TIMI risk score for secondary prevention of recurrent cardiovascular events in a real-world cohort of post-non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients

Postgrad Med J. 2019 Jul;95(1125):372-377. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2019-136404. Epub 2019 May 23.

Abstract

Background: Patients who survive non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) are at heightened risk of recurrent cardiovascular events. Data on long-term secondary atherothrombotic risk stratification are limited.

Objectives: To stratify post-NSTEMI patients for risk of recurrent cardiovascular events to maximise benefit from aggressive secondary prevention strategies using the TIMI Risk Score for Secondary Prevention (TRS 2°P) score in a real-world cohort of NSTEMI patients.

Methods and results: This was a single-centre observational study of 891 post-NSTEMI patients (73.7 ± 12.7 years; male: 54.2%). The TRS 2°P is a nine-point risk stratification tool to predict cardiovascular events in patients with established cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, non-fatal MI and non-fatal ischaemic stroke. After a median follow-up of 31 months (IQR: 11.4 - 60.2), 281 patients (31.5%) had developed a primary outcome (13.3%/year) including 196 cardiovascular deaths, 94 non-fatal MIs and 22 non-fatal strokes. The TRS 2°P score was strongly associated with the primary outcome. The annual incidence of primary composite endpoint for patients with TRS 2°P score =0 was 1.6%, and increased progressively to 47.4% for those with a TRS 2°P score ≥6 (HR: 20.18, 95% CI: 4.85 to 84.05, p<0.001). Similar associations were also observed between the TRS 2°P score and cardiovascular death and MI (fatal and non-fatal), but not non-fatal ischaemic stroke.

Conclusion: The TRS 2°P score stratified post-NSTEMI patients for risk of future cardiovascular events and potentially help guide the selection of more aggressive secondary prevention therapy.

Keywords: myocardial infarction; secondary prevention.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Academic Medical Centers
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / mortality
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / prevention & control
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Brain Ischemia / etiology
  • Brain Ischemia / prevention & control
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / etiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / prevention & control*
  • Cause of Death*
  • Female
  • Hong Kong
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction / diagnostic imaging
  • Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction / mortality
  • Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction / therapy*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Recurrence
  • Registries*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Secondary Prevention / methods*
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / prevention & control
  • Survival Analysis
  • Survivors