A general approach for population games with application to vaccination

Math Biosci. 2011 Apr;230(2):67-78. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2011.01.003. Epub 2011 Jan 28.

Abstract

Reconciling the interests of individuals with the interests of communities is a major challenge in designing and implementing health policies. In this paper, we present a technique based on a combination of mechanistic population-scale models, Markov decision process theory and game theory that facilitates the evaluation of game theoretic decisions at both individual and community scales. To illustrate our technique, we provide solutions to several variants of the simple vaccination game including imperfect vaccine efficacy and differential waning of natural and vaccine immunity. In addition, we show how path-integral approaches can be applied to the study of models in which strategies are fixed waiting times rather than exponential random variables. These methods can be applied to a wide variety of decision problems with population-dynamic feedbacks.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • Communicable Diseases / epidemiology
  • Communicable Diseases / immunology
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • Epidemiologic Methods
  • Game Theory*
  • Health Policy
  • Humans
  • Markov Chains
  • Models, Biological*
  • Population Dynamics*
  • Public Health / methods
  • Vaccination*
  • Vaccines / economics
  • Vaccines / immunology

Substances

  • Vaccines