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Fenton JJ, Weyrich MS, Durbin S, et al. Prostate-Specific Antigen-Based Screening for Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [Internet]. Rockville (MD): Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (US); 2018 May. (Evidence Synthesis, No. 154.)

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Prostate-Specific Antigen-Based Screening for Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [Internet].

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Table 5The Effect of PSA-Based Screening on Prostate Cancer Incidence

Study
Reference
Quality Rating
LocationNFollowupProstate Cancer IncidenceStage or Risk Distribution at Diagnosis
PLCO
Andriole, 201280

Fair
United States76,68313.0 years (median)IG: 11.1% (4250/38,340 men)
108.4 per 10,000 PY

CG: 9.9% (3815/38,345 men)
97.1 per 10,000 PY

RR=1.12 (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.17)
Stage 1:
IG: 0.5% (19/4250 men)
CG: 0.5% (17/3815 men)

Stage 2:
IG: 95.4% (4056/4250 men)
CG: 94.0% (3584/3815 men)

Stage 3:
IG: 1.4% (58/4250 men)
CG: 1.7% (65/3815 men)

Stage 4:
IG: 2.3% (96/4250 men)
CG: 2.9% (111/3815 men)
ERSPC*
Schroder, 201496
Buzzoni, 201583
Fair

ERSPC Site-Specific Reports
Sweden (Göteborg):
Arnsrud Godtman, 201581

Spain:
Lujan, 201489

Netherlands (Rotterdam):
Roobol, 201392

Finland:
Kilpelainen, 201387
Europe (Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Finland, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, and France)162,388 (core age group)§13.0 years (median)IG: 10.2% (7408/72,891 men)
95.5 per 10,000 PY

CG: 6.8% (6107/89,352 men)
62.3 per 10,000 PY

RR=1.57 (95% CI, 1.51 to 1.62)
Low Risk:
IG: 60% (4442/7408 men)
CG: 42% (2543/6107 men)
RR=2.14 (95% CI, 2.03 to 2.25)

Intermediate Risk:
IG: 22% (1625/7408 men)
CG: 28% (1711/6107 men)
RR=1.24 (95% CI, 1.16 to 1.34)

High Risk:
IG: 7% (519/7408 men)
CG: 11% (667/6107 men)
RR=1.00 (95% CI, 0.89 to 1.13)

Metastatic:
IG: 3% (252/7408 men)
CG: 10% (586/6107 men)
RR=0.60 (95% CI, 0.52 to 0.70)
Sweden (Göteborg)20,00018.0 yearsIG: 14.0% (1396/10,000 men)

CG: 9.6% (962/10,000 men)
Low Risk:
IG: 50.0% (697/1396)
CG: 26.3% (253/962)

Intermediate Risk:
IG: 33.6% (469/1396)
CG: 37.4% (360/962)
High Risk:
IG: 9.7% (136/1396)
CG: 17.6% (169/962)

Advanced:
IG: 2.7% (67/1396)
CG: 12.2% (117/962)
Spain4,27615.2 years (median)IG: 6.7% (161/2415 men)
47.8 per 10,000 PY

CG: 4.3% (80/1861 men)
30.5 per 10,000 PY

RR=1.57 (95% CI, 1.20 to 2.05)
NR
Netherlands (Rotterdam)42,37612.8 years (median)IG: 12.7% (2674/20,985 men)

CG: 6.8% (1430/20,917 men)
Low Risk:
IG: 68.3% (1444/2113 men)
CG: 42.3% (605/1430 men)
Intermediate Risk:

IG: 25.1% (531/2113 men)
CG: 27.9% (399/1430 men)

High Risk:
IG: 5.5% (116/2113 men)
CG: 13.0% (183/1430 men)

Metastatic:
IG: 0.8% (16/2113 men)
CG: 12.8% (183/1430 men)
Finland80,14412.0 years (median)IG: 9.0% (2883/31,866 men)
88.0 per 10,000 PY

CG: 6.9% (3337/48,278 men)
66.0 per 10,000 PY

HR= 1.34 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.40; p<0.001)
Low risk:
IG: 61.5% (1774/2883 men)
CG: 46.9% (1565/3337 men)
HR=1.75 (95% CI 1.64 to 1.87; p<0.001)

Moderate risk:
IG: 25.0% (719/2883 men)
CG: 32.2% (1076/3337 men)
HR=1.03 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.14; p=0.48)

High risk:
IG: 13.2% (380/2883 men)
CG: 20.5% (684/3337 men)
HR=0.86 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.97; p=0.02)

Advanced:
HR=0.73 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.82; p<0.001)
*

Main ERPSC trial includes most patients that are included in site-specific ERSPC reports

Results for core age group only; excluded France due to incomplete followup

Population sample sizes in the PLCO differ between the 13-year followup publication (Andriole, 2012; n=76,685) and the 11.5-year and 14.8-year followup (Andriole, 2009 and Pinsky, 2016; n=76,683)

§

Population sample sizes in the ERSPC differ between the 9-year followup publication (Schroder, 2009; n=162,387) and the 11-year and 13-year followup (Schroder, 2012 and Schroder, 2014; n=162,388)

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; CG=control group; ERSPC=European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer; HR=hazard ratio; IG=intervention group assigned to screening; PLCO=Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial; RR=relative risk

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