, which included unspecified subject selection methods, length of follow-up, and lack of adjustment for concomitant medications and comorbidities, the reliability and clinical relevance of results was uncertain.

A more recent observational study of serious gastrointestinal event rates associated with salsalate found that the number hospitalizations after 14 months was similar to that of other NSAIDs.127

Tenoxicam and Tiaprofenic Acid

A systematic review of 18 studies reported that rates of unspecified adverse events associated with tenoxicam were similar to those for piroxicam and diclofenac, but lower than those associated with indomethacin (pooled risk across 2 randomized controlled trials: -0.27, P=0.0002).61 The number of dropouts due to adverse events was 17% lower with tenoxicam relative to piroxicam, but similar to those for diclofenac or indomethacin. This systematic review did not provide any specific data on risks of serious cardiovascular or serious gastrointestinal effects.

Several randomized controlled trials and a review of tiaprofenic acid studies reported no serious adverse events associated with its use.62, 63, 151, 152 A statistically significant percentage of patients reported fewer nonserious gastrointestinal side effects with tiaprofenic acid when compared with indomethacin (nausea and vomiting, 3.7% compared with 7.8%; dyspepsia or other gastrointestinal, 9.5% compared with 23.4%).62

Observational studies of tiaprofenic acid have found increased occurrence of potentially serious cystitis in patients using tiaprofenic acid, 153-155 particularly in patients >70 years old. Concomitant aspirin use appeared to reduce the risk of tiaprofenic acid-induced cystitis (odds ratio, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1 to 0.9).153

Comparisons between Topical Drugs

We found no head-to-head trials that directly compared harms between different topical drugs. Therefore, we considered indirect comparison of topical drugs based on 1 placebo-controlled trial of 1.5% topical solution65 and 2 of diclofenac 1% topical gel.67, 68

Diclofenac 1.5% topical solution resulted in a significant increase in incidence of withdrawal due to adverse events when compared with a placebo solution (6% compared with 0%; relative risk 11.00; 95% CI, 1.34 to infinity; number needed to harm, 17).65 In contrast, there was no significant difference between diclofenac 1% topical gel and placebo gel in incidence of withdrawal due to adverse events (pooled relative risk, 1.64; 95% CI, 0.84 to 3.21; 5% compared with 3%).67, 68

Application-site reaction reporting was heterogenous between the 2 sets of trials and did not permit qualitative indirect comparisons. Dry skin at the application site was the most frequent adverse event reported for diclofenac 1.5% topical solution, at a rate that was significantly greater than placebo solution (36% compared with 1%; relative risk, 30.00; 95% CI, 5.44 to 172.22; number needed to harm, 3).65 In contrast, incidence of dry skin was not reported in trials of diclofenac 1% topical gel and rates of overall application site reactions were notably lower and not significantly different compared with placebo gel (pooled relative risk, 2.08; 95% CI, 0.99 to 4.36; 5% compared with 2%).67, 68

There was no significant difference between diclofenac 1% topical gel and placebo gel in risk of any gastrointestinal adverse event (pooled relative risk, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.84 to 2.62; 7% compared with 4%).67, 68 Incidence of any gastrointestinal adverse event was not reported in the trial of diclofenac 1.5% topical solution, but there were no significant increases in risk of individual gastrointestinal events of dyspepsia (7% compared with 6%), nausea (0% compared with 1%), vomiting (0% compared with 1%), diarrhea (1% compared with 4%), or constipation (1% in both groups).65

Comparisons between Oral and Topical Drugs

Patients treated with 1.5% topical diclofenac solution experienced a significantly reduced incidence of gastrointestinal adverse events than with oral diclofenac in 2 randomized controlled trials (pooled relative risk, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.18 to 1.23), but there was evidence of statistically significant heterogeneity between the trials (Cochran Q=7.955563, df=1, P=0.0048).74, 75 Gastrointestinal adverse event rates were 35% and 48%, respectively, in the first trial that compared 50 drops of 1.5% topical diclofenac solution (1.55 mL) to oral diclofenac 50 mg 3 times daily (P=0.0006)75 and were 6.5% and 23.8%, respectively, in the second trial that compared 40 drops of 1.5% topical diclofenac solution (1.2 mL) to oral diclofenac 100 mg slow release once daily (P value not reported).74 As both trials categorized all adverse events according to the 4th edition of the US Food and Drug Administration Coding Symbols for Thesaurus of Adverse Reaction Terms (COSTART), the difference between trials in gastrointestinal adverse event rates could not be explained based on obvious differences in assessment methods. Also, although the dosages used in the first trial were slightly higher, this still likely wouldn’t account for such a large difference between the rates for the topical groups (35% compared with 6.5%).

