Long-term trajectories of lower extremity function in older adults: estimating gender differences while accounting for potential mortality bias

J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2013 Jul;68(7):861-8. doi: 10.1093/gerona/gls228. Epub 2012 Nov 16.

Abstract

Background: Gender-specific trajectories of lower extremity function (LEF) and the potential for bias in LEF estimation due to differences in survival have been understudied.

Methods: We evaluated longitudinal data from 690 initially nondisabled adults age 70 or older from the Precipitating Events Project. LEF was assessed every 18 months for 12 years using a modified Short Physical Performance Battery (mSPPB). Hierarchical linear models with adjustments for length-of-survival estimated the intraindividual trajectory of LEF and differences in trajectory intercept and slope between men and women.

Results: LEF declined following a nonlinear trajectory. In the full sample, and among participants with high (mSPPB 10-12) and intermediate (mSPPB 7-9) baseline LEF, the rate-of-decline in mSPPB was slower in women than in men, with no gender differences in baseline mSPPB scores. Among participants with low baseline LEF (mSPPB ≤6), men had a higher starting mSPPB score, whereas women experienced a deceleration in the rate-of-decline over time. In all groups, participants who survived longer had higher starting mSPPB scores and slower rates-of-decline compared with those who died sooner.

Conclusions: Over the course of 12 years, older women preserve LEF better than men. Nonadjustment for differences in survival results in overestimating the level and underestimating the rate-of-decline in LEF over time.

Keywords: Gender differences; Lower extremity function; Survival bias; Trajectories.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aging*
  • Bias
  • Connecticut / epidemiology
  • Disabled Persons / statistics & numerical data*
  • Female
  • Geriatric Assessment*
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Lower Extremity*
  • Male
  • Mortality
  • Muscle Strength*
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Distribution
  • Sex Factors
  • Time Factors