Appendix 7Results (full incremental and intervention vs. comparator) of base-case and scenario analyses
TABLE 87
Base-case model results (all technologies) for probabilistic simulation
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.4146 | 61,050 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9756 | 90,436 | 0.561 | 29,386 | 52,381 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0412 | 138,357 | Extendedly dominateda by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 146,476 | 0.0849 | 56,039 | 660,376 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0604 | 147,150 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
- a
An extendedly dominated strategy has an ICER higher than that of the next most effective strategy.
TABLE 88
Base-case model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for probabilistic simulation
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6266 | 77,307 | 123,375 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0656 | 47,921 | 730,501 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0192 | –8119 | 422,849 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6458 | 86,100 | 133,323 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0849 | 56,713 | 668,789 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 674 | Undefined |
TABLE 89
Base-case model results (all technologies) for deterministic simulation
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 12.1450 | 62,927 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 12.7258 | 93,433 | 0.5808 | 30,506 | 52,524 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.8087 | 143,309 | 0.0829 | 49,876 | 601,641 |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.8223 | 151,671 | 0.0136 | 8363 | 614,910 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.8223 | 152,372 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII+ CGM |
TABLE 90
Base-case model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for deterministic simulation
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6637 | 80,382 | 121,112 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0829 | 49,876 | 601,639 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0136 | –8363 | 614,910 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6773 | 89,445 | 132,061 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0965 | 58,939 | 610,772 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 701 | Undefined |
TABLE 91
Model results (all technologies) for scenario with different baseline population characteristics
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 9.6117 | 65,070 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 10.0991 | 91,189 | 0.4874 | 26,119 | 53,588 |
MiniMed Veo system | 10.1474 | 132,149 | Extendedly dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 10.164 | 139,157 | 0.0649 | 47,967 | 738,593 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 10.164 | 139,733 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 92
Model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for scenario with different baseline population characteristics
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.5357 | 67,079 | 125,217 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0483 | 40,960 | 848,028 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0166 | –7008 | 422,148 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.5523 | 74,663 | 135,186 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0649 | 48,543 | 747,971 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 576 | Undefined |
TABLE 93
Model results (all technologies) for scenario with two (CGM) vs. eight (SMBG) BG tests per day
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.4146 | 68,460 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9756 | 98,034 | 0.561 | 29,574 | 52,717 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0412 | 138,357 | Extendedly dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 146,476 | 0.0849 | 48,441 | 570,844 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0604 | 147,150 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 94
Model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for scenario with two (CGM) vs. eight (SMBG) BG tests per day
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6266 | 69,897 | 111,550 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0656 | 40,323 | 614,683 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0192 | –8119 | 422,849 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6458 | 78,690 | 121,849 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0849 | 49,116 | 579,194 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 674 | Undefined |
TABLE 95
Model results (all technologies) for scenario with increased amount of daily insulin for MDIs
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.4146 | 62,114 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9756 | 90,437 | 0.5610 | 28,323 | 50,487 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0412 | 138,358 | Extendedly dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 146,476 | 0.0849 | 56,040 | 660,376 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0604 | 147,150 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 96
Model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for scenario with increased amount of daily insulin for MDIs
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6266 | 76,244 | 121,679 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0656 | 47,921 | 730,501 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0192 | –8119 | 422,849 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6458 | 85,036 | 131,675 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0848 | 56,713 | 668,789 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 674 | Undefined |
TABLE 97
Model results (all technologies) for scenario with no HbA1c progression
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.8715 | 58,520 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 12.4558 | 88,663 | 0.5843 | 30,143 | 51,615 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.5228 | 137,739 | Extendedly dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.5398 | 146,076 | 0.0840 | 57,414 | 683,889 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.5398 | 146,767 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 98
Model results (intervention vs. comparator only) for scenario with no HbA1c progression
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6513 | 79,219 | 121,632 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.067 | 49,076 | 732,483 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.017 | –8337 | 490,424 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6683 | 88,247 | 132,047 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.084 | 58,104 | 691,715 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 690 | Undefined |
TABLE 99
Cost-effectiveness results when no treatment effect (in terms of change in HbA1c levels) is assumed in the first year (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0006 | 146,632 | Dominated by MDI + SMBG |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0006 | 147,304 | Dominated by MDI + SMBG |
MDI + SMBG | 12.0016 | 56,928 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 12.016 | 90,178 | 0.0144 | 33,250 | 2,309,028 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.026 | 138,538 | 0.0099 | 48,360 | 4,871,356 |