Incidence of dry skin at the application site was significantly greater in the topical diclofenac groups than in the oral diclofenac groups (pooled relative risk, 12.02; 95% CI, 3.96 to 36.54; 24% compared with 2%).74, 75 However, withdrawals due to adverse events were similar in the topical and oral diclofenac treatment groups in both randomized controlled trials (pooled relative risk, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.62 to 1.06; 17% compared with 21%).74, 75 Cardiovascular events (undefined) were only reported in the most recent trial and rates were <2% in both the topical and oral diclofenac groups.74

Key Question 4. Are there Subgroups of Patients Based on Demographics, Other Medications (e.g., Aspirin), Socio-economic Conditions, Co-morbidities (e.g., Gastrointestinal Disease) for Which One Medication is More Effective or Associated with Fewer Harms?

Summary of Evidence

Comparisons between Oral Drugs

  • Evidence from randomized controlled trials of elderly populations consistently found no significant differences in efficacy outcomes between celecoxib and either naproxen or diclofenac
  • Results from a long-term randomized controlled trial and 4 retrospective cohort studies suggested that celecoxib may be associated with fewer selected serious adverse events than some nonselective NSAIDs when used in elderly populations; however, in elderly patients, there were significantly fewer gastrointestinal hospitalizations when a proton pump inhibitor was added to celecoxib compared with celecoxib alone when age was above 75 years, but not when age was 66 to 74 years
  • One randomized controlled trial found no significant differences between celecoxib and diclofenac on pain when used concomitantly with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in a small study of all black or Hispanic patients
  • A single, small crossover trial examining the effects of using NSAIDs in patients taking anticoagulants found no significant changes in the mean international normalized ratio values after 5 weeks of either celecoxib or codeine; comparative evidence of the safety of celecoxib relative to NSAIDs when used concomitantly with anticoagulants was limited to 2 small observational studies and was inconclusive due to flaws in design
  • For patients taking an NSAID and low-dose aspirin (325 mg or less), similar rates of endoscopically confirmed gastroduodenal ulcers were found with celecoxib alone (20.3%) compared with treatment with naproxen plus lansoprazole (18.0%) based on a single small study
  • Subgroup analyses according to the use of low-dose aspirin also found no significant differences between celecoxib and nonselective NSAIDs in endoscopic ulcer rates and limited evidence from only 1 observational study suggested that concomitant NSAID use could interfere with the cardioprotective effects of aspirin in patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease, but evidence from 2 studies in more broadly defined populations found no increased risk of myocardial infarction
  • The 13-month cumulative incidence of recurrent ulcer bleeding was significantly lower for celecoxib plus esomeprazole (0%) compared with celecoxib alone (8.9%; 95% CI, 4.1 to 13.7; P=0.0004) in a good-quality trial
  • Two shorter-term trials found no statistically significant differences in recurrent ulcer bleeding between celecoxib and treatment with a nonselective NSAID plus a proton pump inhibitor
  • One observational study found lower rates of death and recurrent congestive heart failure for celecoxib compared with nonselective NSAIDs in high-risk elderly patients with a recent admission for heart failure
  • No evidence was found regarding the comparative effectiveness and harms in other patient subgroups.

Comparisons between Topical Drugs

  • No evidence was found regarding the comparative effectiveness and harms of topical diclofenac products in patient subgroups.

Comparisons between Oral and Topical Drugs

  • No evidence was found regarding the comparative effectiveness and harms between oral and topical NSAIDs in patient subgroups.

