Markov counting models for correlated binary responses

Biostatistics. 2015 Jul;16(3):427-40. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxv006. Epub 2015 Mar 19.

Abstract

We propose a class of continuous-time Markov counting processes for analyzing correlated binary data and establish a correspondence between these models and sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. Our approach generalizes many previous models for correlated outcomes, admits easily interpretable parameterizations, allows different cluster sizes, and incorporates ascertainment bias in a natural way. We demonstrate several new models for dependent outcomes and provide algorithms for computing maximum likelihood estimates. We show how to incorporate cluster-specific covariates in a regression setting and demonstrate improved fits to well-known datasets from familial disease epidemiology and developmental toxicology.

Keywords: Bernoulli trials; Developmental toxicity; Familial disease; Markov process; Teratology.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Binomial Distribution
  • Biostatistics
  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • Child
  • Cluster Analysis
  • Genetic Diseases, Inborn / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis / epidemiology
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Markov Chains*
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Mortality
  • Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Neoplasms / genetics
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / epidemiology
  • Teratology / statistics & numerical data