A model combining age, equivalent uniform dose and IL-8 may predict radiation esophagitis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer

Radiother Oncol. 2018 Mar;126(3):506-510. doi: 10.1016/j.radonc.2017.12.026.

Abstract

Background and purpose: To study whether cytokine markers may improve predictive accuracy of radiation esophagitis (RE) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.

Materials and methods: A total of 129 patients with stage I-III NSCLC treated with radiotherapy (RT) from prospective studies were included. Thirty inflammatory cytokines were measured in platelet-poor plasma samples. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the risk factors of RE. Stepwise Akaike information criterion (AIC) and likelihood ratio test were used to assess model predictions.

Results: Forty-nine of 129 patients (38.0%) developed grade ≥2 RE. Univariate analysis showed that age, stage, concurrent chemotherapy, and eight dosimetric parameters were significantly associated with grade ≥2 RE (p < 0.05). IL-4, IL-5, IL-8, IL-13, IL-15, IL-1α, TGFα and eotaxin were also associated with grade ≥2 RE (p < 0.1). Age, esophagus generalized equivalent uniform dose (EUD), and baseline IL-8 were independently associated grade ≥2 RE. The combination of these three factors had significantly higher predictive power than any single factor alone. Addition of IL-8 to toxicity model significantly improves RE predictive accuracy (p = 0.019).

Conclusions: Combining baseline level of IL-8, age and esophagus EUD may predict RE more accurately. Refinement of this model with larger sample sizes and validation from multicenter database are warranted.

Keywords: Cytokines; Lung neoplasm; Non-small cell; Radiation esophagitis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung / blood*
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung / immunology
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung / pathology
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung / radiotherapy*
  • Cytokines / blood
  • Esophagitis / blood
  • Esophagitis / etiology*
  • Esophagitis / immunology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-8 / blood*
  • Interleukin-8 / immunology
  • Logistic Models
  • Lung Neoplasms / blood*
  • Lung Neoplasms / immunology
  • Lung Neoplasms / pathology
  • Lung Neoplasms / radiotherapy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Radiation Injuries / blood
  • Radiation Injuries / etiology*
  • Radiation Injuries / immunology
  • Radiotherapy Dosage
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • CXCL8 protein, human
  • Cytokines
  • Interleukin-8