Detailed Assessment

Demographic Subgroups

Evidence from randomized controlled trials of elderly populations consistently found no significant differences in efficacy outcomes between celecoxib and either naproxen156 or diclofenac.157 Celecoxib and naproxen had similar effects on pain and quality of life in elderly patients based on results from an original data meta-analysis of 3 randomized controlled trials.156 Celecoxib 200 mg and diclofenac 50 mg had similar effects on pain after 1 year in 925 elderly patients with osteoarthritis of the knee and/or hip (mean age of 71 years).157

Results from a long-term randomized controlled trial157 and 4 retrospective cohort studies98, 109, 158, 159 suggested that celecoxib may be associated with fewer selected serious adverse effects than some nonselective NSAIDs when used in elderly populations.

Only 1, fair-quality, population-based retrospective cohort study evaluated the gastroprotective effects of adding a proton pump inhibitor in elderly patients taking celecoxib (age ≥ 65 years).109 This study used data from the government of Quebec health services administrative databases and included 25 982 patients receiving celecoxib plus a proton pump inhibitor and 141 575 receiving celecoxib alone. Overall, the risk of hospitalization for a perforated or bleeding ulcer was significantly reduced with celecoxib plus a proton pump inhibitor compared with celecoxib alone (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.93). However, additional subgroup analyses based on age found that gastroprotective advantage of adding a proton pump inhibitor was limited to patients aged 75 years or greater (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.81). In patients aged 66 to 74 years, there was no significant difference in gastrointestinal hospitalization risk between those receiving celecoxib plus a proton pump inhibitor and those receiving celecoxib alone (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.52).

Two retrospective cohort studies evaluated the comparative gastrointestinal harms of receiving celecoxib alone compared with receiving a nonselective NSAID plus an antiulcer medication in the elderly.98, 109 The first study used administrative healthcare databases from Ontario, Canada and found a significantly higher risk of upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage in elderly patients (age ≥ 66 years) given diclofenac plus misoprostol (N=5087) compared with those given celecoxib (N=18 908) (relative risk 3.2; 95% CI 1.6 to 6.5).98 Alternatively, the second study involved elderly adults from Quebec, Canada (described above), 109 and evaluated a broader outcome (i.e. hospitalization for a perforated or bleeding ulcer) and comparison group (i.e., any nonselective NSAID plus a proton pump inhibitor), and found no significant difference in gastroprotection overall (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.45), or in subgroups of patients aged 66 to 74 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.52 to 1.76) or aged 75 years and above (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.61 to 1.64).109

The comparative harms of celecoxib and nonselective NS AIDs in the elderly were evaluated in 1 randomized controlled trial 157 and 1 cohort study.159 In a fair-quality randomized controlled trial of 925 elderly patients with osteoarthritis of the knee and/or hip, compared with diclofenac 50 mg, 1 year of treatment with celecoxib 200 mg resulted in significantly lower rates of cardiovascular and renal adverse events (aggravated hypertension, edema, cardiac failure; 15% compared with 21%, P=0.039) or hepatic adverse events (abnormal hepatic function and increased levels of aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase; 2% compared with 8%; P<0.0001).157 The cohort study used prescription and health care claims data to evaluate cardiovascular disease risk in elderly Pennsylvania Medicare beneficiaries (age ≥ 80 years).159 Compared with ibuprofen (17.8%; 95% CI, 14.9 to 21.0), cardiovascular disease event rates (e.g., hospitalizations for myocardial infarction, stroke, congestive heart failure, out-of-hospital death attributable to cardiovascular disease) were lower for celecoxib (13.5%; 95% CI, 12.7 to 14.3), however cardiovascular disease events rates were similar for celecoxib compared with diclofenac (12.5%; 95% CI, 9.3 to 16.4) and naproxen (12.8%; 95% CI, 10.4 to 15.7).

