International risk of the new variant COVID-19 importations originating in the United Kingdom

Zhanwei Du; Lin Wang; Bingyi Yang; Sheikh Taslim Ali; Tim K Tsang; Songwei Shan; Peng Wu; Eric H Y Lau; Benjamin J Cowling; Lauren Ancel Meyers

doi:10.1101/2021.01.09.21249384

International risk of the new variant COVID-19 importations originating in the United Kingdom

medRxiv [Preprint]. 2021 Mar 15:2021.01.09.21249384. doi: 10.1101/2021.01.09.21249384.

Authors

Zhanwei Du^{1

2}, Lin Wang³, Bingyi Yang¹, Sheikh Taslim Ali^{1

2}, Tim K Tsang¹, Songwei Shan^{1

2}, Peng Wu¹, Eric H Y Lau^{1

2}, Benjamin J Cowling^{1

2}, Lauren Ancel Meyers^{4

5}

Affiliations

¹ WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
² Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
³ University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EH, UK.
⁴ The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712, The United States of America.
⁵ Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, The United States of America.

Abstract

A fast-spreading SARS-CoV-2 variant identified in the United Kingdom in December 2020 has raised international alarm. We estimate that, in all 15 countries analyzed, there is at least a 50% chance the variant was imported by travelers from the United Kingdom by December 7th.

Publication types

Preprint

Abstract

Publication types

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