TABLE 100
Cost-effectiveness results when no treatment effect (in terms of change in HbA1c levels) is assumed in the first year (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.0244 | 81,610 | 3,344,672 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0099 | 48,360 | 4,871,356 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.0254 | –8093 | –318,634 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | –0.0009 | 90,376 | –100,417,778 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | –0.0154 | 57,126 | –3,709,460 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 672 | Undefined |
TABLE 101
Cost-effectiveness results if a RR of 0.125 is used for the MiniMed Veo system severe hypoglycaemic rate (all technologies)
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Hypo MiniMed Veo system RR | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.412 | 60,812 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9597 | 91,195 | 0.5477 | 30,383 | 55,474 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0453 | 138,333 | Extendedly dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 146,476 | 0.1007 | 55,281 | 549,080 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0604 | 147,150 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 102
Cost-effectiveness results if a RR of 0.125 is used for the MiniMed Veo system severe hypoglycaemic rate (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6333 | 77,521 | 122,408 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0856 | 47,138 | 550,675 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0151 | –8143 | 539,295 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6484 | 86,338 | 133,155 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.1007 | 55,955 | 555,659 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 674 | Undefined |
TABLE 103
Cost-effectiveness results for mortality due to severe hypoglycaemia scenario (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.1041 | 58,510 | – | – | – |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 11.7701 | 142,215 | Dominated by CSII + SMBG |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 11.7701 | 142,872 | Dominated by CSII + SMBG |
CSII + SMBG | 11.8781 | 89,475 | 0.774 | 30,965 | 40,006 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0071 | 137,801 | 0.129 | 8326 | 374,531 |
TABLE 104
Cost-effectiveness results for mortality due to severe hypoglycaemia scenario (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.9029 | 79,291 | 87,818 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.1290 | 48,327 | 374,626 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.2369 | –4413 | –18,622 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6659 | 84,362 | 126,689 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | –0.1079 | 53,397 | –494,418 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 657 | Undefined |
TABLE 105
Cost-effectiveness results for minimum QALY estimation method scenario (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 12.1327 | 61,050 | | | |
CSII + SMBG | 12.5861 | 90,436 | 0.4534 | 29,386 | 64,813 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.6408 | 138,357 | 0.0546 | 47,920 | 876,987 |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.6462 | 146,476 | 0.0601 | 56,039 | 932,305 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.6462 | 147,150 | Dominated by stand-alone CSII + CGM |
TABLE 106
Cost-effectiveness results for minimum QALY estimation method scenario (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.5081 | 77,307 | 152,149 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0547 | 47,921 | 876,067 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0054 | –8119 | 1,503,465 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.5135 | 86,100 | 167,673 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0601 | 56,713 | 943,649 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | 674 | Undefined |
TABLE 107
Four-year time horizon scenario (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 2.7718 | 6706 | – | – | – |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 2.7882 | 24,803 | Dominated by CSII + SMBG |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 2.7886 | 24,939 | Dominated by CSII + SMBG |
CSII + SMBG | 2.7906 | 13,365 | 0.0188 | 6659 | 354,202 |
MiniMed Veo system | 2.7928 | 23,144 | 0.0022 | 9778 | 4,461,063 |
TABLE 108
Four-year time horizon scenario (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.0210 | 16,438 | 782,762 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0022 | 9779 | 4,445,000 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.0046 | –1659 | –360,652 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.0168 | 18,233 | 1,085,298 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | –0.0020 | 11,574 | –5,787,000 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.0004 | 136 | 340,000 |
TABLE 109
Cost-effectiveness results for fear of hypoglycaemia scenario (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.4146 | 61,050 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9756 | 90,436 | 0.5610 | 29,386 | 52,381 |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 146,476 | Extendedly dominated by MiniMed Veo system |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.6224 | 138,357 | 0.6468 | 47,920 | 74,088 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.6429 | 147,150 | 0.0205 | 8792 | 428,595 |
TABLE 110
Cost-effectiveness results for fear of hypoglycaemia scenario (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 1.2077 | 77,307 | 64,012 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.6468 | 47,921 | 74,088 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.5619 | –8119 | –14,448 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 1.2282 | 86,100 | 70,103 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.6468 | 47,921 | 74,089 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0.5824 | 674 | 1157 |
TABLE 111
Cost-effectiveness results for cost of stand-alone CSII + CGM without market share scenario (all technologies)
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Intervention | QALYs | Cost (£) | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MDI + SMBG | 11.4146 | 61,050 | – | – | – |
CSII + SMBG | 11.9756 | 92,272 | 0.561 | 31,222 | 55,654 |
MiniMed Veo system | 12.0412 | 138,357 | Extendedly dominated by Integrated CSII + CGM |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | 12.0604 | 147,150 | 0.0849 | 54,878 | 646,692 |
Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 12.0604 | 150,063 | Dominated by integrated CSII + CGM |
TABLE 112
Cost-effectiveness results for cost of stand-alone CSII + CGM without market share scenario (intervention vs. comparator only)
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Intervention | Comparator | Incremental QALY | Incremental cost (£) | ICER (£) |
---|
MiniMed Veo system | MDI + SMBG | 0.6266 | 77,307 | 123,375 |
MiniMed Veo system | CSII + SMBG | 0.0656 | 46,086 | 702,530 |
MiniMed Veo system | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | –0.0192 | –11,705 | 609,635 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | MDI + SMBG | 0.6458 | 86,100 | 133,323 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | CSII + SMBG | 0.0848 | 54,878 | 647,146 |
Integrated CSII + CGM (Vibe) | Stand-alone CSII + CGM | 0 | –2913 | Undefined |