Finally, one retrospective cohort study evaluated the comparative cardiovascular risks of nonselective NSAIDs compared with nonuse in the elderly population of Ontario, Canada using data from administrative healthcare databases.158 Celecoxib was associated with a neutral effect on risk of admission for heart failure relative to nonuse (relative risk, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.3).158

The effects of celecoxib on pain were also comparable to those of diclofenac when used concomitantly with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in a small study of all black or Hispanic patients.160

Concomitant Anticoagulant or Aspirin Use

Concomitant Anticoagulants

Randomized controlled trial evidence was limited to 1 small, fair-quality, crossover trial that evaluated how celecoxib and codeine compared in their potentiation of the anticoagulant effects of warfarin in 15 patients with osteoarthritis.161 Results from this trial found no significant changes in the mean international normalized ratio values after 5 weeks of either celecoxib or codeine therapy. Only 1 patient experienced an episode of excessive anticoagulation (international normalized ratio, 4.9), which occurred during treatment with celecoxib.

The only evidence regarding the comparative safety of nonselective NSAIDs relative to celecoxib or partially selective NSAIDs when used concomitantly with anticoagulants was available from 2 small observational studies and was inconclusive due to flaws in design.162, 163 Nonselective NSAIDs were associated with a risk of bleeding similar to celecoxib in 1 study, 162 but the risk was significantly greater than partially selective NSAIDs in another study163 in patients using anticoagulants concomitantly.

Concomitant Aspirin

In patients receiving aspirin and who required ongoing NSAID therapy for osteoarthritis, we only found 1 trial (N=1045) designed to compare celecoxib alone to a nonselective NSAID plus a proton pump inhibitor to reduce endoscopic ulcer rates.106 The daily dosage of aspirin was 81 mg in 89% of the patients and 325 mg in 11% of patients. After 12 weeks, the use of celecoxib 200 mg or naproxen 500 mg twice daily plus lansoprazole 30 mg daily resulted in similar rates of endoscopically confirmed gastroduodenal ulcers (20.3% compared with 18.0%; difference 2.4%, 95% CI, –2.4% to 7.2%). The only other evidence of the comparative safety of NSAIDs when used in combination with aspirin came from a systematic review that conducted subgroup analyses according to the use of low-dose aspirin (325 mg or less) and found that both celecoxib and nonselective NSAIDs were associated with significant increases in endoscopic ulcer rates.33

In a 2003 fair-quality case-control study of patients with known cardiovascular disease, risk of overall mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.30 to 2.87) and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.73, 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.84) was significantly greater among users of ibuprofen plus aspirin (N=206) compared with users of aspirin alone (N=6285).164 However, this study was small and did not control for potentially important confounders. Two subsequent fair-quality observational studies, using more broadly defined populations from the UK GPRD165 and QRESEARCH93 databases, found that the risk of myocardial infarction was not significantly different in users of aspirin, with or without NSAIDs.

Comorbidities

In a good-quality randomized controlled trial of very high risk patients with a recent gastrointestinal bleed (N=273), the 13-month cumulative incidence of recurrent ulcer bleeding was significantly lower for celecoxib 200 mg plus esomeprazole 20 mg (0%) compared with celecoxib 200 mg alone (8.9%; 95% CI, 4.1 to 13.7; P=0.0004), whereas there were no significant differences in withdrawals due to adverse events (6% compared with 7%) or in improvement in arthritis pain as measured using a 100 mm visual analog scale (–27% compared with -28%).108

In 2 shorter-term randomized controlled trials comparing celecoxib to a nonselective NSAID plus a proton pump inhibitor in very high-risk patients with a recent gastrointestinal bleed, there were no statistically significant differences in recurrent ulcer bleeding (mean rate at 6 months: 4.3% for celecoxib compared with 6.3% for both diclofenac plus omeprazole and naproxen plus lansoprazole) or withdrawal rates due to adverse events (mean rate: 11.7% for celecoxib compared with 9.7% for diclofenac plus omeprazole and naproxen plus lansoprazole).105, 107 However, rates of rebleeding were high with either intervention. A Danish population-based case-control study of patients with previous gastrointestinal diseases found celecoxib was not associated with higher risks of upper gastrointestinal bleeding relative to nonuse (odds ratio, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.7 to 2.8).166

No trials were identified that evaluated the effects of celecoxib or NSAIDs on cardiovascular and cardiorenal events specifically in high-risk patients. One observational study found that patients who were prescribed celecoxib had lower rates of death and recurrent congestive heart failure when compared with patients who were prescribed nonselective NSAIDs.167

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